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Wilson Lai
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Research & Insights

Equity Research

REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN

This four day event will feature C-level executives and other senior leaders from across the Tech, Internet, Media and Telecom landscape. 

Please complete the online registration form by Monday, September 1 . 
The deadline for eligible investors to submit one-on-one/group requests is Tuesday, July 22.


THEMES IN FOCUS: Artificial Intelligence  Data centers  Automation  Physical AI  and more...

Visit the conference page for more >

We update our sector model, which estimates the probability that an equal-weighted sector outperforms the equal-weight S&P 500 by 5 pp or more during the next 6 months. Our updated overweights: Software & Services, Media...
10 Jul 2025 | 4:11am| 11pg| Research | Portfolio Strategy-Ryan Hammond and others

We introduce the third edition of the Goldman Sachs Global eCommerce Handbook where we analyze the key trends and debates that are impacting eCommerce around the world. We update our proprietary Goldman Sachs Global eCommerce industry model (available on request) and forecast that global eCommerce sales will grow at a +6% CAGR between 2025 and 2030.

Key Takeaways: 1) $4tn Global eCommerce Opportunity: +6% CAGR, Modest Online Penetration Gains. 2) Macro and Tariffs Are Key Risk Factors. 3) Lower Valuations Reflect New Growth Reality.

Global eCommerce Stock Picks: Amazon.com (AMZN) in the US, JD.com (JD) in China, Coupang (CPNG) in Korea, Sea Ltd. (SE) in ASEAN, MercadoLibre (MELI) in LatAm, Zalando (ZAL) in Europe, and Eternal (ETEA) in India.

UPCOMING WEBINAR on July 10th @ 8:30 AM ET | REGISTER | Slides

9 Jul 2025 | 4:08am| 70pg| Research | Equity-Eric Sheridan and others

China Consumer Staples: Assessing the impact of increased austerity focus in China's Anti-Extravagance Policy

Implication to consumption and consumer staples subsectors: 1) We quantify the potential policy impact on catering retail sales in 2025/26 by looking into three related consumption scenarios and affected customer cohorts 2) We develop a framework to evaluate the policy impact on individual China Consumer Staples sub sectors. 3) If policy implementation/ local scrutiny becomes broader and lasts longer than expected.

China Spirits: Austerity policy risks prolonged cycle, inflection point not in sight; downgrade four stocks

Current cycle likely prolonged further under new austerity policy impact: Potential headwinds from the recent Anti-Extravagance policy have led to more uncertainties on when investors can expect the current cycle to bottom out, which will likely prolong the current industry downcycle for spirits, in our view. Accordingly, we see downside revision risks for Street earnings expectations; however, we acknowledge that it is currently challenging to fully size the extent and duration of the new policy's impact.

BUY: Kweichow Moutai, Wulianye Yibin,
SELL: Jiangsu Yanghe, Anhui Gujing Distillery Sichuan Swellfun, Jiugui Liquor
NEUTRAL: Luzhou Laojiao Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine , Jiangsu King's Luck BreweryZJLD

Leaf Liu
China Consumer | Hong Kong


Also see
China Brewing: 1H/2Q25 Preview: Factor in N-T policy impact; Margin resilience remains key
China Pork: 2Q25 preview: Stronger US hog production; China on track to grow; Buy WH Group
China Consumer Staples Cost Index Tracker: Jun 2025: Cost tailwinds for condiments/beverage; MoM easing milk powder/pork

RATING AND LIST CHANGES
Latest research
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L): Q2'25 Preview
10 Jul 2025 | 9:42am| 15pg| Research | Equity-Benjamin Caven-Roberts and others
Costco Wholesale (COST): June sales above expectations; traffic in line
10 Jul 2025 | 8:14am| 7pg| Research | Equity-Kate McShane, CFA and others
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE): Setrusumab moves to final analysis; Positive on overall study success
10 Jul 2025 | 8:09am| 7pg| Research | Equity-Salveen Richter, CFA and others

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DAILY ROUNDUPS
The 720: China Spirits & Beer, CATL, DISCO, Advantest, China White goods, FII, Cross Asset Strategy
10 Jul 2025 | 7:20am| 9pg| Research | Equity-Michael Snaith and others
Midday Market Intelligence: bull...
10 Jul 2025 | 12:44am| 9pg| Research | Equity-Chris Hussey and others
Market Intelligence: US Morning Update
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UPCOMING EVENTS & CONFERENCES
Global Investment Research
webcast: Global
10 Jul 2025 | 8:30am NY | 1:30pm LN | 8:30pm HK
We introduce the third edition of the Goldman Sachs Global eCommerce Handbook where we analyze key trends and debates impacting eCommerce around the...Read more
Eric Sheridan, US Internet Analyst
Ronald Keung, CFA, China Internet & Logistics Analyst
Irma Sgarz, Latin America Retail & Consumer Analyst
Richard Edwards, Europe Retail & Internet Analyst
Lisa Yang, Europe Media & Internet Analyst
Roman Reshetnev, Europe Media & Internet Analyst
Eric Cha, Korea Internet, Games & Telco Analyst
Chris Hussey, US Research Merchandising
Global Investment Research
webcast: Americas
10 Jul 2025 | 11am NY | 4pm LN | 11pm HK
Please reach out to your respective sales representatives to participate.
Regis Repko, SVP System Planning and Construction
Paige Swofford, Manager, Investor Relations
Abby Motsinger, Vice President, Investor Relations
Carly Davenport, US Utilities Research Analyst
Global Investment Research
webcast: Asia
11 Jul 2025 | 8:30am HK | 8:30pm NY(-1) | 1:30am LN
We will discuss our deep-dive analysis on licensing deals and China’s innovative pipeline in a global context, in which we believe the licensing-out...Read more
Ziyi Chen, Head of APAC Healthcare Research
Caleb Chan, Asia Research Merchandising
Passcode: 092939: Meeting ID: 980 3201 1202
Global Investment Research
webcast: Americas
14 Jul 2025 | 10am NY | 3pm LN | 10pm HK
Please join us as we discuss current trends and 2H25 outlook for the data center and networking equipment market with a focus on (1) the impact of AI...Read more
Alan Weckel, Founder & Technology Analyst, 650 Group
Michael Ng, CFA, US Hardware and CommTech Equity Analyst, GIR

UPCOMING FEATURED CONFERENCES

Asia Leaders Conference
3-5 Sep 2025 | Hong Kong with virtual access
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European Medtech & Healthcare Services Conference
3-4 Sep 2025 | London
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32nd Annual Global Retailing Conference
3-4 Sep 2025 | New York
Register

Communacopia + Technology Conference
8-11 Sep 2025 | San Francisco
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European Communacopia Conference
16-17 Sep 2025 | London
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14th German Corporate Conference
22-24 Sep 2025 | Munich
Register

PAST CONFERENCES REPLAYS / TAKEAWAYS

Building an Investment Framework Conference
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Global Copper Week
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Global Pulp & Paper Week
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European Financials Conference
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Global Healthcare Conference
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TechNet China
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