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Disease Analysis: Multiple Myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤疾病分析

Last Reviewed:  最后审阅时间:
24 Jun, 2025
2025 年 6 月 24 日

by David Dahan   审阅人:David Dahan

Latest Takeaways  最新要点

  • We estimate that in 2024, there were 66,434 diagnosed incident cases of multiple myeloma (MM) in the US, Japan, and five major European markets (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK). By 2043, we forecast that the number of diagnosed incident cases will increase to 84,214 cases. 
    我们预估 2024 年,美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场(法国、德国、意大利、西班牙和英国)的多发性骨髓瘤(MM)确诊新发病例数为 66,434 例。到 2043 年,我们预测确诊新发病例数将增至 84,214 例。

  • Revlimid (lenalidomide), an immunomodulatory drug (IMiD), and Velcade (bortezomib), a proteasome inhibitor (PI), play key roles as the backbone for combination regimens across various lines of therapy. These drugs have broad approvals in all markets, and the launches of lenalidomide and bortezomib generics in 2022 have exerted downward pressure on the MM market.  
    瑞复美(来那度胺)作为一种免疫调节药物(IMiD),与万珂(硼替佐米)这款蛋白酶体抑制剂(PI),构成了多线联合治疗方案的核心支柱。这两款药物在所有市场均获得广泛批准,而 2022 年来那度胺和硼替佐米仿制药的上市对多发性骨髓瘤市场形成了降价压力。

  • Darzalex (daratumumab), the first monoclonal antibody (mAb) approved for MM, replaced Revlimid as the top-selling drug in MM during 2023. Darzalex has become a standard of care based on impressive trial results in both the newly diagnosed and relapsed/refractory MM (RRMM) settings. Key regimens in the newly diagnosed setting include the quadruplet regimen of Darzalex combined with Velcade, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (VRd) for both transplant-ineligible (CEPHEUS trial) and transplant-eligible (PERSEUS trial) patients. While submissions based on PERSEUS were approved in 2024, submissions based on CEPHEUS were approved in the EU in 2025 with FDA approval expected in mid-2025. The MAIA regimen (Darzalex combined with Rd) is used for the majority of transplant-ineligible patients who are too frail for a quadruplet. In the RRMM setting, key regimens include triplets of Darzalex combined with dex and either a PI (bortezomib or Kyprolis/carfilzomib) or an IMiD (lenalidomide or Pomalyst/pomalidomide). The CD38-targeted Darzalex will experience continual commercial success due to additional label expansions as well as the approval of a more convenient subcutaneous (SC) formulation. Phase III trials are also evaluating Darzalex combined with bispecific antibodies in the newly diagnosed and RRMM settings (see below). 
    达雷妥尤单抗(Darzalex)作为首个获批用于多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的单克隆抗体(mAb),在 2023 年取代来那度胺(Revlimid)成为 MM 领域最畅销药物。基于在新诊断和复发/难治性 MM(RRMM)患者中令人瞩目的临床试验结果,该药物已成为标准治疗方案。针对新诊断患者的关键方案包括:适用于不适合移植患者的 Darzalex 联合硼替佐米、来那度胺和地塞米松四联方案(CEPHEUS 试验),以及适合移植患者的相同四联方案(PERSEUS 试验)。基于 PERSEUS 试验的申请于 2024 年获批,而 CEPHEUS 试验的申请于 2025 年在欧盟获批,预计食品药品监督管理局将于 2025 年年中批准。MAIA 方案(Darzalex 联合 Rd)适用于大多数身体虚弱无法承受四联治疗的不适合移植患者。在 RRMM 治疗领域,关键方案包括 Darzalex 联合地塞米松与蛋白酶体抑制剂(硼替佐米或卡非佐米)或免疫调节剂(来那度胺或泊马度胺)组成的三联方案。由于适应症范围的持续扩大以及更便捷的皮下注射剂型的获批,靶向 CD38 的达雷妥尤单抗将持续获得商业成功。 三期临床试验也正在评估 Darzalex 联合双特异性抗体在新诊断和复发/难治性多发性骨髓瘤(RRMM)患者中的应用(详见下文)。

  • Sarclisa (isatuximab), another CD38-directed mAb, faces intense in-class competition from Darzalex, which has the advantage of physician familiarity and approval of a SC formulation. A Sarclisa quadruplet (Sarclisa-VRd) is approved for transplant-ineligible patients (IMROZ trial) and a regulatory submission for transplant-eligible patients based on positive data from the GMMG HD7 trial was recently submitted to EU authorities with a submission to US authorities expected in H1 2025. The GMMG HD7 trial is also evaluating Sarclisa + lenalidomide as post-transplant maintenance therapy, however the maintenance results have not yet been released but are expected in 2025. Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex is approved as a treatment for second-line or later patients, while the combination of Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex is approved for third-line or later patients. Sanofi is developing a hands-free SC formulation of Sarclisa based on the enFUSE on-body delivery device. The IRAKLIA trial demonstrated non-inferiority of the drug device combination to IV Sarclisa and regulatory submissions are expected in H1 2025. 
    Sarclisa(isatuximab)作为另一款靶向 CD38 的单抗药物,正面临来自 Darzalex 的激烈同类竞争——后者凭借内科医生对其皮下注射剂型的熟悉度和认可度占据优势。目前 Sarclisa 四联疗法(Sarclisa-VRd)已获批用于不适合移植的患者(基于 IMROZ 试验数据),而针对适合移植患者的上市申请也于近期提交至欧盟监管机构(基于 GMMG HD7 试验的积极数据),预计 2025 年上半年将向美国提交申请。GMMG HD7 试验同时评估了 Sarclisa 联合来那度胺作为移植后维持治疗的方案,但维持治疗结果尚未公布,预计 2025 年揭晓。Sarclisa 联合卡非佐米与地塞米松获批用于二线及以上患者的治疗,而 Sarclisa 联合泊马度胺与地塞米松则获批用于三线及以上患者。赛诺菲正在基于 enFUSE 体上给药装置开发 Sarclisa 的无针皮下制剂。IRAKLIA 试验证实该药物器械组合不劣于静脉注射 Sarclisa,相关监管申请预计于 2025 年上半年提交

  • The launches of BCMA-targeted therapies will play a pivotal part in future market dynamics over the next decade. Key anti-BCMA agents include the CAR-T therapies Abecma (ide-cel) and Carvykti (cilta-cel). Abecma is approved for third-line or later patients in the US, EU, and Japan, while Carvykti is approved in the US and EU for a larger population of second-line or later patients. In Japan, Carvykti is approved for fourth-line or later patients. All approvals were for triple-class exposed patients (previously treated with an IMiD, a PI, and an anti-CD38 antibody). While the drugs are highly efficacious, the complicated logistics of administering CAR-T have slowed uptake of both Abecma and Carvykti. 
    靶向 BCMA 疗法的推出将在未来十年对市场动态产生关键影响。主要抗 BCMA 药物包括 CAR-T 疗法 Abecma(ide-cel)和 Carvykti(cilta-cel)。Abecma 已在美国、欧盟和日本获批用于三线或后线治疗患者,而 Carvykti 则在美国和欧盟获批用于更广泛的二线或后线治疗人群。在日本,Carvykti 获批用于四线或后线患者。所有获批适应症均针对三重暴露患者(既往接受过免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂和抗 CD38 抗体治疗)。尽管这些药物疗效显著,但 CAR-T 疗法的复杂给药流程延缓了 Abecma 和 Carvykti 的市场渗透速度。

  • Carvykti has been gaining market share at the expense of Abecma due to physicians regarding it as more efficacious. Long-term follow-up results for Carvykti in the fourth-line or later setting report a median OS of 61 months with 33% of patients remaining alive and progression-free for ≥5 years suggesting that Carvykti could be curative in the relapsed/refractory setting. Carvykti has two ongoing Phase III trials in the first-line setting, with CARTITUDE-5 evaluating Carvykti as a replacement for lenalidomide maintenance following induction therapy in patients not suited for transplant, and CARTITUDE-6 evaluating Carvykti as a replacement for transplant in transplant-eligible patients. 
    由于医生普遍认为 Carvykti 疗效更佳,该药物正以牺牲 Abecma 市场份额为代价持续扩张。Carvykti 在四线及以上治疗中的长期随访数据显示,患者中位总生存期达 61 个月,33%的患者存活且 5 年内无进展,这表明 Carvykti 在复发/难治性治疗中可能具有治愈潜力。目前 Carvykti 有两项针对一线治疗的三期临床试验正在进行:CARTITUDE-5 研究评估其作为不适合移植患者诱导治疗后替代来那度胺维持治疗的方案,CARTITUDE-6 研究则评估其在适合移植患者中替代移植治疗的潜力。

  • Arcellx’s anito-cel is positioned to be the third BCMA CAR-T to enter the market, but it significantly lags behind in development. While Abecma and Carvykti were first approved in 2021 and 2022, respectively, anito-cel only began its pivotal trial, iMMagine-1, in December 2022, and a commercial launch in the fourth-line or later setting is not expected until 2026. Early results suggest that anito-cel may have efficacy comparable to Carvykti, but with a better safety profile with no delayed neurotoxicity events seen to date. A confirmatory Phase III trial is enrolling second-line or later patients but, unlike CARTITUDE-4, will not require that patients have prior exposure to a PI and be refractory to lenalidomide, which may allow anito-cel to be used in more relapsed/refractory patients than Carvykti. 
    Arcellx 公司的 anito-cel 有望成为第三个进入市场的 BCMA CAR-T 疗法,但其研发进度明显滞后。虽然 Abecma 和 Carvykti 分别于 2021 年和 2022 年首次获批,但 anito-cel 直到 2022 年 12 月才启动关键性试验 iMMagine-1,预计最早要到 2026 年才能在四线或后线治疗中实现商业化上市。早期数据显示 anito-cel 疗效可能与 Carvykti 相当,但安全性更优,迄今未观察到迟发性神经毒性事件。目前正在开展的验证性 III 期试验针对二线或后线患者,与 CARTITUDE-4 试验不同,该试验不要求患者既往接受过蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗且对来那度胺耐药,这意味着 anito-cel 可能比 Carvykti 适用于更多复发/难治性患者群体。

  • There are currently four BCMA x CD3 bispecific antibodies that are either approved or are in late-phase development. Tecvayli (teclistamab) and Elrexfio (elranatamab) are approved in the US (for fifth-line or later patients), EU (for fourth-line or later patients) and Japan (for second-line or later patients). Lynozyfic is currently approved in the EU for fourth-line or later MM with an FDA decision expected by July 2025. Tecvayli has the advantage of being first-to-market and currently leads in market share. Elrexfio is differentiated by its subcutaneous administration while Lynozyfic has reported the highest response rate (71% ORR vs 62% for Tecvayli and 58% for Elrexfio) and offers every-four-week dosing after 24 weeks. The bispecifics can also be differentiated by their hospitalization requirements after initial step-up dosing.  Tecvayli requires 48-hour hospitalizations after each of three step-up doses, while Elrexfio requires one 48-hour hospitalization after the first step-up dose and one 24-hour hospitalization after the second step-up dose. Lynozyfic requires two separate 24-hour hospitalizations.  Overall, the BCMA x CD3 bispecifics have efficacy comparable to Abecma but are not as efficacious as Carvykti. The final bispecific antibody, etentamig, initiated a Phase III trial in 2024 that is enrolling third-line or later patients. Entatamig is differentiated by its every four-week dosing regimen after the first month and low rate of grade 3/4 infections. Regulatory submissions are expected in 2028. 
    目前有四款 BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体已获批或处于研发后期阶段。Tecvayli(teclistamab)和 Elrexfio(elranatamab)已在美国(用于五线及以上患者)、欧盟(用于四线及以上患者)和日本(用于二线及以上患者)获批。Lynozyfic 目前获欧盟批准用于四线及以上多发性骨髓瘤治疗,美国食品药品监督管理局预计将于 2025 年 7 月前作出审批决定。Tecvayli 凭借先发优势目前市场份额领先。Elrexfio 的差异化优势在于皮下给药方式,而 Lynozyfic 则报告了最高应答率(71%客观缓解率,Tecvayli 为 62%,Elrexfio 为 58%),并在 24 周后采用四周一次给药方案。这三款双抗在初始阶梯给药后的住院要求也有所不同:Tecvayli 需在三次阶梯给药后各住院 48 小时,Elrexfio 在首次阶梯给药后住院 48 小时、第二次给药后住院 24 小时,Lynozyfic 则需进行两次 24 小时住院观察。  总体而言,BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体的疗效与 Abecma 相当,但不及 Carvykti。最后一种双抗药物 etentamig 于 2024 年启动 III 期临床试验,入组对象为三线及以上治疗患者。该药物的差异化优势在于首月治疗后采用四周一次的给药方案,且 3/4 级感染发生率较低。预计将于 2028 年提交上市申请。

  • Bispecific antibodies have the advantage of off-the-shelf availability, which is an important consideration given the complicated logistics of administering CAR-T. However, there has been some concern over high levels of infections with prolonged treatment with BCMA-directed bispecifics. To address this, the Tecvayli and Elrexfio approvals allow switching from weekly to every-other-week dosing after six months. 
    双特异性抗体具有即用型优势,考虑到 CAR-T 疗法复杂的给药流程,这一点尤为重要。但针对 BCMA 靶点的双抗长期治疗引发的高感染率问题也受到关注。为此,Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 的获批方案允许在治疗六个月后,将给药频率从每周一次调整为隔周一次。

  • The Tecvayli and Elrexfio confirmatory Phase III trials (MajesTEC-3 and MagnetisMM-5, respectively) are evaluating the bispecifics in combination with Darzalex, with the comparator being a Darzalex + PI + dex triplet. Lynozyfic’s confirmatory trial, LINKER-MM3, is comparing Lynozyfic monotherapy to Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex. All three trials are enrolling second-line or later patients. 
    Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 的确证性 III 期试验(分别为 MajesTEC-3 和 MagnetisMM-5)正在评估这两种双抗药物与 Darzalex 的联合疗法,对照组采用 Darzalex+蛋白酶体抑制剂+地塞米松三联方案。Lynozyfic 的确证性试验 LINKER-MM3 则将 Lynozyfic 单药与 Empliciti+泊马度胺+地塞米松方案进行对比。这三项试验均招募二线及以上治疗患者。

  • In the newly diagnosed setting, MajesTEC-7 and MagnetisMM-6 are evaluating Tecvayli and Elrexfio, respectively, both in combination with Darzalex and lenalidomide. The trials are enrolling transplant-ineligible patients, and the comparator is Darzalex + lenalidomide + dex. MagnetisMM-7 is evaluating Elrexfio as maintenance therapy in newly diagnosed patients after transplant, and the comparator is lenalidomide. 
    在新诊断患者群体中,MajesTEC-7 和 MagnetisMM-6 试验分别评估 Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 与 Darzalex 及来那度胺的联合用药方案。试验对象为不适合移植的患者,对照组采用 Darzalex+来那度胺+地塞米松方案。MagnetisMM-7 则评估 Elrexfio 作为新诊断患者移植后的维持治疗,对照组采用来那度胺单药。

  • Talvey (talquetamab), a bispecific antibody targeting CD3 and the novel target GPRC5D has been granted accelerated approval in the US and EU and is under regulatory review in Japan. Talvey will likely be a preferred option for patients who progress on an anti-BCMA agent. Talvey is associated with GPRC5D-related oral toxicity including dysgeusia (altered sense of taste). The oral toxicity can be difficult to manage and did not resolve in 65% of patients. A confirmatory Phase III trial, MonumenTAL-3, is evaluating Talvey + Darzalex +/- Pomalyst and is enrolling second-line or later patients. Another Phase III trial, MonumentTAL-6, is enrolling relapsed/refractory patients who were treated with an anti-CD38 antibody in the first line and is evaluating Talvey + Tecvayli. The Tecvayli MajesTEC-7 trial, enrolling newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients, will also have a cohort evaluating Talvey + Darzalex + lenalidomide. 
    靶向 CD3 和新型靶点 GPRC5D 的双特异性抗体 Talvey(talquetamab)已在美国和欧盟获得加速批准,目前正在日本接受监管审查。对于抗 BCMA 药物治疗后病情进展的患者,Talvey 很可能成为优选方案。该药物存在与 GPRC5D 相关的口腔毒性,包括味觉障碍(味觉改变)。这种口腔毒性较难控制,且 65%的患者症状未缓解。确证性 III 期试验 MonumenTAL-3 正在评估 Talvey 联合 Darzalex(达雷妥尤单抗)±Pomalyst(泊马度胺)的疗效,入组对象为二线及以上治疗患者。另一项 III 期试验 MonumentTAL-6 则针对一线接受过抗 CD38 抗体治疗的复发/难治性患者,评估 Talvey 联合 Tecvayli(teclistamab)的疗效。针对新诊断不适合移植患者的 Tecvayli MajesTEC-7 试验也将设立一个队列评估 Talvey 联合 Darzalex 和来那度胺的联合方案。

  • BMS-986393 is a potentially first-in-class GPRC5D CAR-T product. QUINTESSENTIAL, a pivotal Phase II trial, is enrolling fourth-line or later patients previously exposed to at least four classes of MM treatments, namely an IMiD, a PI, an anti-CD38 antibody, and an anti-BCMA therapy. A confirmatory Phase III trial, QUINTESSENTIAL-2, is comparing BMS-986393 to standard regimens (Dara-Pd or Kd) in lenalidomide refractory, second-line or later patients. On-target/off-tumor toxicity such as skin, nail and/or oral events appear more benign with BMS-986393 than with Talvey likely due to the one dose nature of BMS-986393. 
    BMS-986393 是一款潜在同类首创的 GPRC5D 靶向 CAR-T 疗法。关键性 II 期试验 QUINTESSENTIAL 正在招募既往接受过至少四类多发性骨髓瘤治疗(包括免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂、抗 CD38 抗体和抗 BCMA 疗法)的四线或后线患者。验证性 III 期试验 QUINTESSENTIAL-2 正在来那度胺难治性二线或后线患者中比较 BMS-986393 与标准方案(Dara-Pd 或 Kd)的疗效。与 Talvey 相比,BMS-986393 的靶向/脱靶毒性(如皮肤、指甲和/或口腔不良事件)表现更为温和,这很可能得益于 BMS-986393 的单次给药特性。

  • The anti-BCMA antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) Blenrep (belantamab mafodotin) had received accelerated approval that was then revoked following the failure of a confirmatory Phase III trial. However, Blenrep’s outlook has improved after reporting positive results in two additional Phase III trials, DREAMM-7 and DREAMM-8, both of which were in the second-line or later setting. Blenrep is currently approved in the UK and Japan and is under regulatory review in the US and EU. Due to concerns over ocular toxicity, Blenrep will likely be sequenced after other anti-BCMA therapies such as CAR-Ts and bispecific antibodies. Development of a safer, optimized dosing protocol that allows the corneal epithelium to recover between doses could help increase uptake. A Phase III trial in the newly diagnosed, transplant-ineligible setting (DREAMM-10) is comparing Blenrep combined with Rd to Darzalex combined with Rd. 
    抗 BCMA 抗体药物偶联物(ADC)Blenrep(贝兰他单抗莫福汀)曾获得加速批准,后因确证性 III 期试验失败而被撤销许可。然而,该药物在 DREAMM-7 和 DREAMM-8 两项针对二线及以上治疗场景的 III 期试验中取得积极结果后,市场前景有所改善。目前 Blenrep 已在英国和日本获批上市,并正在美国和欧盟接受监管审查。由于存在眼部毒性风险,该药物可能会被安排在其他抗 BCMA 疗法(如 CAR-T 细胞疗法和双特异性抗体)之后使用。通过开发更安全的优化给药方案——使角膜上皮在给药间隔期得以修复——有望提升该药物的临床应用。针对新诊断且不适合移植患者的 III 期试验 DREAMM-10 正在比较 Blenrep 联合 Rd 方案与达雷妥尤单抗联合 Rd 方案的疗效。

  • Bristol Myers Squibb, which also markets Revlimid, has positioned Pomalyst (pomalidomide) as a subsequent therapy option. Pomalyst, another IMiD, was originally approved for the third-line or later setting, but in 2019 it received a label expansion in the EU and Japan to the second-line setting. In the US, approval for the second-line or later setting in combination with SC Darzalex and dex is noted in the FDA label for SC Darzalex. The first pomalidomide generics were launched in the EU in August 2024 and following a settlement with Dr. Reddy’s, are expected to launch in the US Q1 2026. Pomalyst has regulatory exclusivity until June 2026 in Japan. 
    同样销售瑞复美的百时美施贵宝公司已将泊马度胺(Pomalyst)定位为后续治疗选择。作为另一款免疫调节药物,泊马度胺最初获批用于三线或更后线治疗,但 2019 年在欧盟和日本获准扩展至二线治疗适应症。在美国,其与达雷妥尤单抗皮下注射剂(SC Darzalex)及地塞米松联用的二线或更后线治疗方案已获食品药品监督管理局批准,相关说明标注于达雷妥尤单抗皮下制剂的药品标签中。首批泊马度胺仿制药于 2024 年 8 月在欧盟上市,根据与瑞迪博士实验室达成的协议,预计将于 2026 年第一季度在美国上市。该药在日本的市场独占权将持续至 2026 年 6 月。

  • Second-generation PI Kyprolis (carfilzomib) is approved for the treatment of RRMM as a monotherapy and in combination with either dex, Darzalex and dex, or Revlimid and dex. Kyprolis remains the favored PI in the RRMM setting as it demonstrated improved safety and efficacy over Velcade, another PI, in the Phase III ENDEAVOR trial. However, unlike Velcade, Kyprolis does not offer an SC formulation. In the front-line setting, a Kyprolis regimen (Kyprolis + Revlimid + dex; KRd) failed to show superiority to a Velcade regimen (VRd). Nevertheless, the KRd regimen will likely continue to see some off-label use in the front-line setting due to KRd and VRd having different toxicity profiles. Generic versions of carfilzomib are expected to enter the EU and Japan markets in Q4 2025 and Q3 2026, respectively. In June 2020, after a challenge from Cipla, a US court upheld several Kyprolis patents, with the latest expiring in December 2027. In June 2021, Breckenridge and its Indian partner Natco Pharma disclosed a settlement allowing launch of a generic carfilzomib on a date “in 2027 or sooner depending on certain occurrences.” 
    第二代蛋白酶体抑制剂 Kyprolis(卡非佐米)获批作为单药或与地塞米松、Darzalex 联合地塞米松、或 Revlimid 联合地塞米松的方案用于复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤的治疗。在 III 期 ENDEAVOR 试验中,Kyprolis 相较于另一款蛋白酶体抑制剂 Velcade 展现出更优的安全性和疗效,因此仍是该疾病领域的首选 PI 类药物。但与 Velcade 不同,Kyprolis 未提供皮下注射剂型。在一线治疗中,Kyprolis 方案(KRd:卡非佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松)未能显示出对 Velcade 方案(VRd)的优越性。不过由于 KRd 与 VRd 具有不同的毒性特征,KRd 方案预计仍会在超适应症范围内继续用于一线治疗。卡非佐米的仿制药预计将分别于 2025 年第四季度和 2026 年第三季度进入欧盟和日本市场。2020 年 6 月,经过 Cipla 公司的专利挑战后,美国法院维持了 Kyprolis 多项专利的有效性,其中最晚到期日为 2027 年 12 月。2021 年 6 月,Breckenridge 及其印度合作伙伴 Natco Pharma 披露的和解协议允许其"在 2027 年或更早时间(取决于特定条件)"推出仿制版卡非佐米。

  • In combination with Revlimid + dex, Ninlaro (ixazomib), the first oral PI approved by the FDA, is part of an all-oral regimen for the treatment of second-line or later patients. However, Ninlaro has not been able to break through to front-line therapy after the Phase III TOURMALINE-MM2 trial investigating it as an induction therapy failed to meet the PFS primary endpoint. 
    与来那度胺+地塞米松联用的 Ninlaro(伊沙佐米)是首个获得食品药品监督管理局批准的口服蛋白酶体抑制剂,构成全口服方案用于二线及以上患者的治疗。然而在 TOURMALINE-MM2 三期试验中,Ninlaro 作为诱导疗法的研究未能达到无进展生存期主要终点,因此始终未能突破进入一线治疗领域。

  • Empliciti (elotuzumab), the only SLAMF7-targeted mAb approved for MM, has seen moderate uptake since the combination of Empliciti + Revlimid + dex (ERd) was approved for the treatment of MM patients who have received one to three prior lines of therapy. A label expansion in combination with Pomalyst + dex for the treatment of third-line or later patients expanded options for the use of Empliciti in the treatment of RRMM, but did not significantly improve the drug’s commercial potential in this crowded treatment space.  
    作为目前唯一获批用于多发性骨髓瘤的 SLAMF7 靶向单抗,Empliciti(埃罗妥珠单抗)自获批联合来那度胺+地塞米松(ERd 方案)用于接受过 1-3 线治疗的患者以来,市场接受度较为温和。虽然该药与泊马度胺+地塞米松联用治疗三线及以上患者的适应症扩展为复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤提供了更多治疗选择,但在这个竞争激烈的治疗领域并未显著提升该药物的商业潜力。

  • Xpovio (selinexor) received supplementary approvals in the US (December 2020) and EU (July 2022) as part of a triple combination with bortezomib and dex for second- to fourth-line MM. While Xpovio cannot compete with bispecifics on efficacy, its novel mechanism of action means it is used in patients who have exhausted other options or who are not suited for bispecifics or CAR-T therapy. EMN29 is a Phase III trial evaluating the all-oral triplet of Xpovio + Pomalyst + dex for second-line or later MM; the comparator is Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex, and topline data are expected in H1 2025.  
    Xpovio(塞利尼索)在美国(2020 年 12 月)和欧盟(2022 年 7 月)获得补充批准,作为与硼替佐米和地塞米松三联方案用于二至四线多发性骨髓瘤治疗。虽然 Xpovio 在疗效上无法与双特异性抗体竞争,但其新颖的作用机制使其适用于已耗尽其他治疗选择或不适合双抗及 CAR-T 疗法的患者。EMN29 是一项评估 Xpovio+泊马度胺+地塞米松全口服三联方案用于二线及以上骨髓瘤治疗的 III 期试验,对照组采用埃罗妥珠单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松方案,顶线数据预计于 2025 年上半年公布。

  • Iberdomide is a next-generation IMiD being developed by Bristol Myers Squibb, and binds the E3 ligase cereblon with higher affinity than Revlimid and Pomalyst. A Phase III trial (EXCALIBER-RRMM) is comparing iberdomide + Darzalex + dex versus Darzalex + bortezomib + dex in second-line and third-line MM patients. A second Phase III trial, EXCALIBER-Maintenance, will compare iberdomide to lenalidomide in the post-transplant maintenance setting. 
    伊伯度胺是百时美施贵宝研发的新一代免疫调节剂,其与 E3 泛素连接酶 cereblon 的结合亲和力高于来那度胺和泊马度胺。III 期试验 EXCALIBER-RRMM 正在比较伊伯度胺+达雷妥尤单抗+地塞米松与达雷妥尤单抗+硼替佐米+地塞米松在二线及三线骨髓瘤患者中的疗效。另一项 III 期试验 EXCALIBER-Maintenance 将在移植后维持治疗中对比伊伯度胺与来那度胺的疗效。

  • Just as Pomalyst was developed for patients who progress on Revlimid, Bristol Myers Squibb is developing mezigdomide, an IMiD even more potent than iberdomide, for second-line or later patients who progress on iberdomide. SUCCESSOR-1 is a head-to-head Phase III trial comparing mezigdomide + bortezomib + dex to Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex. A second Phase III trial, SUCCESSOR-2, is an add-on trial comparing mezigdomide + Kyprolis + dex to Kyprolis + dex. 
    正如泊马度胺是为对来那度胺进展的患者所研发,百时美施贵宝正在开发比伊伯度胺更有效的免疫调节药物 mezigdomide,用于对伊伯度胺进展的二线或后线患者。SUCCESSOR-1 是一项头对头的 III 期临床试验,比较 mezigdomide+硼替佐米+地塞米松与泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松的疗效。另一项 III 期试验 SUCCESSOR-2 则是附加试验,比较 mezigdomide+卡非佐米+地塞米松与卡非佐米+地塞米松的疗效。

  • Key recent events include approval of Lynozofic in the EU, Blenrep in the UK and Japan, and supplementary approvals for SC Darzalex (approval in the US and EU supported by PERSEUS, approval in the EU supported by CEPHEUS), and Sarclisa (supported by IMROZ), as well as positive Phase III data for Blenrep (DREAMM-7 and DREAMM-8), SC Darzalex (PERSEUS, CEPHEUS and AQUILA), and Sarclisa (IMROZ, GMMG HD7 and IRAKLIA). 
    近期重要事件包括:Lynozofic 在欧盟获批,Blenrep 在英国和日本获批,SC Darzalex 获得补充批准(美国及欧盟批准基于 PERSEUS 研究,欧盟批准基于 CEPHEUS 研究),Sarclisa 获得批准(基于 IMROZ 研究),以及 Blenrep(DREAMM-7 和 DREAMM-8 研究)、SC Darzalex(PERSEUS、CEPHEUS 和 AQUILA 研究)和 Sarclisa(IMROZ、GMMG HD7 和 IRAKLIA 研究)取得积极的 III 期临床数据

  • Key pivotal trial readouts expected during 2025 include Xpovio’s EMN29, Sarclisa’s IMROZ (PFS following a second randomization after transplant to determine the effect of adding Sarclisa to maintenance therapy), anito-cel's iMMagine-1, Elrexfio’s MagnetisMM-5, and Tecvayli’s MajesTEC-3. 
    2025 年预计将公布的关键性临床试验结果包括:Xpovio 的 EMN29 研究、Sarclisa 的 IMROZ 研究(移植后二次随机分组的无进展生存期分析,旨在评估维持治疗中加入 Sarclisa 的效果)、anito-cel 的 iMMagine-1 研究、Elrexfio 的 MagnetisMM-5 研究以及 Tecvayli 的 MajesTEC-3 研究。

  • Key FDA approvals expected during 2025 include Blenrep for second-line or later MM, Lynozyfic for fourth-line or later MM, and a Darzalex quadruplet for transplant-ineligible MM (CEPHEUS). 
    2025 年预计将获得美国食品药品监督管理局批准的关键药物包括:用于二线及以上多发性骨髓瘤治疗的 Blenrep、用于四线及以上治疗的 Lynozyfic,以及针对不适合移植患者的 Darzalex 四联疗法(CEPHEUS 研究方案)。

  • Three drugs with accelerated approval have been removed from the US market: Blenrep, which failed its confirmatory Phase III trial but is expected to return to the market in 2025 after positive results in two other Phase III trials; Pepaxto (melphalan-flufenamide), which reported a negative OS signal in its Phase III trial; and Farydak (panobinostat), which did not complete a required post-approval clinical study. Pepaxto and Farydak continue to be marketed in the EU. 
    三款获得加速审批的药物已从美国市场撤市:Blenrep 虽在三期验证性试验中失败,但基于另外两项三期试验的积极结果,预计将于 2025 年重返市场;Pepaxto(美法仑-氟芬那胺)在其三期试验中报告了总生存期负面信号;Farydak(帕比司他)则未完成批准后要求的临床研究。Pepaxto 和 Farydak 目前仍在欧盟市场销售。

Disease Background  疾病背景

Definition  定义

MM is a hematological malignancy characterized by the infiltration of malignant, antibody-producing plasma cells in the bone marrow. The disease represents approximately 1% of all cancers, and 10% of hematological cancers. The hallmarks of MM are high levels of monoclonal (M-) protein, high levels of clonal plasma cells in the bone marrow, and organ damage. Plasma cells normally produce antibodies in response to infection or allergens, but in MM a plasma cell clone starts to proliferate and produce excessive amounts of one type of abnormal antibody, referred to as M-protein or paraprotein. In addition to high levels of M-protein, most patients with active MM have some form of organ damage caused by the proliferation of plasma cells and the high levels of protein in the blood and urine. Typical signs of organ damage include hypercalcemia, renal insufficiency, anemia, and bone lesions.
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)是一种血液系统恶性肿瘤,其特征为骨髓中恶性浆细胞(抗体生成细胞)的浸润。该疾病约占所有癌症的 1%,占血液系统癌症的 10%。多发性骨髓瘤的标志性特征包括:单克隆(M)蛋白水平升高、骨髓中克隆性浆细胞增多以及器官损伤正常情况下,浆细胞会针对感染或过敏原产生抗体,但在多发性骨髓瘤中,浆细胞克隆开始增殖并过量产生一种异常抗体(称为 M 蛋白或副蛋白)。除 M 蛋白水平升高外,大多数活动期多发性骨髓瘤患者还会因浆细胞增殖及血液和尿液中蛋白含量过高而出现某种形式的器官损伤。器官损伤的典型体征包括高钙血症、肾功能不全、贫血和骨骼病变。

The prognosis of MM is dependent on the stage of the disease as determined by diagnostic tests using samples of blood, urine, and bone marrow, as well as the cytogenic abnormality status of the disease. While the prognosis for a patient presenting with MM changed markedly from the 1990s to the 2010s, the disease remains incurable. Before the introduction of alkylating agents, the median survival was less than a year after diagnosis. With treatment advances such as the introduction of stem cell transplant, and targeted therapies such as immunomodulatory agents and proteasome inhibitors, the prognosis has drastically improved. In 1990, the relative five-year survival rate for patients diagnosed with MM in the US was 29.9%. For patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2016, this number had risen to 53.9%.
多发性骨髓瘤的预后取决于通过血液、尿液和骨髓样本诊断检测确定的疾病分期,以及该疾病的细胞遗传学异常状态。虽然从 1990 年代到 2010 年代,多发性骨髓瘤患者的预后发生了显著变化,但该疾病仍无法治愈。在烷化剂问世前,诊断后的中位生存期不足一年。随着干细胞移植等治疗手段的引入,以及免疫调节药物和蛋白酶体抑制剂等靶向疗法的应用,患者预后得到显著改善。1990 年美国多发性骨髓瘤确诊患者的五年相对生存率为 29.9%,而 2010 至 2016 年间确诊患者的这一数字已上升至 53.9%。

Risk factors  风险因素

MM occurs in all races; however, incidence is two to three times higher in individuals of African ancestry compared to Caucasians. Almost all cases of MM occur in those aged over 40 years, with the median age of diagnosis being 69 years. Aside from age, gender, and ethnicity, risk factors for MM remain to be fully elucidated. Obesity, chemical exposures, and radiation have been proposed as potential causes; however, the evidence is mixed. Meanwhile, familial clustering of MM and increased risk in individuals with a family history of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) – a premalignant precursor of MM – indicate a strong genetic influence.
多发性骨髓瘤可发生于所有种族;然而,非洲裔人群的发病率比白种人高 2 至 3 倍。几乎所有病例都发生在 40 岁以上人群中,诊断中位年龄为 69 岁。除年龄、性别和种族外,多发性骨髓瘤的其他风险因素尚未完全明确。肥胖、化学物质接触和辐射被认为是潜在诱因,但相关证据存在矛盾。同时,多发性骨髓瘤的家族聚集性以及意义未明的单克隆丙种球蛋白病(MGUS,多发性骨髓瘤的癌前病变)家族史人群的更高风险,表明遗传因素具有重要影响。

Presentation  临床表现

MM is almost always preceded by the premalignant stage – MGUS – followed by the intermediate stage, smoldering MM (SMM). MGUS is a premalignant stage to MM that occurs in approximately 3–4% of the population over 50 years of age, with prevalence increasing with age. The risk of progression to MM is approximately 1% per year. SMM is an asymptomatic, intermediate stage between MGUS and active MM. The overall risk of progression from SMM to active disease is approximately 10% per year for the first five years, 3% per year for the subsequent five years, and 1% per year for the following 10 years. Although MM patients with early-stage disease do not require immediate treatment, once a diagnosis is made, oncology referral is recommended for all patients. Hematologists and medical oncologists direct treatment of symptomatic myeloma.
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)几乎总是由癌前阶段——意义未明的单克隆丙种球蛋白病(MGUS)——发展而来,随后进入中间阶段即冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤(SMM)。MGUS 是 MM 的癌前阶段,约 3-4%的 50 岁以上人群会出现此症状,且患病率随年龄增长而上升。其进展为 MM 的年风险率约为 1%。SMM 是介于 MGUS 与活动性 MM 之间的无症状过渡阶段。从 SMM 进展为活动性疾病的总体风险率约为:前五年每年 10%,随后五年每年 3%,之后十年每年 1%。虽然早期 MM 患者无需立即治疗,但确诊后建议所有患者转诊至肿瘤科。血液科和肿瘤内科医师负责症状性骨髓瘤的治疗。

Both MGUS and SMM are defined by the presence of M-protein in the serum, without any other signs of MM or any other plasma cell malignancies. The stages are distinguished by the levels of M-protein in the serum and clonal bone marrow plasma cells. The diagnostic criteria for MGUS and SMM are outlined in the table below.
MGUS 和 SMM 的共同特征是血清中存在 M 蛋白,但无其他 MM 体征或其他浆细胞恶性肿瘤表现。两者的区分依据是血清 M 蛋白水平和克隆性骨髓浆细胞数量。下表概述了 MGUS 与 SMM 的诊断标准。

Diagnostic criteria for MGUS and smoldering multiple myeloma
MGUS 和冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤的诊断标准

 
Serum M-protein  血清 M 蛋白
Clonal bone marrow plasma cells
克隆性骨髓浆细胞
End organ damage  终末器官损伤

MGUS

<3g/dL  <3 克/分升

<10%

None  

SMM

≥3g/dL  ≥3 克/分升

10–59%

None  

 

Symptoms  症状

Early-stage MM is often asymptomatic, and symptoms are often difficult to detect as the disease progresses. It can be difficult to diagnose active MM as many presenting symptoms can often appear to be part of a differential diagnosis. However, advanced disease does present with more definable symptoms, which are outlined in the table below.
早期多发性骨髓瘤通常无症状,随着疾病进展,症状往往难以察觉。由于许多表现症状常与其他诊断相似,确诊活动性多发性骨髓瘤可能存在困难。不过,晚期病症确实会呈现更明确的症状,如下表所述。

Symptoms of advanced multiple myeloma
晚期多发性骨髓瘤的症状

Symptom  症状
Description  描述

Bone weakness and/or bone pain
骨骼脆弱和/或骨痛

Bone weakness and pain arise from bone lesions caused by a disruption in the osteoclast and osteoblast balance. The rapid growth of MM cells inhibits the bone-forming osteoblasts and secretes a factor activating osteoclasts – cells that break down bone. Pain usually occurs in the backbone, hip bone, and skull. The risk of broken bones from minor stresses or injuries is high.
骨骼脆弱和疼痛源于破骨细胞与成骨细胞平衡被破坏导致的骨损伤。多发性骨髓瘤细胞的快速增殖会抑制成骨细胞的骨形成功能,同时分泌激活破骨细胞的因子——这种细胞会分解骨骼。疼痛通常发生在脊椎、髋骨和颅骨部位。轻微外力或损伤就极易引发骨折。

High blood calcium  高血钙症

The high rate of bone dissolution leads to increased calcium levels in the blood. This can generate secondary effects such as kidney problems, constipation, increased thirst and urination, fatigue/confusion, and loss of appetite. Very high levels of calcium in the blood can lead to a coma or cardiac arrest.
骨骼的高溶解率导致血液中钙含量升高。这可能引发肾脏问题、便秘、口渴多尿、疲劳/意识模糊及食欲减退等继发效应。血液中钙含量极高时可能导致昏迷或心脏骤停。

Low blood counts  血细胞计数偏低

The rapid growth of MM in the bone marrow impairs the normal blood-forming process and leads to low levels of both red and white blood cells, and sometimes blood platelets. This leads to symptoms such as anemia, impaired immune system leading to an increased susceptibility for infections, and increased risk of bleeding.
多发性骨髓瘤在骨髓中的快速生长会损害正常造血功能,导致红细胞、白细胞及有时血小板水平降低。这将引发贫血、免疫系统受损导致感染易感性增加,以及出血风险上升等症状。

Nervous system dysfunction
神经系统功能障碍

Weakening bone structures caused by myeloma cells can press on certain nerves and cause spinal cord compression which may lead to severe pain, weakness, tingling, or numbness. The presence of abnormal proteins from myeloma cells can also cause a dangerous thickening of the blood, known as hyperviscosity, leading to the slowing of blood flow to the brain, resulting in stroke-like symptoms including weakness on one side of the body, slurred speech, confusion, and dizziness.
骨髓瘤细胞导致的骨骼结构弱化可能压迫特定神经,引发脊髓压迫,从而导致剧烈疼痛、乏力、刺痛或麻木感。骨髓瘤细胞产生的异常蛋白还会造成血液异常黏稠(即高黏滞血症),致使脑部供血减缓,引发类似中风的症状,包括单侧肢体无力、言语含糊、意识混乱及头晕。

Kidney problems  肾脏问题

High levels of calcium and M-protein in the blood can give rise to reduced kidney functions. Symptoms include leg swelling, weakness, itching, shortness of breath, and changes in the amount of urine being produced.
血液中钙和 M 蛋白水平过高可能导致肾功能下降。症状包括腿部肿胀、虚弱、瘙痒、呼吸急促以及尿量变化。

Infections  感染

Patients with MM are at more risk of developing infections than healthy patients, and may be slower to respond to treatment.
多发性骨髓瘤患者比健康人群更容易发生感染,且对治疗的反应可能较慢。

 

Diagnosis  诊断

If a patient presents with symptoms that suggest the presence of active MM, multiple tests are used in order to make the diagnosis, including blood, urine, bone marrow, and imaging tests. Blood and urine tests are used to measure the number of normal red blood cells, white blood cells, and platelets, the level of kidney function, and the presence of excessive protein in the blood or urine. Bone marrow that contains greater than 10% clonal plasma cells is suggestive of MM. In order to determine the percentage, bone marrow aspirations and biopsies are performed. Physicians also employ CT, MRI, and PET scans to identify the bone and soft tissue disease sites. Additionally, serum analysis to determine what type of abnormal antibodies are present and chromosome analysis to determine cytogenetic abnormalities should be done to further characterize the disease.
如果患者出现提示活动性多发性骨髓瘤的症状,需通过多项检测来确诊,包括血液、尿液、骨髓和影像学检查。血液和尿液检测用于测量正常红细胞、白细胞和血小板数量、肾功能水平以及血液或尿液中是否存在过量蛋白质。骨髓中克隆浆细胞比例超过 10%则提示多发性骨髓瘤。为确定该比例,需进行骨髓穿刺和活检。医生还会采用 CT、核磁共振和 PET 扫描来识别骨骼和软组织病变部位。此外,应通过血清分析确定异常抗体类型,并通过染色体分析检测细胞遗传学异常,从而进一步明确疾病特征。

The International Myeloma Working Group criteria for MM diagnosis are outlined below:
国际骨髓瘤工作组制定的多发性骨髓瘤诊断标准如下:

At least 10% clonal bone marrow plasma cells, or biopsy-proven bony or extramedullary plasmacytomas, in addition to one of the following myeloma-defining events:
除满足以下至少一项骨髓瘤定义事件外,还需存在≥10%的克隆性骨髓浆细胞或经活检证实的骨/髓外浆细胞瘤:

  • Evidence of end organ damage that can be attributed to underlying plasma cell proliferative disorder, defined as:
    可归因于潜在浆细胞增殖性疾病的终末器官损害证据,定义为:

    • Hypercalcemia – Serum calcium >0.25mmol/L higher than the upper limit of normal, or >2.75mmol/L
      高钙血症——血清钙高于正常值上限 0.25mmol/L,或>2.75mmol/L

    • Renal insufficiency – Creatinine clearance <40mL/min or serum creatinine >2mg/dL
      肾功能不全——肌酐清除率<40mL/min 或血清肌酐>2mg/dL

    • Anemia – Hemoglobin value >2g/dL below the lower limit of normal, or a hemoglobin value <10g/dL
      贫血——血红蛋白值低于正常下限>2g/dL,或血红蛋白值<10g/dL

    • Bone lesions – One or more osteolytic lesions on skeletal radiography, CT, or PET scan.
      骨骼病变——骨骼 X 线、CT 或 PET 扫描显示一处或多处溶骨性病变

  • Or at least one of the following biomarkers of malignancy:
    或至少满足以下一项恶性肿瘤生物标志物:

    • clonal bone marrow plasma cells of ≥60%
      克隆性骨髓浆细胞比例≥60%

    • abnormal serum free light chain ratio of ≥100 (involved kappa) or ≤0.01 (involved lambda)
      血清游离轻链比例异常:κ链≥100 或λ链≤0.01

    • more than one focal lesion on MRI scans ≥5mm.
      核磁共振扫描显示超过一处≥5 毫米的局灶性病变

Patient segmentation  患者细分

MM can be classified according to several different staging systems, including Durie-Salmon staging, the International Staging System (ISS), and the revised ISS. Greipp et al. (2005) developed the ISS for MM to make simple and reliable staging criteria available that could be applied internationally as a guideline for treatment. The ISS system only applies to patients who have already been diagnosed with active MM.
多发性骨髓瘤可根据多种不同分期系统进行分类,包括杜氏-萨尔蒙分期、国际分期系统(ISS)以及修订版国际分期系统。Greipp 等人(2005 年)为多发性骨髓瘤开发了国际分期系统,旨在提供一套简单可靠且能在全球范围内作为治疗指南应用的分期标准。该国际分期系统仅适用于已确诊为活动性多发性骨髓瘤的患者。

ISS criteria for multiple myeloma
国际分期系统(ISS)对多发性骨髓瘤的分期标准

Stage  分期
ISS criteria  ISS 分期标准

I

Serum beta-2 microglobulin <3.5mg/L, serum albumin ≥3.5g/dL
血清β2 微球蛋白<3.5mg/L,血清白蛋白≥3.5g/dL

II

Serum beta-2 microglobulin <3.5mg/L but serum albumin <3.5g/dL OR Serum beta-2 microglobulin 3.5mg/L to <5.5mg/L
血清β2 微球蛋白<3.5mg/L 但血清白蛋白<3.5g/dL 或 血清β2 微球蛋白 3.5mg/L 至<5.5mg/L

III

Serum beta-2 microglobulin ≥5.5mg/L
血清β2 微球蛋白≥5.5mg/L

 

In 2014, a revised ISS (R-ISS) was developed which includes known prognostic biomarkers. It combines the factors used in the ISS with chromosomal abnormalities in plasma cells enriched from the bone marrow, detected by fluorescent in situ hybridization, and levels of serum lactate dehydrogenase. As research continues, it is likely that the R-ISS system will evolve as well. The table below depicts the criteria for the three different stages in the R-ISS.
2014 年修订的国际分期系统(R-ISS)纳入了已知的预后生物标志物。该系统结合了原 ISS 分期要素、通过荧光原位杂交检测的骨髓浆细胞染色体异常,以及血清乳酸脱氢酶水平。随着研究深入,R-ISS 体系也将持续完善。下表展示了 R-ISS 三个分期标准的具体指标。

R-ISS criteria for multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤 R-ISS 分期标准

Stage  阶段
R-ISS criteria  R-ISS 分期标准

I

ISS Stage I, normal serum LDH, and standard-risk CA
ISS 分期 I 期,血清 LDH 正常,标准风险 CA

II

Not ISS Stage I or III
非 ISS 分期 I 期或 III 期

III

ISS Stage III and high-serum LDH or high-risk CA (del(17p) and/or translocation t(4;14) and/or translocation t(14;16))
ISS 分期 III 期且血清 LDH 升高或高危细胞遗传学异常(del(17p)和/或 t(4;14)易位和/或 t(14;16)易位)

 

Co-morbidities  合并症

MM is associated with a number of co-morbidities caused by excess protein in the blood and urine, proliferating plasma cells, or the drugs used for treating the patient. The levels of co-morbidities and disease-related complications increase as patients progress to receive later lines of therapy, contributing to the difficulty for these patients late in the treatment algorithm. The table below depicts some of the common co-morbidities associated with MM, including common causes and treatment options.
多发性骨髓瘤会引发多种合并症,这些症状源于血液和尿液中过量蛋白质、浆细胞增殖或治疗药物。随着患者进入后期治疗阶段,合并症与疾病相关并发症的发生率会上升,导致患者在治疗算法后期面临更大挑战。下表列举了多发性骨髓瘤常见的合并症类型,包括典型诱因及治疗方案。

Common co-morbidities associated with multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤常见共病

Co-morbidity  合并症
Cause  病因
Treatment options  治疗方案

Bony manifestations  骨骼表现

Proliferation of malignant plasma cells causing osteopenia and/or osteolytic lesions
恶性浆细胞增殖导致骨质减少和/或溶骨性病变

Bisphosphates. Potentially analgesics and radiation therapy for the pain
双磷酸盐类药物。可能需要镇痛药和放射治疗来缓解疼痛

Hypercalcemia  高钙血症

Excess bone resorption giving rise to high calcium levels in the blood
过度骨吸收导致血液中钙水平升高

Hydration/furosemide, steroids, calcitonin, bisphosphates
水化治疗/呋塞米、类固醇、降钙素、双膦酸盐

Hyperviscosity  血液高黏滞综合征

High levels of M-protein in the blood
血液中 M 蛋白水平过高

Plasmapheresis  血浆置换术

Anemia  贫血

Increasing levels of plasma cells in the bone marrow suppress the normal production of blood cells, including red blood cells
骨髓中浆细胞水平升高会抑制正常血细胞的生成,包括红细胞

Erythropoietin  促红细胞生成素

Infection  感染

Suppressed formation of white blood cells in the bone marrow due to proliferating plasma cells. PI-associated herpes zoster infection
骨髓中浆细胞增殖导致白细胞生成受抑。PI 相关带状疱疹感染

Vaccination, antiviral and antifungal prophylaxis, IV immunoglobulin therapy should be considered for life-threatening infections
对于危及生命的感染,应考虑接种疫苗、使用抗病毒药和抗真菌药预防性治疗,以及静脉注射免疫球蛋白疗法

Renal dysfunction  肾功能障碍

High levels of calcium and proteins in the blood lead to kidney complications
血液中钙和蛋白质水平过高会导致肾脏并发症

Maintain hydration, avoid non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, plasmapheresis, avoid IV contrast
保持水分,避免使用非甾体抗炎药,进行血浆置换,避免静脉造影

Coagulation/thrombosis  凝血/血栓形成

IMiD treatment  免疫调节剂治疗

Prophylactic anti-coagulation agents
预防性抗凝药物

IMiD = immunomodulatory drug; IV = intravenous; PI = proteasome inhibitor
IMiD = 免疫调节药物;IV = 静脉注射;PI = 蛋白酶体抑制剂

 

Subtypes  亚型

MM is a cytogenetically heterogeneous disease that includes several different molecular subtypes. The subtypes can be categorized into two main classifications based on alternation of the karyotype: hyperdiploid and non-hyperdiploid MM. Hyperdiploid MM is characterized by trisomies (additional chromosome copies), while non-hyperdiploid MM is characterized by different types of aberrant chromosome patterns including loss of chromosomes, translocations giving rise to a pseudodiploid karyotype, or near-tetraploid karyotype. The table below depicts some of the most common cytogenetic abnormalities associated with MM.
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)是一种细胞遗传学异质性疾病,包含多种不同的分子亚型。根据核型改变情况,这些亚型可分为两大类:超二倍体和非超二倍体 MM。超二倍体 MM 的特征是存在三体性(染色体额外拷贝),而非超二倍体 MM 则表现为不同类型的染色体异常模式,包括染色体缺失、易位导致的假二倍体核型或近四倍体核型。下表列出了与 MM 相关的一些最常见细胞遗传学异常。

Common cytogenetic abnormalities associated with multiple myeloma
与多发性骨髓瘤相关的常见细胞遗传学异常

Cytogenetic abnormality  细胞遗传学异常
Cases  病例
Characteristics  特征
Prognosis  预后

Hyperdiploid  超二倍体

40–45%

More common in elderly patients and higher association with bone disease than non-hyperdiploid MM. IgG-κ isotype
相比非超二倍体多发性骨髓瘤,更常见于老年患者且与骨骼疾病关联性更高。IgG-κ型

More favorable clinical picture compared to non-hyperdiploid
相较于非超二倍体患者,其临床预后更佳

Non-hyperdiploid  非超二倍体

40–50%  40-50%

High proportion of younger patients. IgA-λ isotype
年轻患者比例较高。IgA-λ同种型

More aggressive disease  更具侵袭性的疾病

MMSET (FGFR3) translocation t(4;14)(p16;q32)  
MMSET(FGFR3)易位 t(4;14)(p16;q32)

15%

Non-hyperdiploid subgroup. IgA heavy chain and lambda light chain isotypes
非超二倍体亚群。IgA 重链和λ轻链同种型

Short survival. Higher risk of progression from SMM to MM
生存期短。从冒烟型骨髓瘤进展为多发性骨髓瘤的风险更高

MAF translocation t(14;16)(q32;q23) t(14;20)(q32;q11) t(8;14)(q24.3;q32)
MAF 易位 t(14;16)(q32;q23) t(14;20)(q32;q11) t(8;14)(q24.3;q32)

5%

Non-hyperdiploid subgroup. IgA isotypes. High prevalence of chromosome 13 deletion
非超二倍体亚群。IgA 同种型。13 号染色体缺失的高发生率

More aggressive disease and poor clinical outcome
更具侵袭性的疾病和不良的临床预后

Cyclin D translocation t(11;14)(q13;32) t(6;14)(p21;q32) t(12;14)(p13;q32)
细胞周期蛋白 D 易位 t(11;14)(q13;32) t(6;14)(p21;q32) t(12;14)(p13;q32)

16%

Non-hyperdiploid subgroup. Associated with non-secretory or hyposecretory disease
非超二倍体亚群。与非分泌型或低分泌型疾病相关

Studies suggest a more favorable outcome
研究表明预后更佳

Chromosome 13 abnormality (deletion, monosomy)
13 号染色体异常(缺失、单体性)

50%

Hyperdiploid subgroup  超二倍体亚群

Associated with shorter survival, but this may be due to close association with high-risk genetic variants such as t(4;14)
与较短生存期相关,但这可能是由于与 t(4;14)等高危遗传变异密切关联所致

Chromosome 17p13 deletion
17 号染色体短臂 13 区缺失

10%

Hyperdiploid subgroup. Higher presence of extramedullary disease, hypercalcemia, and involvement of the central nervous system
超二倍体亚型。髓外疾病、高钙血症及中枢神经系统受累的发生率更高

Shorter survival and more aggressive disease. Shorter periods of response after high-dose therapy. Higher risk of progression from SMM to MM
生存期较短且疾病更具侵袭性。大剂量治疗后缓解期较短。从意义未明单克隆丙种球蛋白病进展为多发性骨髓瘤的风险更高

Chromosome 1 deletion or gain
1 号染色体缺失或增益

30–40%

Hyperdiploid subgroup  超二倍体亚组

Associated with poorer prognosis, shorter survival, and adverse outcomes
与较差的预后、较短的生存期和不良结局相关

FGFR = fibroblast growth factor receptor; Ig = immunoglobulin; MAF = musculoaponeurotic fibrosarcoma; MMSET = multiple myeloma SET domain
FGFR = 成纤维细胞生长因子受体;Ig = 免疫球蛋白;MAF = 肌肉腱膜纤维肉瘤;MMSET = 多发性骨髓瘤 SET 结构域

Source:  来源

American Cancer Society (2018)
美国癌症协会(2018 年)

Global Cancer Observatory (GCO) (2017)
全球癌症观察站(GCO)(2017 年)

Japanese Society of Hematology (JSH) (Treatment Guidelines, 2018)
日本血液学会(JSH)(2018 年治疗指南)

Journal Article 11/01/2014 (Rajkumar et al., 2014)
期刊文章 2014 年 11 月 1 日(Rajkumar 等人,2014 年)

Journal Article 08/01/2007 (Hideshima et al., 2007)
期刊文章 2007 年 8 月 1 日(Hideshima 等人,2007 年)

Treatment  治疗

Smoldering multiple myeloma
冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤

SMM patients do not typically present with symptoms such as bone lesions, anemia, renal failure, or hypercalcemia. The historic approach for management of SMM has been close observation but recently there has been mounting evidence that those with high-risk features may benefit from early intervention. Observation in three- to six-month intervals is recommended for SMM patients in lieu of primary pharmacological therapy. NCCN guidelines recommend enrolling high-risk SMM patients in clinical trials while off-label treatment with single-agent Revlimid is recommended only in carefully selected patients.
SMM 患者通常不会出现骨骼病变、贫血、肾功能衰竭或高钙血症等症状。历史上对 SMM 的管理方法是密切观察,但最近越来越多的证据表明,具有高风险特征的患者可能受益于早期干预。建议 SMM 患者每三到六个月进行观察,而非主要药物治疗。NCCN 指南建议将高风险 SMM 患者纳入临床试验,而单药 Revlimid 的超适应症治疗仅推荐用于经过严格筛选的患者。

Active multiple myeloma  活动性多发性骨髓瘤

Stem cell transplantation (SCT) is a critical component of active MM treatment for patients who are eligible. The procedure is used in conjunction with high-dose chemotherapy (using agents such as melphalan), which is given to destroy malignant plasma cells. The SCT subsequently helps to restore blood cell production in these patients. Regardless of SCT eligibility, all newly diagnosed active MM patients receive induction therapy (first line) in an effort to induce disease remission. For patients eligible for SCT, several cycles of induction therapy are given prior to the high-dose chemotherapy and SCT in order to reduce the tumor burden. Patients who delay transplant until relapse receive additional cycles of induction therapy followed by maintenance therapy.
干细胞移植(SCT)是适合患者进行多发性骨髓瘤积极治疗的关键组成部分。该手术与大剂量化疗(使用美法仑等药物)联合使用,旨在摧毁恶性浆细胞。随后,SCT 有助于恢复这些患者的血细胞生成。无论是否符合 SCT 条件,所有新确诊的活动性多发性骨髓瘤患者都需接受诱导治疗(一线治疗),以期实现疾病缓解。对于符合 SCT 条件的患者,在大剂量化疗和 SCT 前需进行数个周期的诱导治疗以减轻肿瘤负荷。将移植推迟至复发时进行的患者,需接受更多周期的诱导治疗,随后进行维持治疗。

As SCT can facilitate the use of a more aggressive treatment approach, determining SCT eligibility is a crucial step in the treatment decision-making process. A patient’s age and general physical health are some of the main factors that are considered when determining eligibility for transplant. Generally, older patients with poor hepatic, renal, pulmonary, and/or cardiac function are less likely to receive a transplant. However, renal dysfunction is not an absolute contraindication to transplant. Treatment for patients who are ineligible for SCT revolves around systemic therapy options, which have improved greatly over the past several years.
由于干细胞移植(SCT)有助于采用更积极的治疗方案,因此确定患者是否符合 SCT 条件是治疗决策过程中的关键步骤。患者的年龄和整体健康状况是评估移植适应症时考量的主要因素。通常,肝功能、肾功能、肺功能和/或心功能不佳的老年患者接受移植的可能性较低。但肾功能不全并非移植的绝对禁忌证。对于不符合 SCT 条件的患者,其治疗主要围绕全身性治疗方案展开——近年来这类方案已取得显著进展。

Active multiple myeloma: first line, SCT-eligible
活动性多发性骨髓瘤:一线治疗,符合干细胞移植条件

Induction  诱导治疗

The NCCN guidelines list the quadruplet combination of Dara-VRd (Darzalex+ bortezomib + Revlimid + dex) as the preferred induction therapy for SCT-eligible patients to ensure remission and allow for a successful subsequent SCT procedure. VCD (bortezomib + cyclophosphamide + dex) is a preferred regimen for patients with acute renal insufficiency and/or peripheral neuropathy. NCCN guidelines do not specify the number of cycles, but Rajkumar and Kumar (2020) recommend 3–4 cycles of Dara-VRd. For patients delaying SCT until relapse, the authors recommend stem cell collection and cryopreservation after the first 3–4 cycles, followed by an additional 5–8 cycles of VRd.
美国国家综合癌症网络(NCCN)指南将 Dara-VRd(达雷妥尤单抗+硼替佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松)四联方案列为适合干细胞移植(SCT)患者首选的诱导治疗,以确保缓解并为后续成功进行 SCT 创造条件。对于急性肾功能不全和/或周围神经病变患者,VCD(硼替佐米+环磷酰胺+地塞米松)是优选方案。NCCN 指南未具体规定治疗周期数,但 Rajkumar 和 Kumar(2020 年)建议进行 3-4 个周期的 Dara-VRd 治疗。对于推迟至复发时才进行 SCT 的患者,作者建议在前 3-4 个周期治疗后进行干细胞采集和冷冻保存,随后再追加 5-8 个周期的 VRd 治疗。

Stem cell transplantation
干细胞移植

Following induction therapy, NCCN and ESMO treatment guidelines recommend high-dose melphalan followed by autologous SCT (ASCT) as the standard of care. The NCCN guidelines also list delaying transplant until relapse as an option. Transplant is not curative in MM, but has been shown to increase survival by 12 months.
诱导治疗后,NCCN 和欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)治疗指南推荐大剂量马法兰预处理后进行自体干细胞移植(ASCT)作为标准治疗方案。NCCN 指南也将延迟移植至复发时进行列为可选方案。干细胞移植虽不能治愈多发性骨髓瘤,但已被证实可使患者生存期延长 12 个月。

Tandem SCT refers to a planned second course of high-dose therapy and SCT within six months of the first course. The NCCN guidelines list tandem transplant, with or without maintenance, as an option for all SCT-eligible patients, for patients who do not achieve at least a very good partial response (VGPR) after the first SCT, and those with high-risk features. ESMO guidelines recommend tandem transplant for patients with high-risk disease or in all patients who received VCD induction therapy.
串联干细胞移植(Tandem SCT)是指在首次疗程后六个月内计划进行的第二次大剂量治疗及干细胞移植。美国国家综合癌症网络(NCCN)指南将串联移植(无论是否维持治疗)列为所有符合移植条件患者的可选方案,特别适用于首次移植后未达到至少非常好的部分缓解(VGPR)的患者以及具有高风险特征的患者。欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)指南则建议高风险疾病患者或所有接受 VCD 诱导治疗的患者进行串联移植。

Allogeneic SCT is seldom used due to a lack of clinical data supporting its selection over autologous SCT, the associated logistical challenge of finding a suitable donor, and the increased morbidity often associated with the procedure.
异基因干细胞移植(Allogeneic SCT)由于缺乏支持其优于自体移植的临床数据、寻找合适供体的相关操作难题,以及该手术通常伴随的高发病率,目前很少采用。

A substantial proportion of the patients initially considered to be eligible for SCT will not go ahead with a transplant following induction therapy. These patients either delay transplant or are no longer deemed suitable after induction therapy due to insufficient organ function after induction therapy. Difficulties harvesting the patient’s stem cells and the patient’s own decision to forego the SCT procedure also contribute to the high number of non-transplant patients in this setting.
最初被认为符合干细胞移植条件的患者中,有相当大比例在诱导治疗后最终不会进行移植。这些患者要么推迟移植,要么因诱导治疗后器官功能不足而被认为不再适合移植。此外,采集患者干细胞困难以及患者自行决定放弃移植手术,也是导致该情况下非移植患者数量居高不下的原因。

Pharmacological consolidation
药物巩固治疗

Patients who have responded to induction therapy and SCT may then receive consolidation therapy, which may include continuation of pharmacological induction regimens. Due to the lack of supportive data, NCCN treatment guidelines do not specify a preferred pharmacological consolidation regimen. The ESMO guidelines note that consolidation therapy post-SCT has not yet been established as standard therapy, but two cycles of VRd consolidation can be considered in patients treated with VCD induction. Patients who respond to consolidation therapy and those with stable disease may then receive maintenance therapy to prolong disease remission.
对诱导治疗和干细胞移植有反应的患者随后可能接受巩固治疗,其中可能包括延续药物诱导方案。由于缺乏支持性数据,NCCN 治疗指南并未指定首选的药物巩固方案。ESMO 指南指出,干细胞移植后的巩固治疗尚未被确立为标准疗法,但对于接受 VCD 诱导治疗的患者,可考虑进行两个周期的 VRd 巩固治疗。对巩固治疗有反应的患者以及病情稳定的患者,随后可接受维持治疗以延长疾病缓解期。

Maintenance therapy  维持治疗

Maintenance therapy can prolong disease remission in patients who respond to primary therapy and have stable disease. Typically, maintenance therapies are administered to younger and healthier patients, as late-phase trials have yet to demonstrate survival advantages of maintenance treatment in elderly patients. Maintenance therapy usually consists of less aggressive pharmacological therapy. NCCN guidelines recommend Revlimid as a preferred regimen, with Kyprolis + Revlimid and Darzalex + Revlimid listed as other recommended regimens. ESMO guidelines list Revlimid as the standard of care, and note that bortezomib may be considered for patients with high-risk disease. Ninlaro is mentioned but with the proviso that it is not approved in this setting by either the FDA or EMA. 
对于对初始治疗有反应且病情稳定的患者,维持治疗可延长疾病缓解期。通常维持治疗适用于年轻且健康状况较好的患者,因为晚期试验尚未证明维持治疗能为老年患者带来生存获益。维持治疗通常采用强度较低的药物治疗方案。美国国家综合癌症网络指南推荐来那度胺作为首选方案,卡非佐米+来那度胺与达雷妥尤单抗+来那度胺列为其他推荐方案。欧洲肿瘤内科学会指南将来那度胺列为标准治疗方案,并指出高危疾病患者可考虑使用硼替佐米。虽然提及了伊沙佐米,但特别说明该药物尚未获得美国食品药品监督管理局或欧洲药品管理局在此适应症上的批准。

In contrast to the US and EU treatment guidelines, the Japanese Society of Hematology clinical practice guidelines do not endorse a standard maintenance treatment in MM patients, and recommend that all maintenance treatment decisions be made on a per-patient level to account for specific co-morbidities as well as economic factors.
与美国和欧盟的治疗指南不同,日本血液学会临床实践指南并未推荐多发性骨髓瘤患者的标准维持治疗方案,建议所有维持治疗决策应根据患者个体情况制定,需考虑特定合并症及经济因素。

Active multiple myeloma: first line, SCT-ineligible
活动性多发性骨髓瘤:一线治疗,不适合干细胞移植者

Induction  诱导治疗

Patients diagnosed with MM who are not eligible for transplantation receive pharmacological therapy in an effort to induce remission. In general, primary therapy is given continuously until progression or unacceptable toxicity with de-escalation (modification of dose and duration) as needed. The NCCN treatment guidelines recommend VRd, Dara-Rd and Sarclisa-VRd with VCd preferred primarily for patients with acute renal insufficiency. KRd is listed under other recommended regimens. The ESMO guidelines list Dara-Rd, Dara-VMP, and VRd as the standards of care. If the preferred regimens are not available, the ESMO guidelines recommend VMP and Rd.
不适合接受移植治疗的多发性骨髓瘤患者需接受药物治疗以诱导缓解。通常情况下,初始治疗将持续进行直至病情进展或出现不可耐受的毒性反应,必要时会采取降阶梯治疗(调整剂量和疗程)。美国国家综合癌症网络指南推荐 VRd 方案、Dara-Rd 方案及 Sarclisa-VRd 方案,其中 VCd 方案主要适用于急性肾功能不全患者,KRd 方案则列在其他推荐方案中。欧洲肿瘤内科学会指南将 Dara-Rd 方案、Dara-VMP 方案和 VRd 方案列为标准治疗方案,若无法获得首选方案,则推荐 VMP 方案和 Rd 方案。

Active multiple myeloma: first-line disease
活动性多发性骨髓瘤:一线疾病

The table below provides a summary of recommended front-line pharmacological therapies.
下表总结了推荐的一线药物治疗方案。

Recommended front-line pharmacological therapies for multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤的推荐一线药物治疗方案

 
 
Eligible for SCT  适合干细胞移植
Ineligible for SCT  不适合干细胞移植
    NCCN Guidelines  NCCN 指南 ESMO Guidelines  ESMO 指南 NCCN Guidelines  NCCN 指南 ESMO Guidelines  ESMO 指南
Induction  诱导治疗
 
Preferred regimens  首选方案

Dara-VRd  达雷妥尤单抗-VRd 方案

Sarclisa-VRd  萨特利珠单抗-VRd 方案

VRd

Dara-VTD

Dara-Rd

Dara-VRd

Sarclisa-VRd  萨克拉沙-VRd 方案

Dara-Rd  达拉妥尤单抗-Rd 方案

Dara-VMP  达拉妥尤单抗-VMP 方案

VRd  VRd 方案

Other recommended regimens
其他推荐治疗方案

VRd  VRd 方案

KRd  KRd 方案

Dara-KRd  Dara-KRd 方案

Sarclisa-KRd  萨特利珠单抗-KRd 方案

VTD

VCD

KRd

VRd

Sarclisa-Rd  萨特利珠单抗-Rd 方案

VMP  万珂

Rd  来那度胺

Maintenance  维持治疗 Preferred regimens  首选治疗方案

Revlimid  瑞复美

Revlimid  瑞复美

-

No standard of care
无标准治疗方案

Other recommended regimens
其他推荐方案

Kyprolis + Revlimid  卡非佐米+来那度胺

Darzalex + Revlimid  达雷妥尤单抗+来那度胺

bortezomib  硼替佐米

Ninlaro  恩莱瑞

-

-

 

Active multiple myeloma: relapsed/refractory
活动性多发性骨髓瘤:复发/难治型

If patients do not respond to induction therapy, relapse, or show signs of disease progression, they typically undergo another round of systemic treatment (second line). If eligible, patients may receive second-line treatment with SCT regardless of whether or not they received a transplant previously (salvage and late transplant, respectively). NCCN guidelines suggest 2–3 years as the minimum length of remission for considering a salvage transplant. If the patient relapses more than six months after induction therapy, retreatment with the initial primary regimen is allowed. However, relapse patients who are too sick to receive further treatment or those who refuse active treatment are given best supportive care.
若患者对诱导治疗无反应、出现复发或显现疾病进展体征,通常需接受新一轮系统治疗(二线方案)。符合条件者无论此前是否接受过移植(分别为挽救性移植和延迟移植),均可采用含干细胞移植的二线治疗方案。美国国家综合癌症网络指南建议,考虑挽救性移植需以 2-3 年作为最低缓解期标准。若患者在诱导治疗结束六个月后复发,允许采用初始一线方案进行再治疗。但对于病情过重无法继续治疗或拒绝积极治疗的复发患者,则给予最佳支持治疗。

Patients who continue to experience relapse or refractory disease may receive additional rounds of systemic therapy as long as they can tolerate treatment (third line, fourth line, fifth line and beyond). It is uncommon for patients to receive autologous SCT with further relapses.
持续经历复发或难治性疾病的患者,只要能够耐受治疗(三线、四线、五线及以上),仍可接受更多轮次的全身治疗。患者若出现进一步复发,通常不会接受自体干细胞移植治疗。

There is no standard treatment for the second-line or later setting, and a multitude of regimens are available to physicians. Treatment for progressive or relapsed MM patients depends on several factors including age, performance status, co-morbidities, prior therapy, and duration of response. Treatment guidelines generally recommend the use of triplet regimens, although patients too frail for a triplet regimen may be prescribed a doublet regimen. Patients refractory to bortezomib-based therapy will receive Revlimid-based regimens, while patients refractory to Revlimid will receive bortezomib-based regimens. Kyprolis-based regimens can be used in either group, and also for patients refractory to both bortezomib and Revlimid. Regimen selection for heavily pretreated patients is often dictated by tolerability, as patients are likely to have poorer health and suffer from significant co-morbidities. Additionally, clinical trials are an option across markets due to the continued development of novel therapies and combinations for previously treated patients.
对于二线及后续治疗尚无标准方案,临床医生可采用多种治疗方案。进展性或复发性多发性骨髓瘤患者的治疗需综合考虑年龄、体能状态、合并症、既往治疗及缓解持续时间等因素。尽管指南普遍推荐三联方案,但对无法耐受三联方案的患者可采用双联方案。对硼替佐米治疗无效的患者会改用来那度胺方案,而对来那度胺耐药的患者则转为硼替佐米方案。卡非佐米方案适用于上述两类患者,也可用于对硼替佐米和来那度胺均耐药的患者。对于多次治疗的患者,由于健康状况较差且合并症较多,方案选择往往取决于耐受性。此外,随着针对经治患者的新疗法及联合方案的持续开发,参与临床试验也是各市场的可选方案。

The table below provides a summary of treatment regimens recommended by the NCCN for previously treated MM.
下表汇总了美国国家综合癌症网络(NCCN)推荐的经治多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案。

NCCN recommended treatment regimens for previously treated multiple myeloma
NCCN 推荐的复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案

Second-line to fourth-line
二线至四线治疗

Preferred regimens  首选治疗方案

Anti-CD38 Refractory  抗 CD38 抗体难治型

Kyprolis + Revlimid + dex (KRd)
卡非佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松(KRd 方案)

Kyprolis + Pomalyst + dex (KPd)
卡非佐米+泊马度胺+地塞米松(KPd 方案)

Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex (PVd)
泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松(PVd)

Bortezomib Refractory  硼替佐米耐药

Darzalex + Kyprolis + dex (Dara-Kd)
达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Kd 方案)

Darzalex + Revlimid (Dara-Rd)
达雷妥尤单抗+来那度胺(Dara-Rd 方案)

Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex (Isa-Kd)
赛可瑞+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Isa-Kd 方案)

Kyprolis + Revlimid + dex (KRd)
卡非佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松(KRd 方案)

Kyprolis + Pomalyst + dex (KPd)
卡非佐米+泊马度胺+地塞米松(KPd 方案)

 

After one prior therapy including Revlimid and a PI:
适用于既往接受过含来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗的患者:

Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex (Dara-Pd)
达雷妥尤单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Dara-Pd 方案)

Revlimid Refractory  来那度胺难治型
Darzalex + Kyprolis + dex (Dara-Kd)
达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Kd 方案)

Darzalex + bortezomib + dex (Dara-Vd)
达雷妥尤单抗+硼替佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Vd)

Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex (Isa-Kd)
萨特利珠单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Isa-Kd)

Kyprolis + Pomalyst + dex (KPd)
卡非佐米+泊马度胺+地塞米松(KPd)

Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex (PVd)
泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松(PVd 方案)

 

After one prior therapy including Revlimid and a PI:
适用于既往接受过含来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗的患者:

Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex (Dara-Pd)
达雷妥尤单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Dara-Pd 方案)

After one prior line of therapy including IMiD and a PI, and refractory to Revlimid: Carvykti
既往接受过含免疫调节剂和蛋白酶体抑制剂的一线治疗后,且对来那度胺难治:西达基奥仑赛
Other recommended regimens
其他推荐治疗方案

Darzalex + cyclophosphamide + bortezomib + dex
达雷妥尤单抗+环磷酰胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松

Darzalex + Kyprolis + Pomalyst + dex
达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+泊马度胺+地塞米松

Empliciti + Revlimid + dex (Elo-Rd)
埃罗妥珠单抗+来那度胺+地塞米松(Elo-Rd 方案)

Empliciti + bortezomib + dex (Elo-Vd)
艾普利西替+硼替佐米+地塞米松(Elo-Vd 方案)

Kyprolis + cyclophosphamide + dex
卡非佐米+环磷酰胺+地塞米松

Ninlaro + Revlimid + dex
尼拉帕利+来那度胺+地塞米松

Ninlaro + cyclophosphamide + dex
尼洛替尼 + 环磷酰胺 + 地塞米松

Xpovio + bortezomib + dex
塞利尼索 + 硼替佐米 + 地塞米松

Revlimid + cyclophosphamide + dex
来那度胺 + 环磷酰胺 + 地塞米松

Bortezomib + Revlimid + dex (VRd)
硼替佐米 + 来那度胺 + 地塞米松 (VRd 方案)

Bortezomib + cyclophosphamide + dex
硼替佐米+环磷酰胺+地塞米松

Third-line or fourth-line
三线或四线治疗
Preferred regimens  首选治疗方案

Anti-CD38 Refractory  抗 CD38 难治性

After two prior therapies including Revlimid and a PI:
在包括来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂在内的两种前期治疗后:

Empliciti + Pomalyst +dex (Elo-Pd)
艾乐妥(Empliciti)+泊马度胺(Pomalyst)+地塞米松(Elo-Pd 方案)

After two prior therapies including an IMiD and a PI and with disease progression within 60 days of completion of last therapy
既往接受过两种治疗方案(包括免疫调节剂和蛋白酶体抑制剂)且末次治疗完成后 60 天内出现疾病进展的患者

Ninlaro + Pomalyst + dex (Ninlaro-Pd)
恩莱瑞(Ninlaro)+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Ninlaro-Pd 方案)

 

Bortezomib Refractory  硼替佐米耐药

After two prior therapies including Revlimid and a PI:
既往接受过包括来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂在内的两种治疗方案后:

Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex (Isa-Pd)
萨克利萨+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Isa-Pd 方案)

Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex (Elo-Pd)
埃罗妥珠单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Elo-Pd 方案)

Revlimid Refractory  来那度胺耐药

After two prior therapies including Revlimid and a PI:
既往接受过来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂两种治疗后:

Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex (Isa-Pd)
赛可瑞+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Isa-Pd 方案)

Emplicit + Pomalyst + dex (Elo-Pd)
埃普利司+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Elo-Pd 方案)

After two prior therapies including an IMiD and a PI and with disease progression within 60 days of completion of last therapy:
在接受过包括免疫调节剂和蛋白酶体抑制剂在内的两种前期疗法,且末次治疗完成后 60 天内出现疾病进展的情况下:

Ninlaro + Pomalyst + dex (Ninlaro-Pd)
恩莱诺+泊马度胺+地塞米松(恩莱诺-Pd 方案)

After two prior lines of therapy including IMiD and a PI, and refractory to Revlimid: Abecma
对于接受过包含免疫调节剂和蛋白酶体抑制剂的两种前期疗法,且对来那度胺耐药的患者:阿贝玛

After three prior lines of therapy: Abecma or Carvykti
对于接受过三种前期疗法的患者:阿贝玛或卡维克蒂

Other recommended regimens
其他推荐治疗方案

After two prior therapies including an IMiD and a PI and with disease progression within 60 days of completion of last therapy:
在接受包括免疫调节剂和蛋白酶体抑制剂在内的两种前期治疗后,且在完成末次治疗 60 天内出现疾病进展:

Pomalyst + cyclophosphamide + dex
泊马度胺+环磷酰胺+地塞米松

Fourth-line or later:  四线或后续治疗:

High-dose or fractionated cyclophosphamide
大剂量或分次环磷酰胺

Fifth-line or later  第五线或后续治疗 Preferred regimens  首选方案

For patients previously treated with an anti-CD38 mAb, a PI, and an IMiD: Elrexfio, Talvey, or Tecvayli
对于既往接受过抗 CD38 单抗、蛋白酶体抑制剂和免疫调节剂治疗的患者:Elrexfio、Talvey 或 Tecvayli

Other recommended regimens
其他推荐方案

For patients refractory to at least two PIs, two IMiDs, and an anti-CD38 mAb: Xpovio + dex
对于至少对两种蛋白酶体抑制剂、两种免疫调节剂和一种抗 CD38 单抗难治的患者:Xpovio 联合地塞米松

 

The table below provides a summary of treatment regimens recommended by ESMO for previously treated MM.
下表总结了 ESMO 针对复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤推荐的治疗方案。

ESMO recommended treatment regimens for previously treated multiple myeloma
ESMO 推荐的复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案

Second-line or later  二线或后续治疗

Darzalex + Revlimid + dex (Dara-Rd)
达雷妥尤单抗+来那度胺+地塞米松(Dara-Rd)方案

Darzalex + Kyprolis + dex (Dara-Kd)
达雷妥尤单抗 + 卡非佐米 + 地塞米松(Dara-Kd 方案)

Darzalex + bortezomib + dex (Dara-Vd)
达雷妥尤单抗 + 硼替佐米 + 地塞米松(Dara-Vd 方案)

Empliciti + Revlimid + dex (Elo-Rd)
埃罗妥珠单抗 + 来那度胺 + 地塞米松(Elo-Rd 方案)

Kyprolis + dex (Kd)
卡非佐米 + 地塞米松(Kd 方案)

Kyprolis + Revlimid + dex (KRd)
卡非佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松(KRd 方案)

Ninlaro + Revlimid + dex (Ixa-Rd)
伊沙佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松(Ixa-Rd 方案)

Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex (Pom-Vd)
泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松(Pom-Vd 方案)

Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex (Isa-Kd)
赛可瑞+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Isa-Kd 方案)

Bortezomib+ Revlimid + dex (VRd)
硼替佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松(VRd 方案)

Venclexta + bortezomib + dex (Ven-Vd)*
维奈托克+硼替佐米+地塞米松(Ven-Vd 方案)*

Xpovio + bortezomib + dex (SVd)
塞利尼索+硼替佐米+地塞米松(SVd 方案)

Third-line or later  三线或后续治疗

Darzalex + Kyprolis + dex (Dara-Kd)
达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Kd 方案)

Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex (Dara-Pd)
达雷妥尤单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松(Dara-Pd 方案)

Darzalex + bortezomib + dex (Dara-Vd)
达雷妥尤单抗+硼替佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Vd 方案)

Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex (Elo-Pd)
埃罗妥珠单抗 + 泊马度胺 + 地塞米松(Elo-Pd 方案)

Pomalyst + cyclophosphamide + dex (PCd)
泊马度胺+环磷酰胺+地塞米松(PCd 方案)

Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex (Isa-Kd)
赛可瑞+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Isa-Kd 方案)

Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex (Isa-Pd)
Sarclisa + 泊马度胺 + 地塞米松(Isa-Pd 方案)

Venclexta + bortezomib + dex (Ven-Vd)*
维奈托克 + 硼替佐米 + 地塞米松(Ven-Vd 方案)*

Xpovio + bortezomib + dex (SVd)
塞利尼索+硼替佐米+地塞米松(SVd 方案)

Triple-refractory**  三重难治性**

Blenrep  贝兰他单抗

Xpovio + dex (Sd)
塞普利索(Xpovio)+地塞米松(Sd)

 

*Ven-Vd is recommended only for patients with t(11;14).
*Ven-Vd 方案仅推荐用于 t(11;14)易位患者

**Triple-refractory patients are refractory to a PI, IMiD, and anti-CD38 mAb.
**三重难治性患者指对蛋白酶体抑制剂(PI)、免疫调节药物(IMiD)和抗 CD38 单抗均耐药的患者

 

Approvals for key multiple myeloma regimens
关键多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案的获批情况

Approvals for key multiple myeloma regimens, by country
关键多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案各国获批情况

Drug  药物
Regimen  治疗方案
Approvals  获批情况
 

 

US

EU

Japan  日本

Abecma

Abecma

5L+ 2021; 3L+ 2024
5 线及以上治疗 2021 年获批;3 线及以上治疗 2024 年获批

4L+ 2021; 3L+ 2024
4 线及以上治疗 2021 年获批;3 线及以上治疗 2024 年获批

4L+ 2022; 3L+ 2023
4L+ 2022 年;3L+ 2023 年

Blenrep  百乐普

Blenrep-Vd or Blenrep-Pd
百乐普-Vd 或百乐普-Pd

NDA withdrawn  新药申请撤回

Withdrawn  撤回

2L+ 2025

Carvykti

Carvykti

5L+ 2022; 2L+ 2024
5 升+ 2022 款;2 升+ 2024 款

4L+ 2022; 2L+ 2024
4 升+ 2022 款;2 升+ 2024 款

4L+ 2022  4 升+ 2022 款

Darzalex  达雷妥尤单抗

Dara-Rd  达拉-Rd

2L+ 2016; 1L TI 2019
二线及以上治疗 2016 年;一线治疗 2019 年

2L+ 2017; 1L TI 2019
二线及以上治疗 2017 年;一线治疗 2019 年

2L+ 2017; 1L TI 2020
二线及以上治疗 2017 年;一线治疗 2020 年

Dara-VMP  达雷妥尤单抗-VMP 方案

1L TI 2018

1L TI 2018

1L TI 2019

Dara-VRd

1L TE 2024

1L TE 2024; 1L TI 2025
1L TE 2024;1L TI 2025

-

Dara-VTD

1L TE 2019

1L TE 2020  1 升 2020 年 TE 版

-

Dara-Kd  达拉-Kd

2L–4L 2020  2 升–4 升 2020 年款

2L–4L 2020  2 升–4 升 2020 年款

2L+ 2020

Dara-Pd

3L+ 2017; 2L+ 2021
3L+ 2017;2L+ 2021

2L+ 2021

-

Dara-Vd  达拉-Vd

2L+ 2016

2L+ 2017

2L+ 2017

Elrexfio  艾乐施福

Elrexfio  艾乐施福

5L+ 2023  5L+ 2023 款

4L+ 2023  4L+ 2023 款

2L+ 2024  2 升+ 2024 年款

Empliciti  艾普利西

Elo-Rd  艾洛-Rd

2L–4L 2015  2 升–4 升 2015 年款

2L+ 2016

2L+ 2016

Elo-Pd

3L+ 2018

3L+ 2019

2L+ 2019

Farydak  法瑞达克

Pano-Vd  帕诺-Vd

NDA withdrawn  保密协议撤销

3L+ 2015

2L+ 2015

Kyprolis  卡非佐米

KRd

2L–4L 2015  2015 年 2L–4L

2L–4L 2015  2015 年 2L–4L

2L+ 2016  2016 年 2L+

Kd

2L–4L 2015  2015 年 2L–4L

2L–4L 2016  2016 年 2L–4L

2L–4L 2017  2017 年 2L–4L

Dara-Kd  达拉-Kd

2L–4L 2020  2 升–4 升 2020 年款

2L–4L 2020  2 升–4 升 2020 年款

2L+ 2020  2 升以上 2020 年款

Lynozyfic  来那度胺 Lynozyfic  来那度胺 - 4L+ 2025 -
Ninlaro  宁拉罗

Ninlaro-Rd  宁乐瑞-Rd

2L+ 2015

2L+ 2016

2L+ 2017

Ninlaro  宁乐瑞

-

-

Maintenance 2020/21  2020/21 年度维持治疗

Pepaxto  佩帕妥

Pepaxto-d  佩帕妥-d

NDA withdrawn  保密协议撤回

4L+ 2022  4 升及以上 2022 款

-

Pomalyst  泊马度胺

Pd  钯元素

2L+ 2012  2 升以上 2012 年款

3L+ 2013  3 升以上 2013 年款

2L+ 2015  2 升以上 2015 年款

PVd  PVd(保留原文)

-

2L+ 2019

2L+ 2019

Revlimid  来那度胺

Rd

2L+ 2006; 1L 2015
2L+ 2006 款;1L 2015 款

2L+ 2007; 1L TI 2015
2L+ 2007 款;1L TI 2015 款

2L+ 2010; 1L 2015
2L+ 2010 款;1L 2015 款

RVd  RVd 款

-

1L TI 2019

-

Revlimid  瑞复美

Maintenance 2017  维持治疗 2017

Maintenance 2017  维持治疗 2017

-

Sarclisa

Isa-VRd

1L TI 2024

1L TI 2025

1L 2025  1 升 2025 年款

Isa-Pd  Isa-Pd(保持原文)

3L+ 2020  3 升+ 2020 年款

3L+ 2020  3 升+ 2020 年款

2L+ 2020

Isa-Kd

2L+ 2021

2L+ 2021

-

Talvey  塔尔维

Talvey  塔尔维

5L+ 2023  5 升+ 2023 年款

4L+ 2023  4 升+ 2023 年款

-

Tecvayli  特维利

Tecvayli  特维利

5L+ 2022

4L+ 2022

2L+ 2024

Velcade  万珂

VTD

-

1L TE 2013

-

VMP

-

1L TI 2008  1 升 TI 2008 款

-

Xpovio  塞普维奥

Sd

4L+ 2019

4L+ 2021

-

SVd

2L+ 2020  二线及以上 2020

2L+ 2022  二线及以上 2022

-

1L = first-line; 2L+ = second-line or later; 3L+ = third-line or later; 4L+ = fourth-line or later; 5L+ = fifth-line or later; TE = transplant-eligible; TI = transplant-ineligible
1L=一线治疗;2L+=二线及以上;3L+=三线及以上;4L+=四线及以上;5L+=五线及以上;TE=适合移植;TI=不适合移植

Source:  来源

Biomedtracker   生物医学追踪者
Japanese Society of Hematology (JSH) (Clinical Guidelines, 2018)
日本血液学会(JSH)(临床指南,2018 年)

Journal Article 02/03/2021 (Dimopoulos et al., 2021)
期刊文章 2021 年 2 月 3 日(Dimopoulos 等人,2021 年)

Journal Article 09/28/2020 (Rajkumar and Kumar, 2020)
期刊文章 2020 年 9 月 28 日(Rajkumar 和 Kumar,2020 年)

National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) 06/24/2025
美国国家综合癌症网络(NCCN)2025 年 6 月 24 日

Epidemiology  流行病学

Last Reviewed:  最后审阅日期:
18 Apr, 2024  2024 年 4 月 18 日

by Lucia Rodriguez Garcia
作者:露西亚·罗德里格斯·加西亚

Overview  概述

Description  描述

Our epidemiologic analysis of multiple myeloma (MM) uses robust, representative cancer registry data to estimate and forecast diagnosed incident and prevalent patient populations in the US, Japan, and five major European markets (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK) between 2023 and 2043.
我们对多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的流行病学分析采用可靠且具有代表性的癌症登记数据,旨在估算并预测 2023 至 2043 年间美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场(法国、德国、意大利、西班牙和英国)的确诊发病率和现患患者人数。

The accompanying epidemiology datapack includes forecasted diagnosed incident cases for 2023–43, segmented by country, age, and gender. Forecasted five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of MM for 2023–33 are also included.
配套的流行病学数据包包含 2023-2043 年按国家、年龄和性别划分的预测确诊发病病例。同时涵盖 2023-2033 年 MM 五年期预测确诊现患病例数据。

Forecast highlights  预测要点

We estimate that in 2023, there were 65,320 diagnosed incident cases of MM in the US, Japan, and five major European markets. By 2043, we forecast that the number of diagnosed incident cases will increase by 30.4% to 84,210.
我们估算 2023 年美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场的 MM 确诊发病病例为 65,320 例。预计到 2043 年,确诊发病病例数将增长 30.4%,达到 84,210 例。

Although incidence rates of MM are not expected to increase, the absolute number of incident cases is expected to rise due to the growing elderly population in these markets. The risk of developing MM is higher in people over the age of 60 years compared to those in younger age groups.
尽管多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的发病率预计不会上升,但由于这些市场老年人口的增长,新增病例的绝对数量仍将增加。与较年轻群体相比,60 岁以上人群罹患 MM 的风险更高。

In 2023, there were an estimated 235,320 five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of MM in the US, Japan, and five major European markets. By 2033, it is estimated that five-year diagnosed prevalent cases will rise to 277,660.
2023 年,美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场估计有 235,320 例五年确诊现患病例。预计到 2033 年,五年确诊现患病例数将上升至 277,660 例。

Methodology  方法论

We used publicly available cancer registry data on historical MM incidence in adults (aged 20+ years) in order to estimate age- and gender-specific incident cases. As there was no visible trend in MM incidence rates across all markets, a constant model was applied. In this case, an average of the most recent three years of observed data was calculated and held constant across the forecast period for all markets, genders, and age groups. Five-year prevalent cases were estimated for each country by combining estimated incident cases and survival rates using a life-table method.
我们采用公开的癌症登记数据(针对 20 岁以上成人历史 MM 发病率)来估算特定年龄和性别的发病病例。由于所有市场的 MM 发病率均未呈现明显趋势,故采用恒定模型进行预测——即取最近三年观察数据的平均值,并在预测期内对所有市场、性别和年龄组保持该数值不变。通过结合发病病例估算数据与生存率(采用生命表法),我们计算得出各国的五年现患病例数。

 

Methodology  方法论

To forecast the number of diagnosed incident cases of MM during 2023–43, we used publicly available cancer registry data on historical MM incidence in the US, Japan, and five major European markets. Where definitions of MM used in registries did not fit our disease definition, further market-specific literature searches were conducted to identify relevant methodologically robust primary and secondary data sources.
为预测 2023 年至 2043 年间多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的新确诊病例数,我们采用了美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场公开的癌症登记数据中关于 MM 历史发病率的信息。当登记机构使用的 MM 定义与我们的疾病定义不符时,我们进行了针对具体市场的文献检索,以确定方法学可靠的相关一手和二手数据来源。

We included individuals aged 20 years and older in this analysis; cases below 20 years of age were excluded because MM is extremely rare in younger age groups.
本分析纳入 20 岁及以上人群;20 岁以下病例被排除在外,因为 MM 在较年轻年龄组中极为罕见。

Details of the disease definition, country-specific data sources, and incidence and prevalence forecasting methodologies are described below.
疾病定义、各国具体数据来源以及发病率与患病率预测方法的详细说明如下所述。

Disease definition  疾病定义

MM is defined by the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems – 10th Revision (ICD-10) code C90 (WHO, 2019), and the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology – 3rd Edition (ICD-O-3) morphology codes 9731–9734 (WHO, 2013).
根据《国际疾病与相关健康问题统计分类第十版》(ICD-10)代码 C90(世界卫生组织,2019 年)和《国际肿瘤学疾病分类第三版》(ICD-O-3)形态学代码 9731–9734(世界卫生组织,2013 年)对 MM 进行定义。

Incidence  发病率

US  美国

For the US, we extracted crude age- and gender-specific incidence rates from the National Cancer Institute’s (NCI’s) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) public use databases (National Cancer Institute, 2023). The NCI’s SEER 22 database includes 22 US registries covering 47.9% of the US population (National Cancer Institute, 2022). The CDC and NCI support the data collection and quality standards in the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries consensus documents and further undertake rigorous quality control edits, data completeness evaluations, and data quality assessments to enhance the completeness and accuracy of cancer reporting. For a registry’s data to be included in the US Cancer Statistics public research data file, the data must meet the following quality and completeness criteria:
对于美国,我们从国家癌症研究所(NCI)的监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)公共使用数据库中提取了未经调整的年龄和性别特异性发病率数据(国家癌症研究所,2023 年)。NCI 的 SEER 22 数据库包含覆盖美国 47.9%人口的 22 个美国登记处(国家癌症研究所,2022 年)。疾病控制与预防中心和 NCI 支持北美中央癌症登记协会共识文件中的数据收集和质量标准,并进一步实施严格的质量控制编辑、数据完整性评估和数据质量检查,以提高癌症报告的完整性和准确性。一个登记处的数据要被纳入美国癌症统计公共研究数据文件,必须满足以下质量和完整性标准:

  • 5% or fewer cases ascertained solely on the basis of a death certificate
    仅凭死亡证明确定的病例不超过 5%

  • 3% or fewer cases missing information on sex
    性别信息缺失的病例不超过 3%

  • 3% or fewer cases missing information on age
    3%或更少的病例缺少年龄信息

  • 5% or fewer cases missing information on race
    5%或更少的病例缺少种族信息

  • 97% or more of the registry’s records passing a set of single-field and inter-field computerized edits.
    97%或以上的登记记录通过一系列单字段和跨字段的计算机化编辑检查

This coverage ensures that different populations are included, providing a representative sample and enhanced generalizability. We selected the “SEER 22 Incidence - Crude Rates for Additional Races, 2000-2020” database. We used the SEER dataset’s term “myeloma” to extract multiple myeloma incidence rates for 2000–20.
这种覆盖范围确保纳入不同人群,提供具有代表性的样本并增强普适性。我们选择了"SEER 22 发病率-其他种族粗发病率,2000-2020 年"数据库。使用 SEER 数据集中的"骨髓瘤"术语提取 2000-2020 年间多发性骨髓瘤的发病率数据。

Japan  日本

For Japan, we extracted crude age- and gender-specific incidence rates for MM from a dataset provided by the Japanese Center for Cancer Control and Information Services (JCCIS), part of the country’s National Cancer Center (Katanoda et al., 2021). To ensure the inclusion of high-quality registries, the following quality indicators are used:
针对日本,我们从日本国立癌症研究中心下属的癌症控制与信息服务部(JCCIS)提供的数据集中提取了多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的原始年龄和性别特异性发病率(Katanoda 等人,2021 年)。为确保纳入高质量登记数据,采用以下质量指标:

  • 1985–2010: DCO% (death certificate only: proportion of cases reported by death certificate only) of <25% or DCN% (death certificate notification: proportion of patients first notified via death certificate) of <30%, and mortality-to-incidence ratio of <0.67
    1985-2010 年:仅死亡证明比例(DCO%)<25%或死亡证明通知比例(DCN%)<30%,且死亡率与发病率比率<0.67

  • 2011–15: DCO% of <10% or DCN% of <20%, and mortality-to-incidence ratio of <0.5.
    2011-2015 年:仅死亡证明比例(DCO%)<10%或死亡证明通知比例(DCN%)<20%,且死亡率与发病率比率<0.5

We selected the three-registry dataset, which includes data from the Nagasaki, Yamagata, and Fukui cancer registries (Katanoda et al., 2021). Based on the availability of long-term, high-quality, population-based cancer incidence data, a study recommended the use of these registries for the evaluation of cancer incidence trends in Japan (Katanoda et al., 2012). As such, we selected the JCCIS dataset over the CI5plus dataset since the latter provides less recent data and includes data from a less robust Japanese cancer registry. The JCCIS defined MM using ICD-10 codes C88–C90 and provided incidence data for 1985–2015.
我们选取了包含长崎、山形和福井三大癌症登记处数据的三登记处数据集(Katanoda 等人,2021 年)。基于长期高质量、基于人群的癌症发病率数据的可获得性,有研究推荐使用这些登记处来评估日本癌症发病率趋势(Katanoda 等人,2012 年)。因此我们选择 JCCIS 数据集而非 CI5plus 数据集,因为后者提供的数据时效性较低,且包含的日本癌症登记数据质量较弱。JCCIS 采用 ICD-10 编码 C88-C90 定义多发性骨髓瘤,并提供 1985-2015 年的发病率数据。

The JCCIS disease definition for MM includes other malignant immunoproliferative diseases (represented by ICD-10 code C88). Therefore, the proportion of MM cases out of total cancers coded with C88–C90 reported in a study of Japanese registries (Hori and Palmer, 2020) was applied to JCCIS incidence estimates in order to ensure that they represent ICD-10 code C90 only.
JCCIS 对多发性骨髓瘤的疾病定义包含其他恶性免疫增殖性疾病(对应 ICD-10 编码 C88)。为确保数据仅代表 ICD-10 编码 C90,我们根据日本登记处研究中报告的 C88-C90 编码癌症病例里多发性骨髓瘤占比(Hori 和 Palmer,2020 年),对 JCCIS 发病率估算值进行了相应调整。

France  法国

For France, we extracted crude age- and gender-specific incidence rates of MM from the French National Cancer Institute (INCa) database (Institut National du Cancer, 2024). The data are derived from the Medicalization Program for Information Systems in Medicine, Surgery, Obstetrics and Dentistry (PMSI MCO). Registries are evaluated by the Registry Evaluation Committee (CER), and send their data annually to the FRANCIM database. As of 30 November 2019, 32 cancer registries had been assessed by the CER, 27 of which are part of the partnership. For malignant hemopathies, 21 registries were available (Guyader-Peyrou et al., 2019). The list of registries included for MM is presented in the table below. This source defined MM using ICD-10 codes C90.0 and C90.3 and provided incidence data for 1990–2023.
针对法国,我们从法国国家癌症研究所(INCa)数据库(Institut National du Cancer,2024 年)提取了多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的粗年龄和性别特异性发病率数据。这些数据源自医疗信息系统医疗化项目(PMSI MCO),涵盖内科、外科、产科和牙科领域。各登记处需通过登记评估委员会(CER)认证,并每年向 FRANCIM 数据库提交数据。截至 2019 年 11 月 30 日,CER 已评估 32 个癌症登记处,其中 27 个参与合作项目。针对恶性血液病,共有 21 个登记处参与数据收集(Guyader-Peyrou 等,2019 年)。下表列出了纳入 MM 研究的登记处名单。该数据源采用 ICD-10 编码 C90.0 和 C90.3 定义 MM 病例,并提供 1990-2023 年的发病率数据。

Germany  德国

For Germany, we extracted age- and gender-specific incidence rates for MM from the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data (ZfKD) database, provided by the Robert Koch Institute (Robert Koch Institute, 2022). Quality control procedures and methods to enhance physician participation have been used to improve the reporting of newly diagnosed cancers. In 2010, it was estimated that nine federal states achieved over 90% completeness of reporting of newly diagnosed cancers, and seven achieved over 95% (Kaatsch et al., 2014). The ZfKD database collects cancer data from at least 15 population-based cancer registries, providing greater geographic coverage than the CI5plus database, which includes just eight German cancer registries. The ZfKD database defined MM using ICD-10 code C90 and provided incidence data for 1999–2019.
针对德国,我们从罗伯特·科赫研究所提供的德国癌症登记数据中心(ZfKD)数据库中提取了按年龄和性别划分的多发性骨髓瘤发病率数据(Robert Koch Institute, 2022)。该机构采用质量控制程序并推行提升医生参与度的措施,以完善新发癌症病例的登记工作。2010 年评估显示,有九个联邦州实现了 90%以上的新发癌症登记完整率,其中七个州更达到 95%以上(Kaatsch 等,2014)。ZfKD 数据库汇集了至少 15 个基于人群的癌症登记机构数据,其地理覆盖范围远超仅包含 8 个德国登记机构的 CI5plus 数据库。该数据库采用 ICD-10 编码 C90 定义多发性骨髓瘤,并提供 1999-2019 年的发病率数据。

Italy and Spain  意大利与西班牙

For Italy and Spain, we extracted crude age- and gender-specific incidence rates of MM from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5plus) database, provided by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (Ervik et al., 2021). CI5 editors use an extensive review process to inspect cancer registry datasets submitted for inclusion in the CI5 series in order to verify that they are of sufficiently high quality and meet objective criteria of comparability, completeness, and validity. This includes verification of coding, identification of duplicate registrations, and investigation of cancer incidence definitions and stability of rates over time. The following quality indicators are also used:
对于意大利和西班牙,我们从国际癌症研究机构(IARC)提供的《五大洲癌症发病率》(CI5plus)数据库中提取了多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的原始年龄和性别特异性发病率数据(Ervik 等人,2021 年)。CI5 编辑团队采用严格的审查流程,对所有提交纳入 CI5 系列的癌症登记数据集进行质量核查,确保其符合高质量标准以及可比性、完整性和有效性的客观标准。审查内容包括编码验证、重复登记识别,以及癌症发病率定义和长期趋势稳定性的调查。同时还采用以下质量指标:

  • mortality-to-incidence ratios
    死亡率与发病率比值

  • proportion of registered cases that are microscopically verified
    经显微镜确诊的登记病例比例

  • proportion of registered cases notified by death certificate only
    仅通过死亡证明通知的登记病例比例

  • proportion of registered cases with missing data items.
    缺失数据项的登记病例比例。

The CI5plus database defined MM using ICD-10 codes C88–C90. Therefore, the proportion of MM cases out of total cancers coded with C88–C90 reported in a study of French registries (Hori and Palmer, 2020) was applied to country-specific incidence estimates in order to ensure that they represent ICD-10 code C90 only. No proportions were reported for Italy or Spain, therefore the estimate for France was applied to both.
CI5plus 数据库使用 ICD-10 编码 C88-C90 定义多发性骨髓瘤(MM)。因此,为确保仅代表 ICD-10 编码 C90,将法国登记处研究中报告的 C88-C90 编码癌症中 MM 病例比例(Hori 和 Palmer,2020 年)应用于各国特定发病率估计值。意大利和西班牙未报告相关比例,因此对两国均采用法国的估计值。

For Italy, historical incidence data were available for 1988–2012, and for Spain they were available for 1993–2010.
意大利可获得 1988-2012 年的历史发病率数据,西班牙可获得 1993-2010 年的数据。

UK  英国

For the UK, we obtained data on the number of incident cases of MM in England, Scotland, and Wales. Specifically, data came from the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS) Cancer Analysis System (National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service, 2022), Public Health Scotland Cancer Statistics (Public Health Scotland, 2022), and the Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit’s cancer incidence dataset (Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, 2023). England, Scotland, and Wales represent approximately 97% of the UK population, which also includes Northern Ireland (Office for National Statistics, 2021). Corresponding cancer incidence data for Northern Ireland were not publicly available for analysis at the time of writing, so the country was excluded.
关于英国,我们获取了英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士地区多发性骨髓瘤(MM)新发病例数的数据。具体而言,数据来源于国家癌症登记与分析服务(NCRAS)癌症分析系统(National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service, 2022)、苏格兰公共卫生局癌症统计数据(Public Health Scotland, 2022)以及威尔士癌症情报与监测中心的癌症发病率数据集(Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, 2023)。英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士约占英国总人口的 97%,英国还包括北爱尔兰地区(英国国家统计局, 2021)。截至本文撰写时,北爱尔兰地区相应的癌症发病率数据尚未公开可供分析,因此该地区未被纳入研究范围。

Data collected by NCRAS are population-based, thus having complete coverage of all people diagnosed with cancer in England (Henson et al., 2020). Corresponding estimates of completeness are not available for Wales or Scotland, although studies indicate that the datasets are of a high quality (Public Health Scotland, 2022; Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, 2023).
NCRAS 收集的数据基于人口统计,因此完整覆盖了英格兰所有被诊断患有癌症的人群(Henson 等, 2020)。虽然研究表明威尔士和苏格兰的数据集具有较高质量(苏格兰公共卫生局, 2022;威尔士癌症情报与监测中心, 2023),但目前尚未获得这两个地区关于数据完整性的相应评估报告。

English, Scottish, and Welsh cancer registries defined MM using ICD-10 code C90, and provided incident case numbers split by age group, gender, and year. For England, case numbers were available for 2001–20; for Scotland they were available for 2000–20; and for Wales they were available for 2002–20.
英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士的癌症登记处采用 ICD-10 编码 C90 界定多发性骨髓瘤(MM),并按年龄组、性别和年份提供新发病例数据。其中英格兰数据覆盖 2001-2020 年,苏格兰为 2000-2020 年,威尔士为 2002-2020 年。

To estimate the cumulative incidence of MM, age- and gender-specific population estimates for England, Scotland, and Wales were extracted for 2002–20 from the UK Office for National Statistics (Office for National Statistics, 2021), and corresponding incidence proportions were calculated using incident case numbers and population data for each country.
为估算 MM 累积发病率,从英国国家统计局(2021)提取了 2002-2020 年英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士分年龄/性别人口数据,结合各国新发病例数与人口数据计算相应发病比例。

The table below summarizes the sources used to extract MM incidence data for each analyzed country.
下表汇总了各分析国家 MM 发病率数据的提取来源。

Cancer registry databases used as a source of MM incidence data
用作 MM 发病率数据来源的癌症登记数据库

Country  国家
Database  数据库
Organization  组织
Number of registries  注册机构数量
Registry names  登记名称
Time period  时间段

US

SEER 22  SEER 22(监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库 22 个地区)

CDC and NCI  疾病控制与预防中心与国家癌症研究所

Central registries of 22 states
22 个州的中央登记处

See SEER website for further details
详情参见 SEER 网站

2000–20  2000 年至 2020 年

Japan  日本

JCCIS

NCC

3

Nagasaki, Fukui, Yamagata
长崎、福井、山形

1985–2015  1985–2015 年

France  法国

FRANCIM

Partnership between FRANCIM, Biostatistics-Bioinformatics Department of the HCL, Public Health France, and INCa
FRANCIM、HCL 生物统计学生物信息学部、法国公共卫生署与法国国家癌症研究所的合作项目

21

Bas-Rhin, Calvados, Charente, Charente-Maritime, Côte d’Or, Deux-Sèvres, Doubs, Gironde, Haut-Rhin, Haute-Vienne, Hérault, Isère, Lille-Métropole, Loire-Atlantique, Manche, Orne, Somme, Tarn, Territoire de Belfort, Vendée, Vienne
下莱茵省、卡尔瓦多斯省、夏朗德省、滨海夏朗德省、科多尔省、德塞夫勒省、杜省、吉伦特省、上莱茵省、上维埃纳省、埃罗省、伊泽尔省、里尔大都会区、大西洋卢瓦尔省、芒什省、奥恩省、索姆省、塔尔纳省、贝尔福地区、旺代省、维埃纳省

1990–2023

Germany  德国

ZfKD  德国联邦刑事警察局

RKI

15

Bavaria, Berlin, Brandenburg, Bremen, Hamburg, Hesse, Lower Saxony, Mecklenburg-W. Pomerania, North Rhine-Westphalia, Saarland, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Schleswig-Holstein, Thuringia, Rhineland-Palatinate
巴伐利亚、柏林、勃兰登堡、不来梅、汉堡、黑森、下萨克森、梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚、北莱茵-威斯特法伦、萨尔、萨克森、萨克森-安哈尔特、石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因、图林根、莱茵兰-普法尔茨

1999–2019

Italy  意大利

CI5plus

IARC

5

Modena, Parma, Ragusa, Romagna, Varese
摩德纳、帕尔马、拉古萨、罗马涅、瓦雷泽

1988–2012  1988 年至 2012 年

Spain  西班牙

CI5plus

IARC

4

Basque Country, Granada, Mallorca, Tarragona
巴斯克地区、格拉纳达、马略卡、塔拉戈纳

1993–2010  1993 年至 2010 年

UK

England, Scotland, and Wales cancer registry datasets
英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士的癌症登记数据集

NCRAS, Public Health Scotland, WCISU
NCRAS、苏格兰公共卫生局、WCISU

Centralized registries for England, Scotland, and Wales
英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士的中央登记系统

England: Centralized registry covering Northern & Yorkshire, North-West, West Midlands, East Midlands, Eastern, Oxford, London, and South-West
英格兰:覆盖北部及约克郡、西北部、西米德兰兹、东米德兰兹、东部、牛津、伦敦和西南部的中央登记系统

Scotland and Wales: National cancer registry covering all regions
苏格兰和威尔士:覆盖所有地区的国家癌症登记处

2000–20*

*Database year ranges vary by one to two years.
*数据库年份范围存在 1 至 2 年的差异。

CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CI5 = Cancer Incidence in Five Continents; FRANCIM = French Network of Cancer Registries; HCL = University Hospital of Lyon; IARC = International Agency for Research on Cancer; INCa = Institut National du Cancer; JCCIS = Japanese Center for Cancer Control and Information Services; NCC = National Cancer Center; NCI = National Cancer Institute; NCRAS = National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service; RKI = Robert Koch Institute; WCISU = Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit; ZfKD = German Centre for Cancer Registry Data
CDC = 疾病控制与预防中心;CI5 = 五大洲癌症发病率;FRANCIM = 法国癌症登记网络;HCL = 里昂大学医院;IARC = 国际癌症研究机构;INCa = 法国国家癌症研究所;JCCIS = 日本癌症控制信息服务中心;NCC = 国家癌症中心;NCI = 美国国家癌症研究所;NCRAS = 国家癌症登记与分析服务;RKI = 罗伯特·科赫研究所;WCISU = 威尔士癌症情报与监测单位;ZfKD = 德国癌症登记数据中心

 

Forecasting  预测方法

After a review of the literature, data for years prior to 2000 in all analyzed markets were excluded from the analysis.
经文献综述后,所有分析市场中 2000 年之前的数据均被排除在分析范围之外。

Graphs were used to inspect historical incidence rates to determine whether any temporal trends were evident in males or females of a particular age group. It was evident that there was no visible trend in MM incidence rates across all markets, and therefore a constant model was applied. In this case, an average of the most recent three years of observed data was calculated and held constant across the forecast period.
通过图表检视历史发病率数据,以判断特定年龄组别的男性或女性是否存在明显的时间趋势。结果显示所有市场的多发性骨髓瘤发病率均未呈现可见趋势,因此采用恒定模型进行预测。具体操作为:取最近三年观测数据的平均值,并在整个预测期内保持该数值不变。

Estimating incident cases
估算新发病例数

To calculate the number of diagnosed incident cases of MM in the 2023–43 forecast period, we multiplied country-, age-, and gender-specific incidence rates by the corresponding country-, age-, and gender-specific population estimates from the United Nations (UN) World Population Prospects database (United Nations, 2022). The UN database was chosen as a reliable population denominator; the data include standard sets of demographic indicators and populations by five-year age group and gender.
为计算 2023-2043 年预测期内多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的新发病例数,我们将各国分年龄、性别的发病率数据与联合国《世界人口展望》数据库(United Nations, 2022)中对应国家、年龄组和性别的人口预估数相乘。选用联合国数据库作为可靠的人口基数来源,该数据包含标准人口统计指标及按五岁年龄组和性别划分的人口数据。

The forecasted incident population of MM was validated against reputable national benchmarks
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的预测发病率数据已通过权威国家基准数据验证

We validated our forecast results by crosschecking the number of forecasted diagnosed incident cases of MM against incidence estimates from reputable national and international sources. Some reasons for discrepancies between forecast and benchmark estimates are the use of different sources of population data and varying definitions of MM (e.g., inclusion of other malignant immunoproliferative diseases).
我们通过将预测的 MM 确诊新发病例数与国内外权威机构的发病率估算值进行交叉验证,从而确认了预测结果的可靠性。预测值与基准数据存在差异的原因包括:采用不同的人口数据来源、对 MM 的定义存在差异(例如是否包含其他恶性免疫增殖性疾病)等。

Prevalence  患病率

We also estimated diagnosed prevalent cases of MM for 2023–33. Prevalent cases were derived by applying survival rates extracted from country-specific sources to the diagnosed incident patient population for the forecast period. Specifically, one-year to four-year survival rates were applied to forecasted incident cases using a life-table method in order to estimate five-year prevalence, which is defined as the number of incident cases occurring in the year of interest plus the number of cases surviving from the previous four years. Where country-specific data on survival were not available, these were calculated using data from comparable countries. The survival data sources are summarized in the table below.
我们还估算了 2023-2033 年多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的确诊患病病例数。患病病例数的计算方法是:将各国特定来源提取的生存率应用于预测期内确诊的新发病例人群。具体而言,采用生命表法将一年至四年生存率应用于预测的新发病例,从而估算五年患病率(定义为该年度新发病例数加上前四年存活病例数)。若无特定国家的生存率数据,则采用可比国家的数据进行推算。相关生存率数据来源汇总如下表所示。

Sources of survival data used to estimate MM prevalence, by country
各国用于估算 MM 患病率的生存数据来源

Country  国家
Survival data source  生存数据来源
Data availability and processing
数据可用性与处理
Source  数据来源

US

Extracted from SEER  提取自 SEER 数据库

Observed MM survival rates estimated using SEER*Stat software. Rates were age-standardized to the International Cancer Survival Standard for 2012–17
使用 SEER*Stat 软件估算观察到的多发性骨髓瘤生存率。生存率按 2012-17 年国际癌症生存标准进行年龄标准化处理

National Cancer Institute, 2020
美国国家癌症研究所,2020 年

Japan  日本

Extracted from an analysis of MM patients diagnosed during 2001–12 in 38 hospitals across Japan
数据来源于对 2001-2012 年间日本 38 家医院确诊的多发性骨髓瘤患者的分析

One-year to five-year observed survival was extracted from the survival curve in the study
研究中从生存曲线提取了一至五年观察生存率数据

Ozaki et al., 2015
Ozaki 等人,2015 年

France, Italy, Spain, UK
法国、意大利、西班牙、英国

Extracted from the EUROCARE-5 Database
数据源自 EUROCARE-5 数据库

Extracted observed survival rates (2000–07) for MM, age-standardized to the International Cancer Survival Standard; data were adjusted for survival improvements over time based on Germany data
提取了 2000-07 年间多发性骨髓瘤的年龄标准化观察生存率(参照国际癌症生存标准),并基于德国数据对生存率随时间推移的改善进行了调整

EUROCARE-5 Database, 2019; Robert Koch Institute, 2022
EUROCARE-5 数据库,2019 年;罗伯特·科赫研究所,2022 年

Germany  德国

Extracted from RKI cancer database
摘自罗伯特·科赫研究所癌症数据库

Extracted one-year to five-year observed survival rates for MM, age-standardized for 2017–18
提取 2017-18 年年龄标准化后的多发性骨髓瘤 1-5 年观察生存率

Robert Koch Institute, 2022
罗伯特·科赫研究所,2022 年

RKI = Robert Koch Institute
RKI = 罗伯特·科赫研究所

Source:  来源

CancerData (NHS) 10/20/2022 (National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service, 2022)
癌症数据(英国国家医疗服务体系)2022 年 10 月 20 日(国家癌症登记与分析服务中心,2022 年)

Eurocare 01/01/2019 (EUROCARE-5 Database, 2019)
欧洲癌症生存研究数据库 2019 年 1 月 1 日(EUROCARE-5 数据库,2019 年)

Global Cancer Observatory (GCO) 01/01/2021 (Ervik et al., 2021)
全球癌症观察站 2021 年 1 月 1 日(Ervik 等学者,2021 年)

Institut National Du Cancer 07/01/2019 (Guyader-Peyrou et al., 2019)
法国国家癌症研究所 2019 年 7 月 1 日(Guyader-Peyrou 等学者,2019 年)

Institut National Du Cancer 01/01/2024
法国国家癌症研究所 2024 年 1 月 1 日

Patient Based Forecast
基于患者的预测

Last Reviewed:  最后审阅日期:
1 May, 2025  2025 年 5 月 1 日

by David Dahan and Ryan Haggerty
作者:大卫·达汉与瑞安·哈格蒂

Overview  概述

The multiple myeloma (MM) market will experience growth over the forecast period with sales in the US, Japan, and five major European markets (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK) increasing from $28.4bn in 2024 to $41.8bn in 2029, and $59.2bn in 2034. The main drivers for growth will be the entry of several new drugs and multiple label expansions of some currently available therapies, as well as an increase in the prevalence of MM. In the forecasted markets, we are expecting the first approval for smoldering multiple myeloma with sales reaching $0.5 bn in 2034. In the front-line setting, which includes both younger/fit transplant-eligible and older/frail transplant ineligible patients, sales will increase from $14.4bn in 2024 to $33.2bn in 2034, while sales in the relapsed/refractory setting will increase from $14.0bn in 2024 to $25.5bn in 2034.
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)市场在预测期内将呈现增长态势,美国、日本及欧洲五大主要市场(法国、德国、意大利、西班牙和英国)的销售额将从 2024 年的 284 亿美元增至 2029 年的 418 亿美元,到 2034 年将达到 592 亿美元。推动增长的主要因素包括多款新药的上市、现有疗法的多项适应症扩展,以及多发性骨髓瘤患病率的上升。在预测市场中,我们预计惰性多发性骨髓瘤将首次获批,其销售额到 2034 年将达到 5 亿美元。在适合移植的年轻/体能良好患者与不适合移植的老年/体弱患者构成的一线治疗领域,销售额将从 2024 年的 144 亿美元增长至 2034 年的 332 亿美元;而在复发/难治性治疗领域,销售额将从 2024 年的 140 亿美元增至 2034 年的 255 亿美元。

Darzalex (Johnson & Johnson’s daratumumab) was the leading therapy by revenue in 2024 with sales of $9.9bn and will remain in this position through 2034, when sales in the forecasted markets are expected to reach $23.6bn. The growth in Darzalex sales is supported by the supplementary approval of a Darzalex quadruplet combination for front-line treatment, as well as the expected approval of Darzalex combinations with bispecific antibodies. Over the forecast period, four anti-B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) agents – Carvykti (Johnson & Johnson’s ciltacabtagene autoleucel), Tecvayli (Johnson & Johnson’s teclistamab), Elrexfio (Pfizer’s elranatamab) and Blenrep (GSK’s belantamab mafodotin) – are expected to be approved for front-line patients, and will help grow the revenues for all eight anti-BCMA agents to $18.3bn, or 31% of the market, by 2034.
强生公司的 Darzalex(达雷妥尤单抗)以 99 亿美元的销售额成为 2024 年营收最高的治疗药物,并将在 2034 年前保持这一领先地位,届时预测市场销售额预计将达到 236 亿美元。Darzalex 销售额的增长得益于其四联组合疗法获批用于一线治疗的补充批准,以及与双特异性抗体联合疗法预期获批的推动。在预测期内,四种靶向 B 细胞成熟抗原(BCMA)的药物——Carvykti(强生的西达基奥仑赛)、Tecvayli(强生的特立妥单抗)、Elrexfio(辉瑞的艾拉妥单抗)和 Blenrep(葛兰素史克的贝兰他莫单抗)——预计将获批用于一线患者治疗,这将推动所有八种抗 BCMA 药物在 2034 年的总营收达到 183 亿美元,占市场份额的 31%。

Key themes  关键主题

BCMA-targeted agents, first approved for the relapsed/refractory setting, will enter the first-line setting
最初获批用于复发/难治性治疗的 BCMA 靶向药物,将进入一线治疗领域

The first CAR-T therapy for MM, Abecma (Bristol Myers Squibbs idecabtagene vicleucel), was approved in 2021, followed by the approval of Carvykti in 2022. A third anti-BCMA CAR-T therapy, Arcellx’s anito-cel, is expected to enter the market in 2026. Abecma is currently approved for third-line or later patients while Carvykti is approved for second-line or later patients, but their early rollout has been slowed by the complicated logistics of administering CAR-T therapy. While Abecma is not expecting any further supplementary approvals, we are expecting such approvals for Carvykti in the front-line post-induction setting for both transplant-ineligible patients (2027) and transplant-eligible patients (2034). The label expansions are expected to make Carvykti the best-selling CAR-T therapy in MM, with revenues in the forecasted markets increasing from $946m in 2024 to $6.4bn in 2034. In comparison, Abecma and anito-cel are expected to reach sales of $507m and $1.3bn, respectively, in 2034.
首个针对多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的 CAR-T 疗法 Abecma(百时美施贵宝的 idecabtagene vicleucel)于 2021 年获批,随后 Carvykti 在 2022 年获批。第三种抗 BCMA 的 CAR-T 疗法 Arcellx 公司的 anito-cel 预计将于 2026 年上市。目前 Abecma 获批用于三线及以上患者,而 Carvykti 获批用于二线及以上患者,但由于 CAR-T 疗法复杂的给药流程,其早期推广进展缓慢。虽然 Abecma 预计不会获得更多补充批准,但我们预计 Carvykti 将在不适合移植患者(2027 年)和适合移植患者(2034 年)的一线诱导后治疗中获得此类批准。这些适应症扩展预计将使 Carvykti 成为多发性骨髓瘤领域最畅销的 CAR-T 疗法,其预测市场收入将从 2024 年的 9.46 亿美元增长至 2034 年的 64 亿美元。相比之下,Abecma 和 anito-cel 在 2034 年的销售额预计分别达到 5.07 亿美元和 13 亿美元。

Tecvayli and Elrexfio are BCMA-directed bispecific antibodies. They were approved in 2022 and 2023, respectively, for patients treated with at least four prior therapies (three prior therapies in the EU). A third BCMA-directed bispecific antibody, Regeneron’s Lynozyfic (linvoseltamab) was approved in the EU in Q2 2025 with the US approval expected in mid-2025, while a fourth such bispecific, AbbVie’s etentamig, is expected to be approved in 2028. Tecvayli and Elrexfio are expecting US label expansions for second-line or later patients in 2026. Label expansions are also expected for the first-line setting, with Elrexfio and Tecvayli expected to be approved in 2028 and 2029, respectively, as maintenance therapy after transplant. Furthermore, both Elrexfio and Tecvayli are expected to be approved as first-line therapy for transplant-ineligible patients (in combination with Darzalex and lenalidomide) in 2029 and 2032, respectively. In 2034, Elrexfio, Tecvayli, Lynozyfic and etentamig’s revenues in the forecasted markets are expected to reach $4.9bn, $3.8bn, $542m, and $297m respectively.
Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 是靶向 BCMA 的双特异性抗体。这两款药物分别于 2022 年和 2023 年获批,适用于接受过至少四种前期治疗(欧盟为三种)的患者。第三款 BCMA 靶向双抗——再生元的 Lynozyfic(linvoseltamab)于 2025 年第二季度在欧盟获批,美国预计将于 2025 年年中批准;而第四款同类药物艾伯维的 etentamib 预计将于 2028 年获批。Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 预计将在 2026 年获得美国标签扩展,用于二线或后线治疗患者。两款药物还预计将获批一线治疗适应症:Elrexfio 和 Tecvayli 分别有望于 2028 年和 2029 年获批作为移植后的维持治疗方案。此外,Elrexfio 和 Tecvayli 预计将分别于 2029 年和 2032 年获批用于不适合移植患者的一线治疗(与 Darzalex 和来那度胺联用)。到 2034 年,Elrexfio、Tecvayli、Lynozyfic 和 etentamib 在预测市场的收入预计将分别达到 49 亿美元、38 亿美元、5.42 亿美元和 2.97 亿美元。

In summary, BCMA-targeted agents are expected to play an important role in front-line patients, especially transplant-ineligible patients, who could receive induction therapy with a bispecific, Darzalex, and lenalidomide combination, followed by maintenance therapy that consists of a single treatment with Carvykti.
总体而言,靶向 BCMA 的药物预计将在前线治疗中发挥重要作用,特别是对于不适合移植的患者群体。这类患者可接受双特异性抗体、达雷妥尤单抗与来那度胺联合诱导治疗,随后采用 Carvykti 单药维持治疗方案。

Darzalex will see increased uptake in the first-line setting
达雷妥尤单抗在一线治疗中的应用将显著增加

In the transplant-eligible first-line induction setting, a Darzalex-lenalidomide-bortezomib-dexamethasone quadruplet was approved in the US and EU in 2024. In the transplant-ineligible setting, this Darzalex quadruplet was approved in the EU in 2025 and is currently under regulatory review in the US. With Darzalex set to become the standard of care for induction of both transplant-eligible (as part of a quadruplet) and transplant-ineligible patients (either as a quadruplet for fitter patients or as a Darzalex-lenalidomide-dexamethasone triplet for frail patients), Darzalex’s sales in the forecasted markets, will increase from $9.9bn in 2024 to $23.6bn, or 40% of the market, in 2034.
在适合移植患者的一线诱导治疗中,达雷妥尤单抗-来那度胺-硼替佐米-地塞米松四联方案已于 2024 年在美国和欧盟获批。对于不适合移植的患者群体,该四联方案于 2025 年在欧盟获批,目前正在美国进行监管审查。随着达雷妥尤单抗即将成为适合移植患者(作为四联方案组成部分)和不适合移植患者(体能较好者采用四联方案,虚弱患者采用达雷妥尤单抗-来那度胺-地塞米松三联方案)诱导治疗的标准方案,其市场销售额预计将从 2024 年的 99 亿美元增长至 2034 年的 236 亿美元,占据 40%的市场份额。

Darzalex’s class competitor, Sanofi’s Sarclisa (isatuximab), received a supplementary approval in 2024/2025 in the US, EU and Japan as a quadruplet for transplant-ineligible patients. Approval in the transplant-eligible setting is expected in 2026. Interestingly, the Sarclisa pivotal trial included a rerandomization after induction and consolidation to evaluate maintenance therapy with either Sarclisa + lenalidomide or lenalidomide monotherapy. The results from the maintenance phase have yet to be disclosed but if they are positive, they may lead to approval of Sarclisa in the transplant-eligible maintenance setting. Given physician familiarity with Darzalex, its long clinical history, and the delayed arrival of a subcutaneous formulation of Sarclisa, we do not forecast Sarclisa taking significant market share from Darzalex. Nevertheless, Sarclisa sales are forecasted to increase from $355m in 2024 to $2.9bn in 2034.
Darzalex 的同类竞品——赛诺菲的 Sarclisa(isatuximab)于 2024/2025 年在美国、欧盟和日本获得补充批准,作为不适合移植患者的四联疗法用药。预计该药物将在 2026 年获批用于适合移植患者的治疗方案。值得注意的是,Sarclisa 的关键试验在诱导和巩固治疗后进行了再次随机分组,以评估 Sarclisa 联合来那度胺或来那度胺单药维持治疗的疗效。虽然维持治疗阶段的结果尚未公布,但如果数据积极,可能推动 Sarclisa 在适合移植患者维持治疗领域的获批。考虑到内科医生对 Darzalex 的熟悉程度、其悠久的临床应用历史,以及 Sarclisa 皮下制剂上市的延迟,我们预计 Sarclisa 不会从 Darzalex 手中夺取显著市场份额。尽管如此,Sarclisa 的销售额预计将从 2024 年的 3.55 亿美元增长至 2034 年的 29 亿美元。

Generic competition will slow growth in the MM market
仿制药竞争将减缓多发性骨髓瘤市场的增长

Immunomodulatory agents (Bristol Myers Squibb’s Revlimid/lenalidomide and Pomalyst/pomalidomide) and proteasome inhibitors (Takeda’s Velcade/bortezomib and Ninlaro/ixazomib, and Amgen’s Kyprolis/carfilzomib) form the backbone of numerous combination therapies across the different MM treatment settings. These high-value agents will face competition from generics over the forecast period.
免疫调节剂(百时美施贵宝的瑞复美/来那度胺和泊马度胺)以及蛋白酶体抑制剂(武田的万珂/硼替佐米和恩莱瑞/伊沙佐米,安进的卡非佐米)构成了多发性骨髓瘤不同治疗阶段众多联合疗法的核心方案。这些高价值药物在预测期内将面临仿制药的竞争。

The introduction of the first lenalidomide generics in 2022 had a major impact on the MM market. Bristol Myers Squibb has several settlements with generics companies that allow Revlimid to retain a portion of its market share until the volume limitations expire in January 2026. Nevertheless, Revlimid sales across the forecasted markets dropped from a peak of $9.9bn in 2021 to $4.8bn in 2024, and are forecasted to further drop to $1.4bn in 2034.
2022 年首批来那度胺仿制药的上市对多发性骨髓瘤市场产生了重大影响。百时美施贵宝与多家仿制药企业达成协议,使瑞复美在 2026 年 1 月销量限制到期前能保留部分市场份额。尽管如此,瑞复美在预测市场的销售额已从 2021 年的峰值 99 亿美元降至 2024 年的 48 亿美元,预计到 2034 年将进一步下滑至 14 亿美元。

Pomalyst, a Revlimid analog developed as a subsequent therapy, started to face generic competition in the EU in 2024 and is expected to face generic competition in the US and Japan in 2026. Major market sales for Pomalyst are forecasted to drop from a peak of $2.9bn in 2022 to $302m in 2034. Bristol Myers Squibb is developing two next-generation immunomodulatory agents, iberdomide and mezigdomide, as replacements for Revlimid and Pomalyst, respectively. Mezigdomide and iberdomide are expected to be approved for relapsed/refractory patients in 2027 and to reach sales in the forecasted markets of $1.1bn and $1.7bn, respectively, by 2034. In 2030, iberdomide is expecting a label expansion as post-transplant maintenance therapy for newly diagnosed patients.
作为后续疗法开发的来那度胺类似药物泊马度胺,2024 年开始在欧盟面临仿制药竞争,预计 2026 年将在美国和日本遭遇仿制药竞争。泊马度胺在主要市场的销售额预计将从 2022 年 29 亿美元的峰值降至 2034 年的 3.02 亿美元。百时美施贵宝正在开发两种新一代免疫调节剂 iberdomide 和 mezigdomide,分别作为来那度胺和泊马度胺的替代品。预计 mezigdomide 和 iberdomide 将于 2027 年获批用于复发/难治性患者,到 2034 年在预测市场的销售额分别达到 11 亿美元和 17 亿美元。2030 年,iberdomide 有望获得新诊断患者移植后维持治疗的适应症扩展。

The subcutaneous formulation of Velcade started facing generic competition in the EU in 2019, and in the US and Japan in 2022. The impact of the generics has already played out with 2024 sales in the forecasted markets at only $85m. Kyprolis and Ninlaro will both face generic competition later in the forecast period – carfilzomib generics are expected in 2025 (EU), 2026 (Japan), and 2027 (US), while ixazomib generics are expected in 2029 (US) and 2031 (Japan and EU). These three protease inhibitors are also expected to lose market share to bispecific antibodies and CAR-T therapies in the relapsed/refractory setting.
Velcade 的皮下注射剂型于 2019 年在欧盟开始面临仿制药竞争,2022 年在美国和日本也遭遇同类冲击。仿制药的影响已显现,预计 2024 年重点市场的销售额仅 8500 万美元。Kyprolis 和 Ninlaro 都将在预测期后期面临仿制药竞争——卡非佐米仿制药预计 2025 年登陆欧盟、2026 年进入日本、2027 年进入美国,而伊沙佐米仿制药预计 2029 年在美国上市,2031 年在日本和欧盟获批。这三种蛋白酶抑制剂在复发/难治性治疗场景中,预计还将面临双特异性抗体和 CAR-T 疗法的市场份额挤压。

The late-phase MM pipeline is currently focused on just three targets
目前多发性骨髓瘤后期研发管线仅聚焦三个靶点

Late-phase pipeline assets target BCMA (see above), cereblon (see iberdomide and mezigdomide above) and GPRC5D (Bristol Myers Squibb’s CAR-T therapy BMS-986393). With many newer agents moving to earlier lines of therapy (often in combinations), there is great interest in developing novel therapies for MM patients who have become resistant to available therapies.
后期管线资产主要针对 BCMA 靶点(见上文)、cereblon 靶点(参见前文提及的 iberdomide 和 mezigdomide)以及 GPRC5D 靶点(百时美施贵宝的 CAR-T 疗法 BMS-986393)。随着许多新型药物向更前线治疗推进(通常采用联合用药方案),针对现有疗法产生耐药性的骨髓瘤患者开发新型疗法正引发极大关注。

The bispecific antibody Talvey is the first approved agent targeting GPRC5D. It was approved in 2023 for patients treated with at least four prior therapies (three prior therapies in the EU). A label expansion is expected for second-line patients in 2027/2028 and for first-line transplant-ineligible patients in 2032. Sales are expected to reach $617m by 2034.
双特异性抗体 Talvey 是首个靶向 GPRC5D 的获批药物。该药物于 2023 年获准用于接受过至少四种前期治疗的患者(欧盟为三种前期治疗)。预计 2027/2028 年将扩展标签用于二线患者,2032 年扩展用于不适合移植的一线患者。预计到 2034 年销售额将达到 6.17 亿美元。

Methodology  方法论

We use a patient-based approach to size the commercial potential of the MM treatment market across the US, Japan, and five major European markets. Our analysis contains an assessment of key therapies designed to treat MM on the market and in the late-phase pipeline, a discussion of MM market dynamics, and a 10-year patient-based sales forecast.
我们采用基于患者数量的方法,评估了美国、日本和欧洲五大主要市场的多发性骨髓瘤治疗领域商业潜力。分析内容包括:评估已上市及后期研发阶段的关键治疗药物、探讨多发性骨髓瘤市场动态,以及基于患者数量的十年销售预测。

Model updates Q2 2025  2025 年第二季度模型更新

  • Added smoldering multiple myeloma to patient segmentation
    在患者分层中新增冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤分类

  • Forecast period extended to 2034
    预测期延长至 2034 年

  • Approval dates adjusted  批准日期已调整

  • Market shares adjusted as needed
    市场份额按需调整

  • Average patient course cost adjusted as needed
    患者疗程平均费用按需调整

  • Added late-phase pipeline drugs BMS-986393 and etentamig
    新增后期管线药物 BMS-986393 和 etentamig

  • Added the following label expansion events:
    新增以下适应症扩展事件:

    • Carvykti as a replacement for transplant in newly diagnosed patients
      Carvykti 作为新确诊患者的移植替代方案

    • Anito-cel for second-line or later patients
      Anito-cel 用于二线及以上治疗患者

    • Lynozyfic for second-line or later patients
      来那度胺用于二线或后线患者

    • Tecvayli as maintenance therapy after transplant
      特克维利作为移植后维持治疗

    • Blenrep for second-line or later patients 
      贝兰他单抗用于二线或后线患者

    • Blenrep for newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients
      贝兰他单抗用于新诊断的不适合移植患者

    • Darzalex for smoldering multiple myeloma
      达雷妥尤单抗用于冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤

    • Sarclisa for smoldering multiple myeloma
      萨特利珠单抗用于冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤

  • Added loss of exclusivity events for Blenrep in the US and EU
    新增美国及欧盟市场 Blenrep 专利独占权失效事件

Model updates Q4 2023  2023 年第四季度模型更新

  • Epidemiology data switched from prevalence to incidence
    流行病学数据从患病率转为发病率

  • Pricing adjusted from average price per year of treatment to average price per course of treatment
    定价从年均治疗费用调整为单疗程平均费用

  • Forecast period extended to 2032
    预测期延长至 2032 年

  • Approval dates adjusted  批准日期已调整

  • Market shares adjusted as needed
    根据需求调整市场份额

  • Venclexta removed due to failure of CANOVA trial
    由于 CANOVA 试验失败,Venclexta 被移除

  • Blenrep sales reduced due to expected withdrawal of EU marketing authorization following failure of confirmatory Phase III DREAMM-3 trial
    由于确认性 III 期 DREAMM-3 试验失败后欧盟营销授权预计撤销,Blenrep 销售额下调

  • Iberdomide label expansion added as post-transplant maintenance therapy for newly diagnosed patients
    新增 Iberdomide 适应症扩展作为新确诊患者的移植后维持治疗方案

  • Carvykti label expansion event removed based on CARTITUDE-6, which is evaluating Carvykti as a replacement for transplant in newly diagnosed patients; the estimated primary completion date for the trial is now June 2033, which is beyond the forecast period.
    基于 CARTITUDE-6 试验结果取消了 Carvykti 标签扩展计划,该试验旨在评估 Carvykti 作为新确诊患者移植替代方案的疗效;目前试验预计主要完成日期已推迟至 2033 年 6 月,超出预测周期范围。

Post-earnings model updates (21 December 2022)
盈利后模型更新(2022 年 12 月 21 日)

  • Forecast period extended to 2031
    预测期延长至 2031 年

  • Approval dates adjusted  调整审批日期

  • Pepaxto (due to EU approval), iberdomide, mezigdomide, and CART-ddBCMA added to forecast
    将 Pepaxto(基于欧盟批准)、iberdomide、mezigdomide 和 CART-ddBCMA 纳入预测范围

  • Label expansions added for Carvykti into the first-line transplant-eligible setting (as an alternative to transplant) and into the maintenance setting for transplant-ineligible patients (after VRd induction)
    Carvykti 适应症扩展新增:一线治疗适合移植患者(作为移植替代方案)以及不适合移植患者的维持治疗阶段(VRd 诱导治疗后)

  • Tecvayli label expansion added into the first-line transplant-ineligible setting (in combination with Darzalex and lenalidomide)
    Tecvayli 适应症扩展新增:一线治疗不适合移植患者(与 Darzalex 和来那度胺联用)

  • Elranatamab label expansion added into the maintenance setting for patients who are MRD-positive after transplant
    Elranatamab 适应症扩展新增:移植后 MRD 阳性患者的维持治疗阶段

  • Earlier approval date for talquetamab in the US and EU due to BLA submission in December 2022, and label expansion added into the second-line or later setting
    由于 2022 年 12 月提交生物制品许可申请(BLA),talquetamab 在美国和欧盟的获批日期提前,并新增二线及以上治疗场景的适应症扩展

  • Ninlaro forecasted sales reduced as we no longer expect approval in the US and EU for the maintenance setting (for either transplant-eligible and or transplant-ineligible patients)
    由于我们不再预期尼拉罗(Ninlaro)能在美国和欧盟获批用于维持治疗(无论是对适合移植还是不适合移植的患者),其预测销售额已下调。

  • Blenrep forecasted sales reduced due to withdrawal from the US following failure of the confirmatory Phase III DREAMM-3 trial.
    由于确认性三期临床试验 DREAMM-3 失败后,百乐普(Blenrep)从美国市场撤出,其预测销售额已下调。

Marketed and Pipeline Drugs
已上市及在研药物

Created with Highcharts 6.1.2Chart context menuNumber Of Drugs by Phase (Top 10 Companies)996633221111111111111111145111113211Approved (Generic Competition)ApprovedApproved in EuropeApproved in other than U.S./E.U.IIIIIBristolJohnson & JohnsonAbbVieTakedaEmcure PharmaceuticalsNovartisAmgenAurobindoGSKKaryopharm012345678910

Product SWOTs  产品 SWOT 分析

Key Regulatory Events
关键监管事件

Results from the last 5 years
最近 5 年的结果

Licensing and Acquisition Deals
许可与收购交易

Drug Assessment Model
药物评估模型

  • Bristol Myers Squibb’s Abecma (ide-cel) and Johnson & Johnson’s Carvykti (cilta-cel) are both BCMA-directed CAR-T immunotherapies. Carvykti is structurally differentiated from Abecma, with two BCMA-binding domains for greater avidity, and is further differentiated by its low cell dose. Following accelerated approval in the US (for fourth-line or later disease) and EU (for third-line or later disease), Abecma and Carvykti received full approvals based on Phase III trials (KarMMa-3 and CARTITUDE-4, respectively). While the Abecma label expansion specified third-line or later patients in the US, EU, and Japan, the Carvykti label expansion in the US and EU was for a larger population of second-line or later patients. All approvals were for triple-class exposed patients (previously treated with an IMiD, a PI, and an anti-CD38 antibody). A supplemental regulatory submission for Carvykti has not been made to Japanese authorities, and so in Japan, Carvykti is approved for fourth-line or later patients. The table below summarizes the results from KarMMa and CARTITUDE-1 which evaluated Abecma and Carvykti, respectively. A cross-trial comparison for these two Phase II trials as well as for the Phase III trials (see below) suggests that Carvykti has notably better efficacy but is associated with a higher frequency of grade ≥3 neurotoxicity and secondary malignancies. An EHA 2025 abstract notes that with a median follow-up of 60.3 months for CARTITUDE-1, the median OS for Carvykti was 60.6 months with 33% of patients remaining alive and progression-free for ≥5 years suggesting that Carvykti could be curative in the relapsed/refractory setting. Such cross-trial comparisons have resulted in physicians regarding Carvykti as more efficacious, meaning that it has gained market share at the expense of Abecma. 
    百时美施贵宝的 Abecma(ide-cel)和强生公司的 Carvykti(cilta-cel)均为靶向 BCMA 的 CAR-T 免疫疗法。Carvykti 在结构上与 Abecma 不同,具有两个 BCMA 结合域以实现更高亲和力,并通过低细胞剂量进一步差异化。在美国(用于四线或更晚疾病)和欧盟(用于三线或更晚疾病)获得加速批准后,Abecma 和 Carvykti 基于 III 期试验(分别为 KarMMa-3 和 CARTITUDE-4)获得完全批准。虽然 Abecma 的标签扩展在美国、欧盟和日本指定用于三线或更晚患者,但 Carvykti 在美国和欧盟的标签扩展适用于更大的二线或更晚患者群体。所有批准均针对三重暴露患者(既往接受过 IMiD、PI 和抗 CD38 抗体治疗)。Carvykti 尚未向日本监管机构提交补充申请,因此在日本,Carvykti 获批用于四线或更晚患者。下表总结了分别评估 Abecma 和 Carvykti 的 KarMMa 和 CARTITUDE-1 试验结果。 这两项 II 期试验以及 III 期试验(见下文)的跨试验比较表明,Carvykti 具有显著更优的疗效,但与≥3 级神经毒性和继发恶性肿瘤的发生率较高相关。EHA 2025 摘要指出,在 CARTITUDE-1 试验中位随访 60.3 个月时,Carvykti 的中位总生存期为 60.6 个月,33%的患者保持存活且无进展生存≥5 年,这表明 Carvykti 可能在复发/难治性治疗中具有治愈潜力。此类跨试验比较使得临床医生认为 Carvykti 疗效更佳,这意味着其市场份额的增长是以 Abecma 为代价的。

Results from the Phase II KarMMa and CARTITUDE-1 studies in multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤 II 期 KarMMa 和 CARTITUDE-1 研究结果

Study  研究
ORR
sCR
DOR (all responders)  总体缓解率(所有应答者)
DOR (sCR)  总体缓解率(严格完全缓解)
Grade ≥3 CRS  ≥3 级细胞因子释放综合征
Grade ≥3 NT  ≥3 级神经毒性
Manufacturing time  生产周期

KarMMa

72%

28%

11 months  11 个月

19 months  19 个月

9%

4%

33 days  33 天

CARTITUDE-1

95%

83%

34 months  34 个月

Not reached  未达到

5%

11%

32 days  32 天

CRS = cytokine release syndrome; DOR = duration of response; NT = neurotoxicity; ORR = overall response rate; sCR = stringent complete response
CRS = 细胞因子释放综合征;DOR = 缓解持续时间;NT = 神经毒性;ORR = 总体缓解率;sCR = 严格完全缓解

 

  • Like other CAR-T therapies, Abecma and Carvykti must be administered at a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS)-certified facility because of the risks of cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and neurological toxicities. 
    与其他 CAR-T 疗法类似,由于存在细胞因子释放综合征(CRS)和神经毒性的风险,Abecma 和 Carvykti 必须在获得风险评估与缓解策略(REMS)认证的机构中实施。

  • Both Abecma and Carvykti have black box warnings for CRS, neurological toxicities, hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis/macrophage activation syndrome (HLH/MAS) related to excessive immune activation associated with CAR-T therapy, T-cell malignancies, and prolonged cytopenia following the lymphodepleting conditioning regimen and CAR-T infusion. In addition, Carvykti has black box warnings for parkinsonism (a form of delayed neurotoxicity), Guillain-Barré syndrome, and for secondary hematologic malignancies, including myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia. With regard to the heightened risk for delayed neurotoxicity with Carvykti, a physician noted that their Carvykti patients stay on monitoring for 100 days post-infusion compared to 30 days for Abecma. This translates to Carvykti patients having to stay close to the hospital for longer than Abecma patients. 
    Abecma 和 Carvykti 均针对以下情况设有黑框警告:与 CAR-T 疗法相关的过度免疫激活引发的细胞因子释放综合征(CRS)、神经毒性、噬血细胞性淋巴组织细胞增多症/巨噬细胞活化综合征(HLH/MAS);T 细胞恶性肿瘤;以及淋巴细胞清除预处理方案和 CAR-T 输注后的长期血细胞减少。此外,Carvykti 还针对帕金森综合征(迟发性神经毒性的一种表现)、吉兰-巴雷综合征以及继发性血液系统恶性肿瘤(包括骨髓增生异常综合征和急性髓系白血病)设有黑框警告。关于 Carvykti 迟发性神经毒性风险升高的问题,有内科医生指出,其 Carvykti 患者需在输注后接受 100 天监测,而 Abecma 患者仅需监测 30 天。这意味着 Carvykti 患者必须比 Abecma 患者更长时间留在医院附近。

  • KarMMa-3 compared Abecma to standard triplet regimens in patients who had received two to four prior MM regimens. At ASH 2023 and with a median follow-up of 31 months, the trial reported significant improvements in PFS (13.8 months vs. 4.4 months; HR 0.49), overall response rate (ORR) (71% vs. 41%), and complete response or better (≥CR) rate (44% vs. 5%). An interim analysis presented in February 2023 had reported a median duration of response of 14.8 months for Abecma versus 9.7 months for the standard regimens. However, as reported at ASH 2023, the trial failed to show a significant improvement in OS, with an HR of 1.01 and median OS of 41.4 months and 37.9 months for the Abecma and standard therapy arms, respectively. Company officials noted that 56% of patients in the standard regimen arm crossed over to Abecma, which may explain why an improvement in OS was not seen. However, this would also suggest that moving Abecma up to third line may not improve OS compared to keeping it for fourth-line or later therapy. 
    KarMMa-3 研究将 Abecma 与标准三联方案在既往接受过 2 至 4 线多发性骨髓瘤治疗方案的患者中进行对比。2023 年美国血液学会年会公布的中位随访 31 个月数据显示,该试验在无进展生存期(13.8 个月 vs 4.4 个月;风险比 0.49)、总体缓解率(71% vs 41%)以及完全缓解或更佳(≥CR)率(44% vs 5%)方面均取得显著改善。2023 年 2 月公布的中期分析显示,Abecma 组中位缓解持续时间为 14.8 个月,标准方案组为 9.7 个月。但 2023 年 ASH 年会报告表明,该试验未显示总生存期的显著改善(风险比 1.01),Abecma 组与标准治疗组的中位总生存期分别为 41.4 个月和 37.9 个月。公司人员指出,标准方案组 56%的患者后续交叉使用了 Abecma,这可能是未观察到总生存期改善的原因。不过这也意味着,与保留 Abecma 用于四线或后续治疗相比,将其提前至三线使用可能不会改善总生存期。

  • CARTITUDE-4 evaluated Carvykti in patients who had previously received one to three lines of therapy. The study used a triplet comparator consisting of Pomalyst, bortezomib or Darzalex, and dex, and with 34 months of follow-up reported significant improvements in PFS (median not reached vs. 11.8 months; HR 0.26), OS (median not reached in either arm, HR 0.55, 30 month OS rates were 76% vs. 64%), ORR (85% vs. 67%), and ≥CR rate (77% vs. 22%). 
    CARTITUDE-4 研究评估了 Carvykti 在既往接受过 1-3 线治疗患者中的疗效。该研究采用由泊马度胺、硼替佐米或达雷妥尤单抗联合地塞米松组成的三联方案作为对照,经过 34 个月随访显示,Carvykti 在无进展生存期(中位数未达到 vs 11.8 个月;风险比 0.26)、总生存期(两组中位数均未达到,风险比 0.55,30 个月 OS 率为 76% vs 64%)、总体缓解率(85% vs 67%)和完全缓解及以上比率(77% vs 22%)方面均有显著改善。

  • Two Phase III trials are evaluating Carvykti in first-line patients: CARTITUDE-5 is comparing VRd induction followed by Carvykti to VRd induction followed by Rd maintenance in patients not suited for transplant, while CARTITUDE-6 is evaluating Dara-VRd followed by Carvykti versus Dara-VRd followed by ASCT in transplant-eligible patients. The EPCDs of CARTITUDE-5 and CARTITUDE-6 are June 2026 and June 2033, respectively. 
    两项 III 期试验正在评估 Carvykti 用于一线治疗患者的效果:CARTITUDE-5 研究在不适合移植的患者中比较 VRd 诱导后接 Carvykti 与 VRd 诱导后接 Rd 维持治疗的方案,而 CARTITUDE-6 研究则在适合移植的患者中评估 Dara-VRd 后接 Carvykti 与 Dara-VRd 后接自体干细胞移植(ASCT)的疗效。CARTITUDE-5 和 CARTITUDE-6 的预计主要完成日期分别为 2026 年 6 月和 2033 年 6 月。

  • GSK’s Blenrep (belantamab mafodotin) is an anti-BCMA ADC that has had a rocky history but is now approved for second-line or later patients in the UK and Japan. The approvals are for Blenrep combined with bortezomib + dex or, in the case of patients previously treated with lenalidomide, with Pomalyst + dex. A regulatory application is currently under review in the US with an FDA Advisory Committee set the discuss the submission on July 17 2025 (the PDUFA date is July 23 2025). An application to EU authorities received a positive CHMP opinion with a final decision expected in Q3 2025. Although Blenrep monotherapy received separate conditional approvals from the FDA and EMA in August 2020 for RRMM patients who have received at least four prior therapies, these approvals were withdrawn in 2022 and 2023 after a confirmatory trial, DREAMM-3, failed to meet its primary endpoint of PFS. DREAMM-3 was a head-to-head superiority trial comparing Blenrep monotherapy to Pomalyst + dex (Pd) in third-line or later MM. In a surprising turn of events, Blenrep subsequently reported positive results in two additional Phase III trials, DREAMM-7 and DREAMM-8, both of which enrolled second-line or later patients. DREAMM-7 compared Blenrep combined with bortezomib + dex (Vd) to Darzalex + Vd. Numerical results were presented in February 2024 and included a statistically significant increase in the primary endpoint of PFS (37 months vs. 13 months; HR 0.41). A subsequent interim analysis found a significant increase in OS for the Blenrep arm (median OS not reached in either arm with a median follow-up of 28 months; HR 0.57). OS rates at 18 months were improved in the Blenrep arm (84% vs 73%). DREAMM-7 reported induction of deep responses as measured by ≥CR rate (35% vs. 17%) and by the MRD negativity rate in patients with a very good partial response or better (≥VGPR) (39% vs. 17%). DREAMM-8 compared Blenrep + Pd versus bortezomib + Pd and impressed at ASCO 2024 with a statistically significant improvement in median PFS (not reached vs. 12.7 months with a median follow-up of 21.8 months) and improvements in the ≥CR rate (40% vs. 16%) and in the MRD negativity rate in patients with ≥VGPR (32% vs. 5%). DREAMM-8 also showed a trend for improvement in OS that will be re-examined after a longer follow-up. Unlike the other approved BCMA-targeting agents, which include bispecific antibodies and CAR-T therapies, Blenrep does not require any hospitalizations and its efficacy is independent of T-cell activity, which may make it attractive for patients with T-cell exhaustion. As such, Blenrep is well suited for older patients, including those who are transplant-ineligible and those whose immune systems have been degraded by previous treatments. One drawback to Blenrep is that it is associated with keratopathy, an ocular toxicity that can lead to decreases in visual acuity which are managed primarily by dose interruptions. When it was still being marketed in the US, the FDA required participation in the Blenrep REMS program, which required education for both prescribing physicians and patients regarding the ocular risks of Blenrep as well as monitoring of patients by an ophthalmologist/optometrist before every dose (every three weeks). Due to ocular toxicity, KOLs do not anticipate that Blenrep will play a major role the relapsed/refractory setting. However, physician education and development of a safer, optimized dosing protocol that allows the corneal epithelium to recover between doses (every eight weeks or every twelve weeks) could help increase uptake. 
    葛兰素史克的 Blenrep(贝兰他单抗马夫多汀)是一款靶向 BCMA 的抗体偶联药物,其上市历程颇为坎坷,现已在英国和日本获批用于二线及以上治疗。获批方案为 Blenrep 联合硼替佐米+地塞米松,或针对曾接受来那度胺治疗的患者联合泊马度胺+地塞米松。美国食品药品监督管理局目前正在审评该药的上市申请,其咨询委员会定于 2025 年 7 月 17 日讨论该申请(PDUFA 日期为 2025 年 7 月 23 日)。欧盟监管机构已给出 CHMP 积极意见,最终决定预计将于 2025 年第三季度作出。尽管 Blenrep 单药疗法曾于 2020 年 8 月分别获得美国食品药品监督管理局和欧洲药品管理局有条件批准用于接受过至少四种前期治疗的复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤患者,但在验证性试验 DREAMM-3 未能达到无进展生存期主要终点后,这些批准于 2022 年和 2023 年被撤销。DREAMM-3 是一项头对头优效性试验,在三线及以上多发性骨髓瘤治疗中比较了 Blenrep 单药与泊马度胺+地塞米松(Pd)方案的疗效。 令人意外的是,Blenrep 随后在 DREAMM-7 和 DREAMM-8 两项针对二线及以上患者的 III 期试验中均取得积极结果。DREAMM-7 试验将 Blenrep 联合硼替佐米+地塞米松(Vd)方案与 Darzalex 联合 Vd 方案进行对比。2024 年 2 月公布的数值结果显示,主要终点无进展生存期(PFS)具有统计学显著改善(37 个月 vs 13 个月;HR 0.41)。后续中期分析发现 Blenrep 组总生存期(OS)显著延长(中位随访 28 个月时两组均未达到中位 OS;HR 0.57),18 个月 OS 率更高(84% vs 73%)。该试验还显示 Blenrep 组诱导出更深度的缓解:完全缓解率(≥CR)达 35% vs 17%,在达到非常好部分缓解及以上(≥VGPR)的患者中,微小残留病灶阴性率(MRD-)达 39% vs 17%。 DREAMM-8 试验则对比了 Blenrep+Pd 方案与硼替佐米+Pd 方案,在 2024 年 ASCO 年会上以显著改善的中位 PFS(中位随访 21.8 个月时未达到 vs 12.7 个月)、更高的≥CR 率(40% vs 16%)以及≥VGPR 患者更高的 MRD-率(32% vs 5%)令人瞩目。 DREAMM-8 研究还显示出总生存期改善的趋势,将在更长期随访后重新评估。与其他已获批的 BCMA 靶向药物(包括双特异性抗体和 CAR-T 疗法)不同,Blenrep 无需住院治疗且其疗效不依赖 T 细胞活性,这对存在 T 细胞耗竭的患者可能颇具吸引力。因此,Blenrep 非常适合老年患者,包括不适合移植的患者和因既往治疗导致免疫系统受损的患者。Blenrep 的一个缺点是可能引发角膜病变(一种可导致视力下降的眼部毒性),主要通过暂停给药来控制。当该药物仍在美国销售时,食品药品监督管理局要求参与 Blenrep 风险评估与减低策略(REMS)计划,该计划要求对处方医师和患者进行关于 Blenrep 眼部风险的教育,并要求在每次给药前(每三周)由眼科医生/验光师对患者进行监测。由于存在眼部毒性,关键意见领袖预计 Blenrep 在复发/难治性治疗领域不会发挥主要作用。 然而,通过内科医生的教育以及制定更安全、优化的给药方案(如每八周或每十二周给药一次,让角膜上皮在给药间隔期得以恢复),将有助于提高该疗法的采用率。

  • A Phase III trial in the newly diagnosed, transplant-ineligible setting (DREAMM-10) is comparing Blenrep combined with Rd to Darzalex combined with Rd. DREAMM-10 has an EPCD of December 2030. 
    针对新确诊且不适合移植患者的三期临床试验(DREAMM-10)正在比较 Blenrep 联合 Rd 方案与 Darzalex 联合 Rd 方案的疗效。该试验预计于 2030 年 12 月完成主要终点数据收集。

  • Johnson & Johnson’s Darzalex (daratumumab) was the first mAb approved for MM. Since its initial approval in 2015 as a monotherapy for fourth-line or later patients, uptake of this CD38-targeted drug has increased steadily with multiple label expansions that have helped it grow to become a major MM blockbuster. With the risk of infections being the main safety concern, Darzalex is well tolerated and can even be used in the elderly/frail population. 
    强生公司的 Darzalex(达雷妥尤单抗)是首个获批用于多发性骨髓瘤的单克隆抗体。自 2015 年首次获批作为四线及以上患者的单药治疗方案以来,这款靶向 CD38 的药物通过多次适应症扩展,使用率持续攀升,现已发展成为多发性骨髓瘤领域的重磅产品。尽管存在感染风险这一主要安全性问题,但 Darzalex 耐受性良好,甚至可用于老年/体弱患者群体。

  • Darzalex is infused over several hours, so the approval of a more convenient SC formulation has helped the drug grow its blockbuster status. The SC formulation (Darzalex Faspro/daratumumab hyaluronidase) was approved in the US following a BLA, thereby granting it 12 years of exclusivity. Approvals in the US (May 2020), EU (June 2020), and Japan (March 2021) were for the same settings as for Darzalex. Additionally, SC Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex was approved for second-line or later patients in the US (July 2021) and EU (June 2021) based on the APOLLO trial. In November 2021, SC Darzalex was approved by the FDA in combination with Kyprolis + dex for second- to fourth-line patients based on the PLEIADES trial. 
    达雷妥尤单抗需要数小时静脉输注,因此更便捷的皮下制剂获批进一步巩固了这款重磅药物的市场地位。皮下制剂(Darzalex Faspro/达雷妥尤单抗透明质酸酶)通过生物制品许可申请在美国获批,由此获得 12 年市场独占权。该剂型在美国(2020 年 5 月)、欧盟(2020 年 6 月)和日本(2021 年 3 月)的获批适应症与静脉剂型一致。此外,基于 APOLLO 试验数据,皮下制剂达雷妥尤单抗联合泊马度胺与地塞米松方案在美国(2021 年 7 月)和欧盟(2021 年 6 月)获批用于二线及以上治疗。2021 年 11 月,根据 PLEIADES 试验结果,食品药品监督管理局批准皮下制剂达雷妥尤单抗联合卡非佐米与地塞米松用于二线至四线治疗。

  • The table below summarizes Darzalex’s label expansions for MM. 
    下表总结了达雷妥尤单抗在多发性骨髓瘤领域的适应症扩展情况。

Darzalex’s label expansions for multiple myeloma
达雷妥尤单抗针对多发性骨髓瘤的适应症扩展

Setting  治疗场景
Regimen  治疗方案
Approval date  批准日期
Trial  临床试验
Comparator  对照药物
Primary endpoint  主要终点
Results  结果

 

 

US

EU

Japan  日本

 

 

 

Experimental  实验组

Comparator  对照组

HR

1L TI  1 升钛

 

Dara-VMP  达拉-VMP 方案

2018

2018

2019

ALCYONE (Phase III)  昴宿星团(第三阶段)

VMP

PFS

36 months  36 个月

19 months  19 个月

0.50

Dara-Rd  达雷妥尤单抗(Dara-Rd)

2019

2019

2020

MAIA (Phase III)  MAIA(III 期临床试验)

Rd  来那度胺(Rd)

PFS

62 months  62 个月

34 months  34 个月

0.56

SC Dara-VRd  SC Dara-VRd 方案

-

2025

-

CEPHEUS (Phase III)  CEPHEUS(III 期临床试验)

VRd  VRd(硼替佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松)

10-5 MRD-negativity rate
10% MRD 阴性率

61%

39%

-

1L TE  一线治疗

Dara-VTd  达雷妥尤单抗-VTd 方案

2019

2020

-

CASSIOPEIA (Phase III)  仙后座(第三阶段)

VTd  VTd 方案

PFS

Not reached  未达到

Not reached  未达到

0.47

SC Dara-VRd  SC Dara-VRd 方案

2024

2024

-

PERSEUS (Phase III)  PERSEUS(III 期临床试验)

VRd  VRd 方案

PFS

Not reached  尚未达到(终点)

Not reached  未达标

0.40

2L+

Dara-Rd

2016

2017

2017

POLLUX (Phase III)  POLLUX(III 期)

Rd

PFS

45 months  45 个月

17 months  17 个月

0.37

 

Dara-Vd

2016

2017

2017

CASTOR (Phase III)  CASTOR(第三阶段)

Vd

PFS

17 months  17 个月

7.1 months  7.1 个月

0.39

 

Dara-Kd  达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松(Dara-Kd)

2020

2020

2020

CANDOR (Phase III)  CANDOR(III 期临床试验)

Kd  卡非佐米+地塞米松(Kd)

PFS

28 months  28 个月

15 months  15 个月

0.64

 

SC Dara-Kd  SC Dara-Kd 方案

2021

2020

2021

PLEIADES (Phase II)  PLEIADES(第二阶段)

-

ORR

85%

-

-

 

SC Dara-Pd  SC Dara-Pd 方案

2021

2021

-

APOLLO (Phase III)  阿波罗(第三阶段)

Pd  

PFS

12 months  12 个月

6.9 months  6.9 个月

0.63

3L+

Dara-Pd

2017

-

-

EQUULEUS (Phase Ib)  天秤座(Ib 期)

-

ORR

59%

-

-

SC = subcutaneous; TE = transplant-eligible; TI = transplant-ineligible
SC=皮下注射;TE=适合移植;TI=不适合移植

  • PERSEUS compared a Darzalex quadruplet (Dara-VRd) to VRd as induction therapy prior to transplant and as consolidation therapy post-transplant. PERSEUS also evaluated Darzalex + lenalidomide versus lenalidomide alone as maintenance therapy but the lack of a second randomization after transplant means that the trial will not support approval of maintenance with Darzalex + lenalidomide. 
    PERSEUS 研究将 Darzalex 四联疗法(Dara-VRd)与 VRd 方案作为移植前诱导治疗及移植后巩固治疗进行对比。该研究还评估了 Darzalex 联合来那度胺对比单用来那度胺作为维持治疗的疗效,但由于移植后缺乏二次随机分组,试验结果将无法支持 Darzalex 联合来那度胺维持治疗的获批。

  • At ASH 2023, PERSEUS reported that Dara-VRd significantly improved PFS, MRD negativity, and CR rates in transplant-eligible patients. With a median follow-up of 47.5 months, the estimated 48-month PFS for Dara-VRd and VRd was 84% and 68%, respectively, with an HR of 0.40. According to the FDA label, at the end of consolidation, the Dara-VRd regimen significantly improved the depth of response versus the VRd regimen as measured by the ≥CR rate (44% vs. 35%) and the MRD negativity rate measured at 10-5 (57% vs. 32%). Although PERSEUS showed a trend for improved survival in the Dara-VRd arm, it will be many years before an improvement in OS can be established. 
    在 2023 年美国血液学会年会上,PERSEUS 研究公布数据显示:对于适合移植的患者,Dara-VRd 方案显著改善了无进展生存期(PFS)、微小残留病(MRD)阴性率和完全缓解(CR)率。中位随访 47.5 个月时,Dara-VRd 组和 VRd 组的 48 个月预估 PFS 率分别为 84%和 68%(风险比 HR=0.40)。根据食品药品监督管理局的标签信息,在巩固治疗结束时,通过≥CR 率(44%对比 35%)和 10^-5 灵敏度检测的 MRD 阴性率(57%对比 32%)评估,Dara-VRd 方案较 VRd 方案显著提升了缓解深度。尽管 PERSEUS 研究显示 Dara-VRd 组存在生存改善趋势,但总生存期(OS)获益的确立仍需多年随访验证。

  • Following these positive results from PERSEUS, the Dara-VRd quadruplet is set to become the standard of care for induction and consolidation of first-line transplant-eligible patients. The PERSEUS regimen was approved in the US and EU in July and October 2024, respectively. A key question discussed at ASH 2023 was whether maintenance with Darzalex + lenalidomide is superior to lenalidomide alone. However, PERSEUS was not designed to answer this question, as there was no rerandomization after transplant and it is unclear if adding Darzalex to the maintenance regimen contributed to the increase in PFS or if the improvement was solely due to adding Darzalex at the induction and consolidation phases. Both the US and the EU approvals were only for induction and consolidation and not for maintenance with Darzalex + lenalidomide. Another Phase III trial, AURIGA, compared Darzalex + lenalidomide versus lenalidomide maintenance in patients who were MRD-positive after induction and ASCT. Results from AURIGA were presented in September 2024 and showed that the trial met its primary endpoint of conversion to MRD-negativity, as well as its secondary endpoint of PFS. However, since AURIGA did not enroll patients treated with Darzalex during induction, it is unlikely that it will support approval of Darzalex + lenalidomide for maintenance after ASCT. With no formal approval, we expect to see limited uptake of Darzalex in the first-line transplant-eligible maintenance setting. 
    随着 PERSEUS 研究取得积极成果,Dara-VRd 四联疗法即将成为适合一线移植患者诱导和巩固治疗的新标准。该方案分别于 2024 年 7 月和 10 月在美国及欧盟获批。ASH 2023 会议上讨论的核心问题是:达雷妥尤单抗联合来那度胺的维持治疗是否优于单用来那度胺。但 PERSEUS 研究设计并未解答这个问题——因移植后未进行再随机分组,无法确定 PFS 的提升是源于维持阶段添加达雷妥尤单抗,还是仅由诱导/巩固阶段的联合用药驱动。美欧两地批准范围均仅限于诱导和巩固阶段,不包括达雷妥尤单抗联合来那度胺的维持治疗。另一项 III 期试验 AURIGA 则针对诱导治疗和自体干细胞移植后 MRD 阳性患者,对比了达雷妥尤单抗联合来那度胺与单用来那度胺的维持效果。2024 年 9 月公布的数据显示,该试验同时达到了 MRD 转阴的主要终点和 PFS 的次要终点。 然而,由于 AURIGA 试验未纳入在诱导期接受 Darzalex 治疗的患者,该数据不太可能支持 Darzalex 联合来那度胺用于自体干细胞移植(ASCT)后维持治疗的获批。在缺乏正式批准的情况下,我们预计 Darzalex 在一线适合移植患者的维持治疗中应用有限。

  • Another Darzalex Phase III trial that read out in 2024 was CEPHEUS which evaluated Dara-VRd for newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients. Patients received Dara-VRd for eight cycles followed by DRd until disease progression. The comparator was eight cycles of VRd followed by Rd until disease progression. Results presented in September 2024 showed that the trial met its primary endpoint of MRD-negativity rate at 10-5 (61% vs. 39%) as well as the secondary endpoint of median PFS (not reached vs. 53 months; HR 0.57). A regulatory submission supported by CEPHEUS was approved in the EU in April 2025 and is currently under review in the US with an approval expected by mid-2025. Sarclisa-VRd was approved for this setting in the US (September 2024), EU (January 2025) and Japan (February 2025). Once the CEPHEUS regimen is approved, Dara-VRd will compete with Sarclisa-VRd to become the standard of care for fit, transplant-ineligible patients while DRd will be reserved for the frail population. Given Darzalex’s advantages of a subcutaneous formulation and physician familiarity, we expect Dara-VRd to be favored over Sarclisa-VRd. 
    2024 年公布的另一项 Darzalex III 期临床试验 CEPHEUS 评估了 Dara-VRd 方案在新诊断不适合移植患者中的应用。患者接受 8 个周期 Dara-VRd 治疗后继续 DRd 方案直至疾病进展,对照组为 8 个周期 VRd 后接 Rd 方案维持治疗。2024 年 9 月公布的数据显示,该试验达到了 10^-5 水平微小残留病灶阴性率(61% vs 39%)的主要终点,以及中位无进展生存期(未达到 vs 53 个月;风险比 0.57)的次要终点。基于 CEPHEUS 数据的注册申请已于 2025 年 4 月在欧盟获批,目前正在美国审评中,预计 2025 年年中获批。Sarclisa-VRd 方案已相继在美国(2024 年 9 月)、欧盟(2025 年 1 月)和日本(2025 年 2 月)获批该适应症。CEPHEUS 方案获批后,Dara-VRd 将与 Sarclisa-VRd 竞争成为体能良好但不适合移植患者的标准治疗方案,而 DRd 方案将保留用于虚弱患者群体。考虑到 Darzalex 具有皮下制剂优势和内科医生熟悉度,我们预计 Dara-VRd 将比 Sarclisa-VRd 更受青睐。

  • The final Darzalex Phase III trial to read out in 2024 was AQUILA which compared Darzalex monotherapy to observation in high-risk smoldering myeloma. With a median follow-up of 65 months, the trial met its primary endpoint of PFS (63 months vs 41 months; HR 0.49). There was also a significant improvement in OS (60-month OS rates of 93% vs. 87%; HR 0.52). A regulatory submission supported by AQUILA is currently under review by the FDA, EU and Japanese authorities. In May 2025, an FDA advisory committee voted 6-2 that AQUILA provided sufficient evidence of a favorable benefit-risk profile increasing the likelihood that Darzalex will be FDA approved for high-risk smoldering multiple myeloma. Similarly, in June 2025 a European panel recommended that Darzalex be approved for this setting.   
    2024 年公布的 Darzalex 最终 III 期临床试验是 AQUILA 研究,该研究比较了 Darzalex 单药治疗与观察治疗在高危冒烟型骨髓瘤患者中的效果。中位随访 65 个月后,试验达到了无进展生存期(PFS)的主要终点(63 个月 vs 41 个月;风险比 0.49)。总生存期(OS)也有显著改善(60 个月 OS 率为 93% vs. 87%;风险比 0.52)。基于 AQUILA 研究数据的监管申请目前正在接受美国食品药品监督管理局、欧盟和日本当局的审查。2025 年 5 月,FDA 咨询委员会以 6 比 2 的投票结果认定 AQUILA 研究提供了足够的证据表明其具有有利的获益-风险特征,这增加了 Darzalex 获得 FDA 批准用于高危冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤的可能性。同样在 2025 年 6 月,欧洲专家小组建议批准 Darzalex 用于该适应症。

  • Pfizer’s Elrexfio (elranatamab) is a second-to-market BCMA x CD3 bispecific antibody, with cross-trial comparisons suggesting that it has similar efficacy to Tecvayli but a higher rate of grade 5 infections and treatment discontinuations due to adverse events. Elrexfio benefits from a lower rate of ICANS and from fewer required hospitalizations compared to Tecvayli. Elrexfio requires 48-hour and 24-hour hospitalizations for step-up doses one and two, respectively, compared to Tecvayli which requires three 48-hour hospitalizations. Elrexfio has received conditional approval from the FDA (in August 2023) for fifth-line or later MM, from the European Commission (in December 2023) for fourth-line or later MM and full approval from Japanese authorities (in March 2024) for second-line or later MM. All three approvals specified patients previously treated with a PI, an IMiD, and an anti-CD38 antibody. In December 2024, Elrexfio received positive NICE guidance but only in the context of managed access. Elrexfio is administered subcutaneously with the option to switch from weekly to every-other-week dosing after 24 weeks of treatment for patients with a PR or better. The every-other-week dosing regimen is expected to lower the risk of infection associated with long-term treatment. Elrexfio has a black box warning for CRS and neurological toxicity, and is only available through a REMS program. MagnetisMM-3 was a pivotal Phase II trial that evaluated Elrexfio in triple-refractory MM patients. Per the FDA label, for 97 patients not previously treated with a BCMA agent and with a median follow-up of 11 months, the ORR was 58% and the CR/sCR rate was 26%. This is comparable to Tecvayli, whose FDA label reports that with a median follow-up of seven months, the ORR was 62% and the CR/sCR rate was 28%. Compared to Tecvayli, Elrexfio reported lower rates of CRS (58% vs. 72%) and grade 1/2 ICANS (3% vs. 6%). The rate of grade 3/4 infections was high at 31%, with 7% of patients having a grade 5 infection (Tecvayli reported grade 3/4 infections in 35% of patients, and grade 5 infections in 4% of patients). The rate of permanent discontinuation due to treatment-related adverse events was higher for Elrexfio than Tecvayli (17% vs. 1.2%). A confirmatory Phase III trial, MagnetisMM-5, is designed to demonstrate superiority of Elrexfio over Darzalex-based regimens in the second-line or later setting and is evaluating Elrexfio monotherapy as well as Elrexfio + Darzalex in patients refractory to lenalidomide and a PI; the comparator is Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex and the EPCD is December 2025. Another trial in the second-line or later setting, MagnetisMM-32, is designed to establish a new standard of care for patients who received Darzalex in the front-line setting. MagnetisMM-32 is comparing Elrexfio monotherapy to Elo-Pd, PVd, or Kd, is enrolling patients refractory to lenalidomide and a CD38 inhibitor, and has an EPCD of August 2026. In the newly diagnosed setting, MagnetisMM-7 is evaluating Elrexfio as maintenance therapy after ASCT; the comparator is lenalidomide, and the EPCD is August 2027. Finally, an ex-US Phase III trial, MagnetisMM-6, is evaluating Elrexfio + Darzalex + lenalidomide or Elrexfio + lenalidomide in newly diagnosed, transplant-ineligible patients; the comparator is Darzalex + lenalidomide + dex, and the EPCD is March 2028.  
    辉瑞公司的 Elrexfio(elranatamab)是第二款上市的 BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体,跨试验比较显示其疗效与 Tecvayli 相似,但 5 级感染率和因不良事件导致治疗中止的比例更高。与 Tecvayli 相比,Elrexfio 的优势在于 ICANS 发生率更低且住院需求更少。Elrexfio 的阶梯剂量一和二分别需要 48 小时和 24 小时住院观察,而 Tecvayli 则需要三次 48 小时住院。Elrexfio 已获得美国食品药品监督管理局(2023 年 8 月)有条件批准用于五线或更后线多发性骨髓瘤治疗,欧洲委员会(2023 年 12 月)批准用于四线或更后线治疗,日本监管机构(2024 年 3 月)则给予二线或更后线治疗的完全批准。三项批准均明确要求患者既往接受过蛋白酶体抑制剂、免疫调节药物和抗 CD38 抗体治疗。2024 年 12 月,Elrexfio 获得英国国家卫生与临床优化研究所(NICE)积极指导,但仅限于管理准入框架下使用。该药采用皮下注射方式给药,对于达到部分缓解或更好疗效的患者,可在治疗 24 周后从每周给药调整为隔周给药。 隔周给药方案预计将降低与长期治疗相关的感染风险。Elrexfio 因存在细胞因子释放综合征(CRS)和神经毒性的黑框警告,仅能通过风险评估与缓解策略(REMS)计划获取。MagnetisMM-3 是一项关键性 II 期试验,评估了 Elrexfio 在三线难治性多发性骨髓瘤患者中的疗效。根据食品药品监督管理局标签数据,在 97 例既往未接受过 BCMA 靶向治疗且中位随访 11 个月的患者中,总缓解率(ORR)为 58%,完全缓解/严格完全缓解(CR/sCR)率为 26%。这一结果与 Tecvayli 相当——后者在食品药品监督管理局标签中报告的中位随访 7 个月数据显示,ORR 为 62%,CR/sCR 率为 28%。与 Tecvayli 相比,Elrexfio 报告的 CRS 发生率(58% vs. 72%)和 1/2 级免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征(ICANS)发生率(3% vs. 6%)更低。但 3/4 级感染发生率高达 31%,其中 7%患者出现 5 级感染(Tecvayli 报告的 3/4 级感染率为 35%,5 级感染率为 4%)。Elrexfio 因治疗相关不良事件导致的永久停药率高于 Tecvayli(17% vs. 1.2%)。验证性 III 期试验 MagnetisMM-5 旨在证明 Elrexfio 在二线或后线治疗中优于基于 Darzalex 的方案,该试验正在评估 Elrexfio 单药治疗及 Elrexfio 联合 Darzalex 对来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂难治性患者的疗效;对照组采用 Darzalex 联合泊马度胺与地塞米松方案,预计主要终点完成日期为 2025 年 12 月。另一项针对二线或后线治疗的试验 MagnetisMM-32 旨在为前线接受过 Darzalex 治疗的患者建立新标准,该试验将 Elrexfio 单药与 Elo-Pd、PVd 或 Kd 方案进行对比,入组对象为对来那度胺和 CD38 抑制剂难治的患者,主要终点完成日期为 2026 年 8 月。在新诊断患者群体中,MagnetisMM-7 评估 Elrexfio 作为自体干细胞移植后的维持治疗;对照组采用来那度胺方案,主要终点完成日期为 2027 年 8 月。最后,一项国际多中心 III 期试验 MagnetisMM-6 正在评估 Elrexfio 联合 Darzalex 与来那度胺或 Elrexfio 单联合来那度胺用于不适合移植的新诊断患者;对照组采用 Darzalex 联合来那度胺与地塞米松方案,主要终点完成日期为 2028 年 3 月。

  • Bristol Myers Squibb’s Empliciti (elotuzumab), the only SLAMF7-targeted mAb approved for MM, has seen moderate uptake since its US (2015), EU (2016), and Japanese (2019) approvals as part of a combination with Revlimid + dex (ERd) for the treatment of MM patients who have received one to three prior lines of therapy. A label expansion for the combination of Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex for the treatment of third-line or later MM patients provided expanded options for the use of Empliciti in the treatment of RRMM but did not significantly improve the drug’s commercial potential in this crowded treatment space. Furthermore, the Phase III failure of the ERd combination in ELOQUENT-1 precluded a potential label expansion to the lucrative first-line setting. Although results from the Phase II E-PRISM study of ERd for the treatment of high-risk smoldering MM were positive, there is no indication that Bristol Myers Squibb will explore the combination further. 
    百时美施贵宝的 Empliciti(elotuzumab)是唯一获批用于多发性骨髓瘤的 SLAMF7 靶向单抗。自其在美国(2015 年)、欧盟(2016 年)和日本(2019 年)获批作为 Revlimid+地塞米松(ERd)联合疗法用于接受过 1-3 线既往治疗的 MM 患者以来,市场接受度中等。Empliciti 与 Pomalyst+地塞米松联合用于三线或更晚期 MM 患者的标签扩展为 RRMM 治疗提供了更多选择,但在这个竞争激烈的治疗领域并未显著提升该药物的商业潜力。此外,ERd 组合在 ELOQUENT-1 三期研究的失败使其错失了向利润丰厚的一线治疗领域扩展标签的可能。尽管 ERd 治疗高危冒烟型 MM 的 II 期 E-PRISM 研究结果积极,但尚无迹象表明百时美施贵宝会进一步探索该组合疗法。

  • Secura Bio’s Farydak (panobinostat) is a histone deacetylase inhibitor with limited commercial potential due to its relatively poor risk/benefit profile. Both the FDA and EMA raised concerns about the high toxicity observed in the pivotal PANORAMA-1 trial and subsequently limited approval of the Farydak + bortezomib + dex combination (Pano-Vd) to the treatment of third-line or later MM patients. Given the associated toxicities and multitude of other therapies available for the treatment of RRMM, Farydak has experienced only limited uptake since its approval in 2015. In November 2021, Secura Bio withdrew its NDA for Farydak. Farydak was approved based on a surrogate endpoint (PFS), and the pivotal trial failed to show an improvement in OS. Secura Bio explained that it was not feasible for the company to complete the required post-approval clinical studies to support the accelerated approval. Farydak continues to be marketed in the EU. 
    Secura Bio 公司的 Farydak(帕比司他)是一种组蛋白去乙酰化酶抑制剂,由于风险收益比较差,其商业潜力有限。食品药品监督管理局和 EMA 均对关键性 PANORAMA-1 试验中观察到的高毒性表示担忧,随后将 Farydak+硼替佐米+地塞米松联合疗法(Pano-Vd)的批准限制用于三线或更晚期的多发性骨髓瘤患者治疗。鉴于相关毒性及 RRMM 治疗领域存在大量其他可用疗法,Farydak 自 2015 年获批以来市场接受度一直较低。2021 年 11 月,Secura Bio 撤回了 Farydak 的新药申请。该药物基于替代终点(无进展生存期)获批,但关键试验未能显示总生存期的改善。Secura Bio 解释称,公司无法完成支持加速审批所需的上市后临床研究。目前 Farydak 仍在欧盟市场销售。

  • Amgen’s second-generation PI Kyprolis (carfilzomib) is approved for the treatment of RRMM as a monotherapy and as part of combinations with dex or with Revlimid and dex. In the UK, Kyprolis + dex for second-line patients is recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Kyprolis remains the favored PI in the RRMM setting as it demonstrated improved safety and efficacy over bortezomib, another PI, in the Phase III ENDEAVOR trial. Kyprolis is expected to see continued growth in this setting following FDA approval of the Kyprolis + Darzalex + dex combination in August 2020. This triplet has also been approved in the EU (December 2020) and Japan (November 2020). In the front-line setting, Kyprolis failed to show superiority over Velcade in the Phase III CLARION study that evaluated Kyprolis or Velcade combined with melphalan and prednisone. Furthermore, at ASCO 2020, an ECOG study (ENDURANCE) comparing Kyprolis and Velcade combined with Revlimid and dex reported that the Kyprolis regimen (KRd) failed to show superiority to the Velcade regimen (VRd). Nevertheless, the KRd regimen will likely continue to see some off-label use in the front-line setting due to KRd and VRd having different toxicity profiles. In ENDURANCE, the KRd arm reported more cardiopulmonary and renal adverse events (16.1% vs. 4.8%), while the VRd arm reported more peripheral neuropathy events (53.4% vs. 24.4%). As such, KRd may be better suited for patients with baseline neuropathy, while VRd may be better suited for patients with renal insufficiency. Kyprolis’s revenues will be threatened by generic versions of carfilzomib, which are expected to enter the EU and Japan markets in Q4 2025 and Q4 2030, respectively. In June 2020, after a challenge from Cipla, a US court upheld several Kyprolis patents, with the latest expiring in December 2027. In June 2021, Breckenridge and its Indian partner Natco Pharma disclosed a settlement allowing launch of a generic carfilzomib on a date “in 2027 or sooner depending on certain occurrences.” 
    安进公司的第二代蛋白酶体抑制剂 Kyprolis(卡非佐米)已获批作为单药治疗或与地塞米松联用、以及与瑞复美和地塞米松联用的组合方案,用于治疗复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤(RRMM)。在英国,国家健康与护理卓越研究院(NICE)推荐将 Kyprolis 联合地塞米松用于二线治疗患者。在 RRMM 治疗领域,Kyprolis 仍是首选的蛋白酶体抑制剂,因为在 III 期 ENDEAVOR 试验中,其安全性和疗效均优于另一种蛋白酶体抑制剂硼替佐米。随着美国食品药品监督管理局于 2020 年 8 月批准 Kyprolis 联合达雷妥尤单抗及地塞米松的三联方案,预计 Kyprolis 在该适应症中将持续增长。该三联方案还获得了欧盟(2020 年 12 月)和日本(2020 年 11 月)的批准。然而在一线治疗中,评估 Kyprolis 或万珂联合美法仑和泼尼松的 III 期 CLARION 研究显示,Kyprolis 未能表现出优于万珂的疗效。此外,在 2020 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO)年会上,ECOG 研究(ENDURANCE)比较了 Kyprolis 和万珂分别联合瑞复美及地塞米松的疗效,结果显示 Kyprolis 方案(KRd)未能超越万珂方案(VRd)。 尽管如此,KRd 方案(卡非佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松)仍可能在一线治疗中继续获得部分超适应症使用,因为 KRd 与 VRd(硼替佐米+来那度胺+地塞米松)具有不同的毒性特征。在 ENDURANCE 研究中,KRd 组报告了更多心肺和肾脏不良事件(16.1% vs. 4.8%),而 VRd 组则报告了更多周围神经病变事件(53.4% vs. 24.4%)。因此,KRd 可能更适合基线存在神经病变的患者,而 VRd 可能更适合肾功能不全的患者。卡非佐米的仿制药预计将分别于 2025 年第四季度和 2030 年第四季度进入欧盟和日本市场,这将威胁 Kyprolis 的销售收入。2020 年 6 月,在 Cipla 提出专利挑战后,美国法院维持了 Kyprolis 的多项专利有效性,其中最晚到期日为 2027 年 12 月。2021 年 6 月,Breckenridge 及其印度合作伙伴 Natco Pharma 披露了一项和解协议,允许"在 2027 年或更早(取决于特定条件)"推出卡非佐米仿制药。

  • Regeneron’s Lynozyfic (linvoseltamab) is a BCMA x CD3 bispecific antibody administered intravenously. At ASCO 2024, Regeneron presented updated data from LINKER-MM1, a pivotal Phase I/II trial. At the recommended Phase II dose, and with a median follow-up of 14 months, Lynozyfic reported an ORR of 71% in 117 fourth-line or later patients. CR/sCR responses were seen in 50% of patients, which is higher than what was reported for Tecvayli (28% with a median follow-up of 7.4 months per its FDA label) and Elrexfio (26% with a median follow-up of 11 months per its FDA label). CRS was reported in 46% of patients and was mostly grade 1, with only 10% of patients reporting grade 2 CRS, and one patient (1%) reporting grade 3 CRS. Grade ≥3 ICANS was reported in 3% of patients, and treatment-related discontinuations were reported in 7% of patients. Finally, infections occurred in 74% of patients, with grade 3/4 infections reported in 36% of patients, while grade 5 infections were reported in 4% of patients. Apart from the increased CR/sCR rate compared to Tecvayli and Elrexfio, another point of differentiation for Lynozyfic is its dosing schedule, which is weekly for weeks 1–14, every two weeks for weeks 16–23, and then for week 24+ the dose was reduced to every four weeks if the patients had a ≥VGPR. Finally, Lynozyfic requires shorter hospitalizations during initial step-up dosing (two 24-hour hospitalizations) compared to Elrexfio (one 48-hour hospitalization and one 24-hour hospitalization) and Tecvayli (three 48-hour hospitalizations). Lynozyfic received conditional approval in the EU in April 2025 for fourth-line or later MM and is under regulatory review in the US with a decision expected by July 2025. In September 2023, Regeneron initiated LINKER-MM3, a Phase III trial comparing Lynozyfic monotherapy to Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex. LINKER-MM3’s EPCD is April 2033, and the trial is enrolling second-line or later patients. After reporting positive results in a Phase I trial for Lynozyfic combined with Kyprolis (ORR and CR rates of 90% and 76%, respectively), Regeneron has indicated that it will initiate a randomized Phase III trial for this combination. This combination could help differentiate Lynozyfic from the other anti-BCMA bispecifics which, in the relapsed/refractory setting, are being evaluated either as monotherapy or in combination with Darzalex. Lynozyfic combined with Kyprolis may be a good combination for patients who are refractory to Darzalex. 
    再生元的 Lynozyfic(linvoseltamab)是一种静脉注射的 BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体。在 2024 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会上,再生元公布了关键性 I/II 期试验 LINKER-MM1 的最新数据。在推荐 II 期剂量下,中位随访 14 个月时,Lynozyfic 在 117 例四线或更晚期患者中报告的总缓解率为 71%。50%的患者达到完全缓解/严格完全缓解,这一数据高于 Tecvayli(根据其食品药品监督管理局标签,中位随访 7.4 个月时为 28%)和 Elrexfio(根据其食品药品监督管理局标签,中位随访 11 个月时为 26%)的报告值。46%的患者报告出现细胞因子释放综合征,多为 1 级,仅 10%患者报告 2 级 CRS,1 例患者(1%)报告 3 级 CRS。≥3 级免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征发生率为 3%,7%的患者因治疗相关不良反应停药。最终,74%的患者发生感染,其中 3/4 级感染占 36%,5 级感染占 4%。 与 Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 相比,Lynozyfic 除了提高 CR/sCR 率外,另一差异化特点在于其给药方案:第 1-14 周每周给药一次,第 16-23 周每两周给药一次,若患者达到≥VGPR 则从第 24 周起调整为每四周给药一次。此外,Lynozyfic 在初始阶梯给药阶段所需的住院时间更短(两次 24 小时住院),优于 Elrexfio(一次 48 小时加一次 24 小时住院)和 Tecvayli(三次 48 小时住院)。该药物于 2025 年 4 月在欧盟获得有条件批准用于四线及以上多发性骨髓瘤治疗,目前正在美国接受监管审查,预计 2025 年 7 月前做出决定。2023 年 9 月,Regeneron 启动了 LINKER-MM3 III 期临床试验,将 Lynozyfic 单药与 Empliciti+Pomalyst+地塞米松方案进行对比。该试验主要终点期为 2033 年 4 月,入组对象为二线及以上患者。在报告 Lynozyfic 联合 Kyprolis 的 I 期试验积极结果(ORR 和 CR 率分别达 90%和 76%)后,Regeneron 表示将启动该联合疗法的随机 III 期试验。 这种组合方案有助于将 Lynozyfic 与其他抗 BCMA 双特异性抗体区分开来——在复发/难治性治疗场景中,其他抗体目前正作为单药疗法或与 Darzalex 联用进行评估。对于 Darzalex 难治性患者而言,Lynozyfic 与 Kyprolis 联用可能是一种理想的组合方案。

  • Takeda’s Ninlaro (ixazomib) was the first oral PI approved by the FDA and, in combination with Revlimid and dex, is part of an all-oral regimen approved for the treatment of patients with relapsed MM with one prior line of therapy. While Ninlaro offers convenient administration and a relatively favorable safety profile, it has not been able to break through to front-line therapy after the Phase III TOURMALINE-MM2 trial investigating Ninlaro as an induction therapy failed to meet the PFS primary endpoint. Furthermore, while Ninlaro reported positive PFS results from two Phase III trials that compared the drug to placebo as single-agent maintenance therapy for newly diagnosed patients treated (TOURMALINE-MM3) or not treated (TOURMALINE-MM4) with stem cell transplantation, interim OS data presented at ASH 2021 reported slightly more deaths in the Ninlaro arm (HR 1.008 for MM3; HR 1.136 for MM4). In April 2022, the FDA modified Ninlaro’s label to note that it is not recommended for use in the maintenance setting or for newly diagnosed patients in combination with Revlimid and dex. Ninlaro has fared better in Japan, where it received supplemental approval as maintenance therapy for patients who have or have not undergone ASCT (in May 2020 and July 2021, respectively).  
    武田制药的 Ninlaro(伊沙佐米)是首个获得美国食品药品监督管理局批准的口服蛋白酶体抑制剂,与来那度胺及地塞米松联用构成全口服方案,获批用于接受过一线治疗的复发多发性骨髓瘤患者。尽管 Ninlaro 具备给药便利性和相对良好的安全性特征,但作为诱导疗法的 III 期 TOURMALINE-MM2 试验未能达到无进展生存期主要终点,使其未能突破至一线治疗领域。此外,虽然 Ninlaro 在两项 III 期试验中作为单药维持疗法(分别针对接受干细胞移植的 TOURMALINE-MM3 试验和未接受移植的 TOURMALINE-MM4 试验)相比安慰剂显示出无进展生存期获益,但 2021 年美国血液学会年会公布的中期总生存数据显示 Ninlaro 组死亡人数略高(MM3 试验风险比 1.008;MM4 试验风险比 1.136)。2022 年 4 月,美国食品药品监督管理局修订了 Ninlaro 的说明书,注明不推荐将其用于维持治疗或与来那度胺及地塞米松联用治疗新确诊患者。 在日本,Ninlaro 的表现更为出色,先后于 2020 年 5 月和 2021 年 7 月获得补充批准,用于接受或未接受自体干细胞移植(ASCT)患者的维持治疗。

  • Oncopeptides’ Pepaxto (melphalan-flufenamide) is a dipeptide consisting of the chemotherapy drug melphalan conjugated to phenylalanine. Pepaxto + dex is approved in the EU (since August 2022) for triple-refractory MM patients who have received at least three prior therapies. In the EU4 countries, Pepaxto is commercially available in Spain, Germany and Italy but received a decision from the French National Authority for Health advising against reimbursement in France. After the company failed to provide an evidence submission, the UK’s NICE announced in April 2024 that it was unable to make a recommendation. In Q4 2024, Oncopeptides announced that it had agreed with Japanese authorities on a regulatory path forward for Pepaxto approval and that they were in advanced negotiations for a potential commercial partner for Japan. While Pepaxto received accelerated approval in the US in February 2021, in December 2022 the FDA requested withdrawal of the marketing authorization following mixed results from the confirmatory Phase III OCEAN study. An appeal from Oncopeptides was rejected by the FDA, and in February 2024 the Pepaxto NDA was ordered to be withdrawn. HORIZON, a pivotal Phase II trial, reported an ORR of 24%, a duration of response of 4.2 months, and OS of 9.1 months, which compare well to Xpovio (25% ORR; 3.8-month duration of response; 8.0-month OS). OCEAN compared Pepaxto + dex to Pomalyst + dex in third-line or later patients refractory to Revlimid. While the trial met its primary endpoint of PFS, OCEAN found a concerning safety signal in the form of reduced OS for a subgroup of patients previously treated with an ASCT, and so the FDA wanted Pepaxto used only in patients without a previous ASCT. However, such patients constituted only 30% of patients enrolled in HORIZON (45 patients in the trial, 30 patients in the label population), which is too few to establish efficacy. While OCEAN showed a substantial improvement in PFS for the subgroup of patients without a previous ASCT, this was seen by the FDA as hypothesis-generating, and a confirmatory Phase III trial, preceded by a dose-finding trial, was required. The EU approval specifies that for patients with a prior transplant, the time to progression should be at least three years after the transplant. 
    Oncopeptides 公司的 Pepaxto(美法仑-氟芬酰胺)是一种由化疗药物美法仑与苯丙氨酸结合形成的二肽。Pepaxto 联合地塞米松方案于 2022 年 8 月在欧盟获批,适用于接受过至少三种前期治疗的三线难治性多发性骨髓瘤患者。在欧盟四国中,Pepaxto 已在西班牙、德国和意大利上市销售,但法国国家卫生管理局作出了不予报销的负面意见。由于企业未能提交补充证据,英国国家健康与临床卓越研究院于 2024 年 4 月宣布无法给出推荐意见。2024 年第四季度,Oncopeptides 宣布已与日本监管机构就 Pepaxto 的批准路径达成一致,并正就日本市场潜在商业合作伙伴进行深入谈判。尽管 Pepaxto 于 2021 年 2 月获得美国加速批准,但 2022 年 12 月美国食品药品监督管理局基于 III 期 OCEAN 验证性研究的混合结果要求撤销上市许可。Oncopeptides 的上诉请求被驳回后,2024 年 2 月该药物新药申请被正式要求撤回。 关键性 II 期试验 HORIZON 报告显示,客观缓解率(ORR)达 24%,中位缓解持续时间为 4.2 个月,总生存期(OS)为 9.1 个月,这些数据优于 Xpovio(ORR 25%;中位缓解持续时间 3.8 个月;OS 8.0 个月)。OCEAN 试验将 Pepaxto 联合地塞米松与泊马度胺联合地塞米松进行对比,用于对来那度胺耐药的≥三线治疗患者。虽然该试验达到了无进展生存期(PFS)的主要终点,但 OCEAN 发现曾接受自体干细胞移植(ASCT)的患者亚组存在总生存期缩短的安全隐患,因此食品药品监督管理局要求 Pepaxto 仅用于未接受过 ASCT 的患者。然而这类患者在 HORIZON 试验中仅占入组人数的 30%(试验组 45 例患者,标签人群 30 例),样本量过小难以证实疗效。尽管 OCEAN 试验显示未接受 ASCT 的患者亚组 PFS 显著改善,但监管部门认为这仅能作为假设生成依据,仍需先开展剂量探索试验,再进行确证性 III 期试验。欧盟批准文件中特别注明,对于曾接受移植的患者,其疾病进展时间应距移植至少三年。

  • The thalidomide analog Pomalyst (pomalidomide) adds a treatment option to Bristol Myers Squibb’s MM portfolio and forms the backbone of several different triplet regimens for RRMM. Pomalyst gained US and EU approval in 2013 for third-line or later patients previously treated with Revlimid and bortezomib. Approval in Japan was granted in 2015. Bristol Myers Squibb also markets the successful thalidomide analog Revlimid, and has positioned Pomalyst as a subsequent therapy option. The Phase III OPTIMISMM trial tested the combination of Pomalyst + Velcade + low-dose dex at an earlier line (second line or later) in patients previously treated with Revlimid, and supported label expansions in 2019 in the EU and Japan. In the US, approval for the second-line or later setting in combination with SC Darzalex + dex is noted in the FDA label for SC Darzalex. The first pomalidomide generics were launched in the EU in August 2024 and following a settlement with Dr. Reddy’s, are expected to launch in the US Q1 2026. Pomalyst has regulatory exclusivity until June 2026 in Japan. In January 2025, the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced that Pomalyst was one of 15 additional drugs selected for Medicare Part D price negotiations. The negotiated price is expected to take effect in 2027.  
    沙利度胺类似物泊马度胺(Pomalyst)为百时美施贵宝的多发性骨髓瘤治疗组合增添了新选择,并成为多种复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤三联疗法的核心用药。该药物于 2013 年获得美国食品药品监督管理局和欧盟批准,用于经来那度胺和硼替佐米治疗失败后的三线及以上患者,日本于 2015 年批准其上市。百时美施贵宝旗下另一款成功的沙利度胺类似物来那度胺已占据市场主导地位,泊马度胺则被定位为后续治疗选择。III 期 OPTIMISMM 试验验证了泊马度胺联合硼替佐米及小剂量地塞米松在更早治疗线数(二线及以上)对来那度胺经治患者的疗效,推动该方案于 2019 年在欧盟和日本获批适应症扩展。美国方面,皮下注射达雷妥尤单抗联合泊马度胺及地塞米松的二线治疗方案已载入达雷妥尤单抗皮下制剂说明书。首批泊马度胺仿制药于 2024 年 8 月在欧盟上市,根据与 Reddy 博士实验室达成的和解协议,预计将于 2026 年第一季度登陆美国市场。泊马度胺在日本的市场独占权将持续至 2026 年 6 月。 2025 年 1 月,美国卫生与公众服务部(HHS)宣布将泊马度胺(Pomalyst)列入新增的 15 种医保 D 部分价格谈判药品名单。谈判价格预计将于 2027 年生效。

  • Thalidomide and its analogs are immunomodulators activating T cells and natural killer cells and inhibiting pro-inflammatory cytokines. These agents bind to the E3 ubiquitin ligase complex and modulate its substrate specificity. In lymphocytes, this modulation leads to degradation of Ikaros and Aiolos, two transcription factors that play an important role in MM. Bristol Myers Squibb's Revlimid (lenalidomide), a thalidomide analog, is a key therapy across patient segments, both as a monotherapy and as a backbone for combination regimens, and has broad approvals across all markets. In the US, Revlimid lost market exclusivity in March 2022; however, Bristol Myers Squibb has several settlements with generics companies that will allow Revlimid to retain a portion of its market share until volume limitations expire in January 2026. In the US, the list price for lenalidomide generics are currently at 80% of branded Revlimid for ten manufacturers while a manufacturer that started selling in 2025 has a list price that is at 53% of branded Revlimid. The volume limitations are thought to be set at a mid-single-digit percentage of total lenalidomide capsules sold (determined monthly) for each manufacturer. The volume limitations are expected to increase gradually every 12 months. In the case of Natco, the first company to launch generic lenalidomide, the volume limit reaches 33% by March 2025 while in the case of Alvogen, the volume limit is capped at a single digit percentage. Bristol Myers Squibb has settled patent litigation with several manufacturers and there are currently 11 manufacturers supplying generic lenalidomide in the US. Once the volume limitations expire, we expect there to be greater competition among the generic manufacturers. Lenalidomide generics were launched in the EU in early 2022 and entered the Japanese market in 2023. 
    沙利度胺及其类似物是免疫调节剂,可激活 T 细胞和自然杀伤细胞并抑制促炎细胞因子。这些药物与 E3 泛素连接酶复合体结合并调节其底物特异性。在淋巴细胞中,这种调节会导致 Ikaros 和 Aiolos 两种转录因子的降解,这两种因子在多发性骨髓瘤中起重要作用。百时美施贵宝的来那度胺(Revlimid)作为沙利度胺类似物,既是各患者群体的关键单药疗法,也是联合方案的基石用药,已在全球所有市场获得广泛批准。在美国,Revlimid 于 2022 年 3 月失去市场独占权;但百时美施贵宝与多家仿制药企业达成协议,在 2026 年 1 月销量限制到期前,Revlimid 仍可保留部分市场份额。目前美国市场上,十家仿制药企业的来那度胺定价为品牌药 Revlimid 的 80%,而 2025 年开始销售的一家制造商定价仅为品牌药的 53%。 据认为,各生产商的销量限制将设定为每月销售来那度胺胶囊总量的个位数百分比(按月计算)。预计销量限制将每 12 个月逐步提高。对于首家推出仿制来那度胺的 Natco 公司,到 2025 年 3 月其销量上限将达到 33%,而 Alvogen 公司的销量上限则维持在个位数百分比。百时美施贵宝已与多家生产商达成专利诉讼和解,目前美国有 11 家生产商供应仿制来那度胺。一旦销量限制到期,我们预计仿制药生产商之间的竞争将加剧。仿制来那度胺于 2022 年初在欧盟上市,并于 2023 年进入日本市场。

  • Sanofi’s Sarclisa (isatuximab) became the second CD38-directed mAb to enter the market when the combination of Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex received approval in the US in March 2020 for the treatment of RRMM patients who have received at least two prior therapies. European approval followed shortly after in June 2020. In March 2021 and April 2021, Sarclisa + Kyprolis + dex was approved by the FDA and EMA, respectively, as a second-line or later treatment for RRMM patients, based on the IKEMA trial. Sarclisa will compete with blockbuster Darzalex in these markets, though its second-to-market status and lack of a currently approved SC formulation will be difficult to overcome. While Sanofi declined to submit for NICE approval in the UK for this combination, it has reported PFS data from IKEMA. The Sarclisa-Kd combination reported a median PFS of 36 months compared to 19 months for Kd (HR 0.58). For comparison, in the CANDOR trial, Dara-Kd reported an HR of 0.63. The Phase III IMROZ study compared Sarclisa-VRd to VRd for the treatment of newly diagnosed MM patients not eligible for transplant. Following four 42-day cycles of Sarclisa-VRd, Sarclisa-Rd was given as maintenance therapy until disease progression. At ASCO 2024, Sanofi announced that IMROZ had met its primary endpoint of PFS (median PFS not reached vs. 54 months; HR 0.596). Based on current trends, Sanofi projects that the median PFS for the Sarclisa arm may reach approximately 90 months, which would surpass the median PFS of 62 months reported for Dara-Rd in the MAIA trial. The IMROZ regimen is approved in the US (September 2024), EU (January 2025), and Japan (February 2025). While the US and EU approvals specified approval for newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients, the Japanese approval was for a broader population of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. FDA approval of a Darzalex quadruplet in the transplant-ineligible setting (based on CEPHEUS) is expected in mid-2025 marking one of the few settings were Sarclisa was approved ahead of Darzalex. Sarclisa is also being evaluated for newly diagnosed MM patients eligible for transplant. A German study (GMMG HD7) is examining the Sarclisa-VRd quadruplet (EPCD of May 2025), and at ASH 2021, Sanofi presented results from Part I of GMMG HD7, which met its primary endpoint of an improved MRD negativity rate for the Sarclisa quadruplet compared to the VRd triplet after induction therapy. Patients in the trial then underwent SCT and were randomized a second time to receive Revlimid maintenance therapy with or without Sarclisa for up to three years. At ASH 2024, Sanofi announced that the Sarclisa quadruplet arm had shown improved PFS from the first randomization regardless of the maintenance regimen (HR 0.70) with three-year PFS rate of 83% and 75% for the Sarclisa-VRd and VRd arms, respectively. A regulatory submission to EU authorities to support approval of Sarclisa-VRd as induction therapy for transplant eligible patients was submitted in January 2025. A submission to the FDA is expected in H1 2025 meaning that the Sarclisa quadruplet is positioned to be approved in the transplant-eligible setting one to two years after Dara-VRd, which was approved in the US and EU in July and October 2024, respectively. Sanofi has not provided a timeline for regulatory submissions for the maintenance setting. However, the trial has an estimated PCD of May 2025 so we are expecting PFS data after second randomization (a co-primary endpoint) this year. Approval for the maintenance setting would give Sarclisa an advantage over Darzalex which lacks suitable data for approval in this setting. IRAKLIA is a Phase III non-inferiority trial comparing a fixed dose subcutaneous formulation of Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex to a weight-based dose of IV Sarclisa + Pomalyst + dex in RRMM. In January 2025, Sanofi announced that IRAKLIA met its co-primary endpoints of ORR and observed Sarclisa plasma concentration prior to receiving the first dose of cycle 6. Regulatory submissions to US and EU authorities supported by IRAKLIA are expected in H1 2025. Interestingly, the subcutaneous formulation of Sarclisa uses a hands-free wearable injector. A push button starts the injection and the button pops up when injection is complete retracting the needle and locking out the device. A presentation at ASCO 2025 detailed that the median infusion time was 13 minutes with 98% of infusion completed in under 20 minutes. Advantages of the wearable injector are that a nurse does not need to stay to push the injection through and with a low rate of infusion reactions (1.5% for the subcutaneous formulation compared to 25% for the IV formulation), there is the potential for at home administration. Finally, the Phase III ITHACA trial is comparing Sarclisa-Rd to Rd in patients with high-risk smoldering MM; the trial has an EPCD of October 2030. 
    赛诺菲的 Sarclisa(isatuximab)成为第二个上市的 CD38 靶向单抗,其与泊马度胺+地塞米松的联合疗法于 2020 年 3 月在美国获批,用于治疗既往接受过至少两种疗法的 RRMM 患者。欧洲紧随其后于 2020 年 6 月批准该方案。基于 IKEMA 试验数据,2021 年 3 月和 4 月,Sarclisa 联合卡非佐米+地塞米松方案分别获得 FDA 和 EMA 批准作为 RRMM 患者的二线及以上治疗选择。Sarclisa 将在这些市场与重磅药物 Darzalex 展开竞争,但其作为后来者且目前缺乏获批的皮下制剂配方将面临较大挑战。虽然赛诺菲未向英国 NICE 提交该联合疗法的审批申请,但已公布了 IKEMA 试验的无进展生存期数据:Sarclisa-Kd 组中位 PFS 达 36 个月,显著优于 Kd 组的 19 个月(风险比 0.58)。作为对照,CANDOR 试验中 Dara-Kd 方案的风险比为 0.63。针对不适合移植的新诊断多发性骨髓瘤患者,III 期 IMROZ 研究正在评估 Sarclisa-VRd 方案对比 VRd 方案的疗效。 在完成四个 42 天的 Sarclisa-VRd 周期治疗后,采用 Sarclisa-Rd 作为维持疗法直至疾病进展。2024 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会上,赛诺菲宣布 IMROZ 研究已达到无进展生存期(PFS)主要终点(中位 PFS 未达到 vs. 54 个月;风险比 0.596)。根据当前趋势预测,Sarclisa 组的中位 PFS 可能达到约 90 个月,这将超越 MAIA 试验中 Dara-Rd 组报告的 62 个月中位 PFS。IMROZ 方案已在美国(2024 年 9 月)、欧盟(2025 年 1 月)和日本(2025 年 2 月)获批。虽然美欧批准明确限定用于不适合移植的新诊断患者,日本批准则覆盖更广泛的新诊断多发性骨髓瘤人群。食品药品监督管理局预计将于 2025 年年中批准 Darzalex 四联疗法用于不适合移植患者(基于 CEPHEUS 研究),这将成为少数 Sarclisa 先于 Darzalex 获批的适应症之一。Sarclisa 目前也正在针对适合移植的新诊断多发性骨髓瘤患者进行评估。 德国 GMMG HD7 研究正在评估 Sarclisa-VRd 四联疗法(2025 年 5 月 EPCD),赛诺菲在 2021 年美国血液学会年会上公布了该研究第一部分结果:与 VRd 三联疗法相比,Sarclisa 四联疗法在诱导治疗后达到了改善微小残留病阴性率的主要终点。随后试验患者接受干细胞移植,并二次随机分组接受来那度胺维持治疗(联合或不联合 Sarclisa),持续最长三年。2024 年 ASH 年会上,赛诺菲宣布无论采用何种维持方案,Sarclisa 四联疗法组从首次随机化起均显示无进展生存期改善(风险比 0.70),Sarclisa-VRd 组和 VRd 组的三年无进展生存率分别为 83%和 75%。2025 年 1 月已向欧盟监管机构提交申请,支持将 Sarclisa-VRd 批准为适合移植患者的诱导治疗方案。预计 2025 年上半年将向美国食品药品监督管理局提交申请,这意味着 Sarclisa 四联疗法有望在达雷妥尤单抗-VRd(2024 年 7 月和 10 月分别在美国和欧盟获批)之后 1-2 年内获批用于适合移植的患者群体。 赛诺菲尚未提供维持治疗适应症的监管申请时间表。不过该试验预计将在 2025 年 5 月达到主要完成日期(PCD),因此我们预计今年能获得第二次随机分组后的无进展生存期(PFS)数据(共同主要终点)。维持治疗适应症的获批将使 Sarclisa 相比 Darzalex 更具优势,后者缺乏该适应症获批所需的充分数据。 IRAKLIA 是一项 III 期非劣效性试验,比较了固定剂量皮下注射剂型 Sarclisa 联合泊马度胺/地塞米松与基于体重的静脉注射 Sarclisa 联合方案在复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤(RRMM)中的疗效。2025 年 1 月,赛诺菲宣布 IRAKLIA 达到了客观缓解率(ORR)和第六周期首次给药前观察到的 Sarclisa 血浆浓度这两个共同主要终点。基于该试验结果向美国和欧盟监管机构提交的申请预计将在 2025 年上半年进行。 值得注意的是,Sarclisa 皮下制剂采用了免手持穿戴式注射器。通过按压按钮启动注射,注射完成后按钮会自动弹起,同时收回针头并锁定装置。2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO)上公布的数据显示,其中位输注时间为 13 分钟,98%的输注可在 20 分钟内完成。 穿戴式注射器的优势在于无需护士持续操作推注,且输液反应率较低(皮下制剂为 1.5%,而静脉制剂高达 25%),这使得居家给药成为可能。最后,III 期 ITHACA 试验正在将 Sarclisa-Rd 方案与 Rd 方案用于高风险冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤患者的对比研究,该试验预计主要终点完成日期为 2030 年 10 月。

  • Despite the restrictions imposed on the prescription of Thalomid (thalidomide) due to its toxicity profile, it remains popular in more cost-conservative markets. The drug’s sales have been gradually decreasing since 2008, coinciding with the approval of Velcade and continued growth of Bristol Myers Squibb’s more recent thalidomide analogs Revlimid and Pomalyst. Moreover, Thalomid’s position in the MM market was further challenged by the launch of generics in the EU in 2022. 
    尽管沙利度胺(Thalomid)因其毒性特征受到处方限制,但在成本敏感型市场仍保持一定需求。该药物销售额自 2008 年起持续下滑,恰逢万珂(Velcade)获批上市,以及百时美施贵宝新一代沙利度胺类似物来那度胺(Revlimid)和泊马度胺(Pomalyst)的持续增长。此外,2022 年欧盟市场仿制药的上市进一步冲击了沙利度胺在多发性骨髓瘤治疗领域的市场地位。

  • Johnson & Johnson’s Talvey (talquetamab) is a bispecific antibody administered subcutaneously targeting CD3 and a novel target, GPRC5D. Talvey has received PRIME designation from the EMA and breakthrough therapy designation from the FDA. In August 2023, Talvey received conditional approval in the US and EU for MM patients previously treated with a PI, an IMiD, and an anti-CD38 antibody. The US approval was for fifth-line or later patients, while the EU approval was for fourth-line or later patients. Talvey is currently under regulatory review in Japan for RRMM. Due to Talvey’s oral toxicity (see below) it will likely be used following anti-BCMA therapy although it is also seeing some use as bridging therapy prior to CAR-T administration. Both a weekly dose of 0.4mg/kg and an every-other-week dose of 0.8mg/kg were approved. The step-up dosing schedule requires three doses (on days one, four, and seven) prior to starting weekly dosing, and four doses (on days one, four, seven, and 10) prior to starting every-other-week dosing. Talvey has a black box warning for CRS and neurological toxicity and is only available through a REMS program. Due to this toxicity risk, patients should be hospitalized for 48 hours after administration of each dose in the step-up dosing schedule. The FDA label includes pivotal data from MonumenTAL-1, a Phase I/II trial enrolling fourth-line or later patients. The weekly dosing regimen reported a 73% ORR and a 35% ≥CR rate (n=100), while the every-other-week dosing regimen reported a 74% ORR and a 33% ≥CR rate (n=87). With a median follow-up of 13.8 months and 5.9 months, respectively, the median duration of response was 9.5 months and not reached, respectively. Updated data presented at ASCO 2025 reported that with a median follow-up of 38 months and 31 months, respectively, the median duration of response was 9.5 months (n=143) and 17.5 months (n=154), respectively, suggesting that the every-other week regimen has better durability. The every-other week regimen also showed improved PFS (7.5 months vs 11.2 months, respectively). According to the FDA label, CRS occurred in 76% of patients and was mostly grade 1/2. Neurological adverse events occurred in 55% of patients with grade 3/4 events occurring in 6% of patients. Talvey is associated with GPRC5D-related oral toxicity including dysgeusia (altered sense of taste). Oral toxicity was reported in 80% of patients with grade 3 events occurring in 2.1% of patients. The oral toxicity can be difficult to manage and did not resolve in 65% of patients. A confirmatory Phase III trial, MonumenTAL-3, is evaluating Talvey + Darzalex +/- Pomalyst. The comparator is Darzalex + Pomalyst + dex, and the trial is enrolling second-line or later patients. MonumenTAL-3 has an EPCD of February 2026. Another Phase III trial, MonumentTAL-6, is enrolling relapsed/refractory patients who were treated with an anti-CD38 antibody in the first line, and is evaluating Talvey combined with another bispecific antibody, Tecvayli. The comparator is Elo-Pd or Pd, and the trial has an EPCD of April 2026. A Phase II trial evaluating this combination, RedirecTT-1, has reported strong activity in patients with extramedullary disease. Finally, MajesTEC-7 is evaluating Talvey + Darzalex + lenalidomide. MajesTEC-7 is enrolling newly diagnosed patients ineligible for transplant, and has an EPCD of April 2031. The comparator is Dara-Rd. 
    强生公司的 Talvey(talquetamab)是一种靶向 CD3 和新型靶点 GPRC5D 的双特异性抗体,采用皮下给药方式。该药物已获得欧洲药品管理局(EMA)的 PRIME 资格认定以及美国食品药品监督管理局的突破性疗法认定。2023 年 8 月,Talvey 在美国和欧盟获得有条件批准,用于既往接受过蛋白酶体抑制剂(PI)、免疫调节药物(IMiD)和抗 CD38 抗体治疗的多发性骨髓瘤患者。美国批准其用于五线或后线治疗,而欧盟批准用于四线或后线治疗。目前 Talvey 正在日本接受针对复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤(RRMM)的监管审查。由于 Talvey 存在口腔毒性(见下文),尽管也观察到其作为 CAR-T 治疗前桥接疗法的部分应用,但更可能用于抗 BCMA 疗法之后。每周 0.4 毫克/千克和隔周 0.8 毫克/千克两种剂量方案均获批准。阶梯式给药方案要求在开始每周给药前进行三次剂量递增(第 1、4、7 天),在开始隔周给药前进行四次剂量递增(第 1、4、7、10 天)。Talvey 附有关于细胞因子释放综合征(CRS)和神经毒性的黑框警告,且仅通过风险评估与减灾策略(REMS)计划提供。 鉴于这种毒性风险,患者应在递增给药方案中每剂给药后住院观察 48 小时。食品药品监督管理局标签包含了来自 MonumenTAL-1 研究的关键数据,这项 I/II 期试验入组了四线及以上治疗患者。每周给药方案报告的总缓解率为 73%、完全缓解率≥35%(n=100),而隔周给药方案的总缓解率为 74%、完全缓解率≥33%(n=87)。中位随访时间分别为 13.8 个月和 5.9 个月时,两组的中位缓解持续时间分别为 9.5 个月和未达到。2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会公布的最新数据显示,中位随访 38 个月和 31 个月时,两组的中位缓解持续时间分别为 9.5 个月(n=143)和 17.5 个月(n=154),表明隔周给药方案具有更持久的疗效。隔周给药方案还显示出更优的无进展生存期(分别为 7.5 个月 vs 11.2 个月)。根据食品药品监督管理局标签,76%的患者出现细胞因子释放综合征,且多为 1/2 级。55%的患者出现神经系统不良事件,其中 3/4 级事件发生率为 6%。 Talvey 与 GPRC5D 相关口腔毒性相关,包括味觉障碍(味觉改变)。80%的患者报告了口腔毒性,其中 2.1%的患者发生 3 级事件。口腔毒性可能难以控制,且 65%的患者症状未缓解。确证性 III 期试验 MonumenTAL-3 正在评估 Talvey 联合 Darzalex 加减 Pomalyst 的疗效,对照组为 Darzalex+Pomalyst+地塞米松方案,该试验招募二线及以上患者,预计主要终点完成日期(EPCD)为 2026 年 2 月。另一项 III 期试验 MonumentTAL-6 针对一线接受过抗 CD38 抗体治疗的复发/难治性患者,评估 Talvey 与另一种双特异性抗体 Tecvayli 的联合疗法,对照组采用 Elo-Pd 或 Pd 方案,EPCD 为 2026 年 4 月。评估该联合疗法的 II 期试验 RedirecTT-1 已报告在髓外病变患者中显示出强劲活性。最后,MajesTEC-7 研究正在评估 Talvey+Darzalex+来那度胺方案,针对不适合移植的新诊断患者,对照组采用 Dara-Rd 方案,EPCD 为 2031 年 4 月。

  • Johnson & Johnson’s Tecvayli (teclistamab) is a BCMA x CD3 bispecific antibody administered subcutaneously. It is the first bispecific antibody approved for MM, with approvals in the US (fifth-line or later MM), EU (fourth-line or later MM) and Japan (RRMM not amenable to standard treatment) supported by MajesTEC-1, a Phase I/II trial. Tecvayli has PRIME designation from the EMA and breakthrough therapy designation from the FDA. Both the US and EU labels specify patients previously treated with an IMiD, a PI, and an anti-CD38 antibody. The FDA label has a black box warning for CRS and neurotoxicity, and in the US, prescribers, pharmacies, and healthcare settings must be certified through a REMS program. Due to this toxicity risk, patients should be hospitalized for 48 hours after all three step-up doses, which are given on days one, four, and seven. In terms of efficacy, the FDA label reports a 62% ORR and a 28% ≥CR rate, which are similar to rates reported for Abecma (72% ORR and 28% sCR), but lower than what was reported for Carvykti (98% ORR and 78% sCR). While Tecvayli does not deliver the same efficacy as Carvykti, it does offer the convenience of an off-the-shelf product delivered subcutaneously and which has the potential for combinations at earlier lines of therapy. At ASCO 2024, Tecvayli reported a 46% ≥CR rate after extended follow-up, indicating that responses deepen with time. Median duration of response and median PFS were 24 months and 11.4 months, respectively. In terms of safety, the FDA label reports high rates of grade 3/4 neutropenia (56%) and infections (35%) with Tecvayli, while CRS was seen in 72% of patients and was almost exclusively grade 1/2; 97% of events were confined to step-up doses and cycle 1. The rate of grade 5 infection was 4% and the overall incidence of neurotoxicity events was 57%, with grade 3 or 4 neurotoxicity occurring in 2.4% of patients. ICANS occurred in 6% of patients. Overall, Tecvayli is more tolerable than CAR-T therapy, with both Abecma and Carvykti reporting higher rates of CRS and neurotoxicity, especially grade ≥3 events. However, the high rate of infections remains a concern with Tecvayli, and its EMA approval in August 2023, as well as an FDA supplementary approval in February 2024, include a reduced dosing schedule of every two weeks for patients who have achieved a ≥CR for six months or longer, which is expected to lower the high rate of grade ≥3 infections.  
    强生公司的 Tecvayli(teclistamab)是一种 BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体,采用皮下给药方式。作为首个获批用于多发性骨髓瘤的双抗药物,其在美国(五线或后线治疗)、欧盟(四线或后线治疗)和日本(不适合标准治疗的复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤)的上市许可均基于 I/II 期 MajesTEC-1 临床试验数据。该药物获得了欧洲药品管理局的 PRIME 优先药物资格以及美国食品药品监督管理局的突破性疗法认定。美欧两地说明书均明确要求患者既往接受过免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂和抗 CD38 抗体治疗。FDA 说明书包含关于细胞因子释放综合征和神经毒性的黑框警告,在美国处方机构、药房及医疗机构需通过 REMS 项目认证。鉴于毒性风险,患者在完成第 1、4、7 天三次阶梯剂量注射后需住院观察 48 小时。疗效方面,FDA 说明书显示总体缓解率为 62%、完全缓解率 28%,与 Abecma(72%ORR,28%sCR)相近,但低于 Carvykti(98%ORR,78%sCR)报告数据。 虽然 Tecvayli 的疗效不及 Carvykti,但它具备现成制剂、皮下给药的优势,并有望用于更早治疗阶段的联合疗法。在 2024 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会上,Tecvayli 的长期随访数据显示其完全缓解率(≥CR)达 46%,表明疗效随时间推移而增强。中位缓解持续时间和中位无进展生存期分别为 24 个月和 11.4 个月。安全性方面,食品药品监督管理局标签显示 Tecvayli 导致 3/4 级中性粒细胞减少症(56%)和感染(35%)发生率较高,72%患者出现细胞因子释放综合征且基本为 1/2 级;97%不良事件仅发生于阶梯递增给药阶段和首个周期。5 级感染发生率为 4%,神经毒性事件总发生率为 57%,其中 3/4 级神经毒性见于 2.4%患者。6%患者出现免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征。总体而言,Tecvayli 比 CAR-T 疗法耐受性更佳——Abecma 和 Carvykti 报告的细胞因子释放综合征与神经毒性发生率更高,尤其是≥3 级事件。 然而,Tecvayli 的高感染率仍令人担忧。该药物于 2023 年 8 月获得欧洲药品管理局批准,并于 2024 年 2 月获得美国食品药品监督管理局的补充批准,针对达到≥完全缓解(CR)状态达六个月或更长时间的患者,将给药方案调整为每两周一次,此举有望降低≥3 级感染的高发生率。

  • The Phase III MajesTEC-3 trial compares Tecvayli + Darzalex versus a Darzalex triplet with dex and either Pomalyst or bortezomib. MajesTEC-3 is enrolling second- to fourth-line patients and has an EPCD of August 2025. Another Phase III trial in the same setting, MajesTEC-9, is comparing Tecvayli monotherapy to a Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex triplet or a Kyprolis + dex doublet, and has an EPCD of February 2026. While MajesTEC-3 is enrolling patients previously treated with lenalidomide and a PI, MajesTEC-9 is enrolling patients previously treated with lenalidomide and an anti-CD38 antibody. Another Phase III trial, MonumentTAL-6, is enrolling relapsed/refractory patients who were treated with an anti-CD38 antibody in the first line, and is evaluating Tecvayli + Talvey. The comparator is Elo-Pd or Pd, and the trial has an EPCD of April 2026. MajesTEC-7 is enrolling newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients and has an EPCD of April 2031. MajesTEC-7 is an add-on trial comparing Tecvayli + Darzalex + lenalidomide to Darzalex + lenalidomide + dex. Finally, MajesTEC-4 is a European Myeloma Network-sponsored study comparing Tecvayli + lenalidomide versus lenalidomide alone as maintenance therapy following ASCT. The EPCD for MajesTEC-4 is April 2028. 
    三期 MajesTEC-3 试验将 Tecvayli 联合 Darzalex 方案与 Darzalex 三联疗法(含地塞米松及泊马度胺或硼替佐米)进行对比。该试验正在招募二线至四线患者,预计主要完成日期为 2025 年 8 月。另一项同领域三期试验 MajesTEC-9,正在比较 Tecvayli 单药治疗与泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松三联方案或卡非佐米+地塞米松双联方案,主要完成日期设定为 2026 年 2 月。MajesTEC-3 入组的是既往接受过来那度胺和蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗的患者,而 MajesTEC-9 则招募曾使用过来那度胺和抗 CD38 抗体的患者。 三期试验 MonumentTAL-6 正在招募一线接受过抗 CD38 抗体治疗的复发/难治性患者,评估 Tecvayli 联合 Talvey 的疗效。对照组采用 Elo-Pd 或 Pd 方案,试验主要完成日期为 2026 年 4 月。MajesTEC-7 试验针对新诊断不适合移植的患者,预计主要完成日期为 2031 年 4 月。该附加试验比较 Tecvayli+Darzalex+来那度胺方案与 Darzalex+来那度胺+地塞米松方案的疗效差异。 最后,MajesTEC-4 是一项由欧洲骨髓瘤网络赞助的研究,比较了 Tecvayli 联合来那度胺与单用来那度胺作为自体干细胞移植(ASCT)后维持治疗的疗效。MajesTEC-4 的预计初步完成日期(EPCD)为 2028 年 4 月。

  • Takeda’s Velcade (bortezomib), a PI, is a standard-of-care backbone of MM treatment and is now genericized in the US, EU, and Japan. Bortezomib is currently approved in the US and EU for use across all lines of MM therapy, and for newly diagnosed ASCT-ineligible MM and RRMM in Japan. The introduction of SC bortezomib in early 2012 reinforced the drug’s position in the MM market. In May 2022, Fresenius Kabi and Aurobindo announced US launches of generic bortezomib for subcutaneous use. In the EU, the first generic bortezomib (formulated as a ready-to-use solution) was launched by Stada in 2019, while Fresenius Kabi has launched a powder formulation. Both formulations can be injected intravenously or subcutaneously. Bortezomib generics were launched in Japan in Q1 2022. 
    武田制药的万珂(硼替佐米)作为一种蛋白酶体抑制剂,已成为多发性骨髓瘤治疗的标准基础用药,目前在美国、欧盟和日本已有多款仿制药上市。硼替佐米目前在美国和欧盟获批用于多发性骨髓瘤全线治疗,在日本则获批用于新诊断不适合自体干细胞移植的多发性骨髓瘤及复发难治性多发性骨髓瘤。2012 年初皮下注射剂型硼替佐米的推出巩固了该药物在多发性骨髓瘤市场的地位。2022 年 5 月,费森尤斯卡比和奥罗宾多宣布在美国推出皮下注射用硼替佐米仿制药。在欧盟,首批即用型溶液剂仿制药由 Stada 于 2019 年上市,而费森尤斯卡比则推出了冻干粉针剂型。两种剂型均可通过静脉或皮下注射给药。日本市场于 2022 年第一季度迎来硼替佐米仿制药上市。

  • Karyopharm’s Xpovio (selinexor), an oral inhibitor of the nuclear export protein XPO1, represents a novel mechanism for MM and although the original twice weekly dosing regimen was not well tolerated (nausea and fatigue was observed in 70% and 60% of patients, respectively), the switch to once weekly dosing resulted in improved tolerability (nausea and fatigue observed in 40% and 45% of patients, respectively) without sacrificing efficacy. As such, Xpovio has found use for patients refractory to multiple drugs as well as for bridging therapy to CAR-T. Based on the Phase IIb STORM trial (25% ORR; 3.8-month duration of response), Xpovio + dex received accelerated approval in the US (in 2019) and EU (in 2021) for the treatment of patients with fifth-line or later MM whose disease is refractory to two PIs, two IMiDs, and an anti-CD38 mAb. While the target patient population for the doublet is limited, Xpovio is now also approved in the US (since December 2020) and EU (since July 2022) as part of a triple combination with bortezomib and dex for second- to fourth-line MM. Both the Xpovio doublet and triplet received positive NICE recommendations in 2024. The US and EU approvals, which increase Xpovio’s commercial potential, were supported by BOSTON, a Phase III trial that reported PFS of 13.9 months for the Xpovio triplet versus 9.5 months for the doublet comparator. Interestingly, the Xpovio arm used a modified bortezomib dose (100mg once a week versus the approved dose of 80mg twice a week), which resulted in a significantly lower rate of neuropathic adverse events. Xpovio was also used at a dose of 100mg once weekly (median dosage was 80mg once weekly after dose reductions to mitigate adverse events) compared to 80mg twice weekly in STORM. Following this label expansion, Karyopharm reported the strongest sales growth in third-line MM. EMN29 is a Phase III trial evaluating the all-oral triplet of Xpovio + Pomalyst + dex for second-line or later MM. The trial is evaluating even lower doses of Xpovio, 40mg or 60mg once weekly, and the comparator is Empliciti + Pomalyst + dex. The trial has an EPCD of March 2026. 
    Karyopharm 公司的 Xpovio(selinexor)是一种核输出蛋白 XPO1 的口服抑制剂,为多发性骨髓瘤(MM)提供了创新治疗机制。虽然最初每周两次的给药方案耐受性不佳(分别有 70%和 60%患者出现恶心和疲劳症状),但调整为每周一次给药后耐受性显著改善(恶心和疲劳发生率分别降至 40%和 45%),且未影响疗效。因此,Xpovio 现被用于对多种药物难治的患者以及作为 CAR-T 治疗的桥接方案。基于 IIb 期 STORM 试验(客观缓解率 25%;中位缓解持续时间 3.8 个月),Xpovio 联合地塞米松于 2019 年在美国、2021 年在欧盟获得加速批准,用于治疗对两种蛋白酶体抑制剂、两种免疫调节剂和一种抗 CD38 单抗耐药的五线及以上 MM 患者。虽然该双药方案的目标人群有限,但 Xpovio 还于 2020 年 12 月在美国、2022 年 7 月在欧盟获批作为硼替佐米和地塞米松三联方案的一部分,用于二至四线 MM 治疗。2024 年,Xpovio 双药和三联方案均获得英国 NICE 的积极推荐。 美国和欧盟的批准提升了 Xpovio 的商业潜力,这一决定基于 BOSTON 三期临床试验数据——Xpovio 三联疗法组的中位无进展生存期为 13.9 个月,而双联对照组为 9.5 个月。值得注意的是,Xpovio 组采用了调整后的硼替佐米剂量(每周一次 100mg,而非获批的每周两次 80mg 方案),这使得神经病变不良事件发生率显著降低。与 STORM 研究中每周两次 80mg 的用法不同,该方案中 Xpovio 采用每周一次 100mg 的剂量(为减轻不良事件,剂量调整后的中位给药量为每周一次 80mg)。随着适应症扩展,Karyopharm 报告该药物在三线多发性骨髓瘤治疗中实现了最强劲的销售增长。EMN29 三期试验正在评估全口服三联方案 Xpovio+泊马度胺+地塞米松用于二线及以上多发性骨髓瘤的疗效,试验探索更低剂量的 Xpovio(每周一次 40mg 或 60mg),对照组采用埃罗妥珠单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松方案,预计主要终点完成时间为 2026 年 3 月。

  • AbbVie’s etentamig is positioned to be the fourth bispecific antibody targeting BCMA and CD3 to enter the market. etentamig is engineered for high-affinity binding to BCMA (due to a bivalent BCMA binder), low-affinity binding to a unique CD3 epitope on T cells (for improved safety), and a long half-life (two to three weeks) due to an IgG4 backbone. Although it is delivered intravenously with dex premedication, etentamig offers a simplified dosing regimen with monthly dosing after either no step up dose or a single step up dose. This compares to other bispecifics which require multiple step up doses and weekly or every two week dosing. At ASCO 2024, AbbVie reported results for a Phase I trial in fourth-line or later patients where 60mg etentamig given every four weeks (with no step dosing) reported an ORR and CR/sCR rate of 65% and 50%, respectively (n=21). CRS was reported in 43% of patients (grade 1 and 2 only), ICANS was reported in 5% of patients (all grade 2), and grade 3/4 infections occurred in 10% of patients. Results from a second Phase I trial were presented at ASH 2024. That trial evaluated a 2 mg step dose on day 1 followed by 60 mg on day 4 then proceeded to monthly dosing. The 2-mg step-up dose-expansion cohort (n=23) reported an ORR of 65% and a ≥VGPR rate of 39%. The low rate of CRS and grade 3/4 infections as well as the monthly dosing regimen could help differentiate ententamig from other anti-BCMA bispecific antibodies. A pivotal Phase III trial, CERVINO, is comparing etentamig to standard-of-care therapies (Kd, Elo-PD, or SVd) in third-line or later patients. Although the trial will evaluate monthly dosing, it is not yet clear whether or not it will include a single step-up dose or no step-up dose. The trial has an EPCD of December 2027, positioning ententamig for potential regulatory submission by 2028. A Phase III combination trial in second-line or later disease is expected to initiate in 2026 while a subcutaneous formulation is being evaluated in a Phase Ib trial. 
    艾伯维的 etentamib 有望成为第四款靶向 BCMA 和 CD3 的双特异性抗体药物。该药物采用 IgG4 骨架结构设计,具有以下特性:通过双价 BCMA 结合域实现高亲和力结合;对 T 细胞独特 CD3 表位采用低亲和力结合(提升安全性);半衰期长达两到三周。虽然需要地塞米松预处理后静脉给药,但 etentamib 的给药方案更为简化——无需阶梯剂量或仅需单次阶梯剂量后,即可转为每月给药一次。相比之下,其他双抗药物往往需要多次阶梯剂量调整,并需每周或每两周给药一次。在 2024 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会上,艾伯维公布了针对四线及以上患者的 I 期试验数据:每四周给药 60mg(无阶梯剂量)时,客观缓解率和完全缓解/严格完全缓解率分别达到 65%和 50%(n=21)。43%患者出现细胞因子释放综合征(均为 1-2 级),5%患者出现免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征(均为 2 级),10%患者发生 3/4 级感染。2024 年美国血液学会年会上还公布了另一项 I 期试验结果。 该试验评估了第 1 天使用 2 毫克阶梯剂量,第 4 天使用 60 毫克,随后转为每月给药方案。2 毫克阶梯剂量扩展队列(n=23)报告的总缓解率(ORR)为 65%,≥非常好的部分缓解率(VGPR)达 39%。较低的细胞因子释放综合征(CRS)发生率和 3/4 级感染率,以及每月给药方案,可能有助于将 ententamig 与其他抗 BCMA 双特异性抗体区分开来。关键性 III 期试验 CERVINO 正在三线或后线患者中比较 ententamig 与标准治疗方案(Kd、Elo-PD 或 SVd)的疗效。虽然该试验将评估每月给药方案,但目前尚不清楚是否包含单次阶梯剂量或不使用阶梯剂量。该试验预计在 2027 年 12 月达到主要终点(EPCD),有望使 ententamig 在 2028 年前提交监管申请。针对二线或后线疾病的 III 期联合治疗试验预计将于 2026 年启动,而皮下制剂目前正在 Ib 期试验中进行评估。

  • Arcellx and Gilead’s anito-cel is positioned to be the third BCMA CAR-T to enter the market, but lags significantly behind its competitors in development. While Abecma and Carvykti were first approved in 2021 and 2022, respectively, anito-cel only initiated its pivotal Phase II trial, iMMagine-1, in December 2022, and a commercial launch is not expected until 2026. Instead of a single-chain variable fragment (scFv) derived from antibodies, anito-cel uses a synthetic protein as the BCMA binder in the CAR. This binder is engineered to reduce the risk of immunogenicity from host antibodies and T cells. Compared to an scFv, it is also smaller, non-glycosylated, and has no disulfide bonds. These attributes are thought to increase its stability on the CAR-T cell and increase the CAR-T cell yield. Updated data presented at ASCO 2025 from the pivotal iMMagine-1 trial (n=117) included an ORR of 97% with a ≥CR rate of 68%. In the safety evaluable population (n=98), 86% of patients had grade ≤1 CRS and while ICANS was reported in 9% of patients, there was only one case of grade 3 ICANS and no cases of delayed neurotoxicity. These are very promising results, and if anito-cel can deliver efficacy similar to Carvykti with a safety profile similar to Abecma, it would help overcome its third-to-market positioning. The iMMagine-1 trial is enrolling fourth-line or later patients and a BLA submission is expected in H2 2025. A confirmatory Phase III trial, iMMagine-3, is enrolling second-line or later patients, was initiated H2 2024, and has an EPCD of July 2028. The comparator is physician’s choice of the following standards of care: PVd, Dara-Pd, Dara-Kd, or Kd. The Phase III trial will enroll patients exposed to an anti-CD38 antibody and an IMiD, but unlike CARTITUDE-4, will not require that patients have prior exposure to a PI and be refractory to lenalidomide, which may allow anito-cel to be used in a broader population of relapsed/refractory patients than Carvykti. 
    Arcellx 与吉利德合作的 anito-cel 有望成为第三款上市的 BCMA CAR-T 疗法,但研发进度显著落后于竞争对手。Abecma 和 Carvykti 分别于 2021 年和 2022 年率先获批,而 anito-cel 直到 2022 年 12 月才启动关键 II 期试验 iMMagine-1,预计 2026 年才能实现商业化。与传统采用抗体衍生单链可变片段(scFv)不同,anito-cel 使用合成蛋白作为 CAR 中的 BCMA 结合域。这种工程化结合域旨在降低宿主抗体和 T 细胞引发免疫原性的风险,其体积更小、无糖基化修饰且不含二硫键。这些特性被认为能增强 CAR-T 细胞稳定性并提高产量。2025 年 ASCO 大会公布的 iMMagine-1 关键试验更新数据(n=117)显示,总缓解率达 97%,完全缓解率≥68%。在安全性可评估人群(n=98)中,86%患者仅出现≤1 级细胞因子释放综合征,9%患者报告有神经毒性,其中仅 1 例为 3 级神经毒性且未出现延迟性神经毒性病例。 这些结果非常令人鼓舞,如果 anito-cel 能实现与 Carvykti 相当的疗效,同时保持与 Abecma 相似的安全性,将有助于克服其作为市场第三款产品的定位。iMMagine-1 试验正在招募四线或更后线治疗患者,预计 2025 年下半年提交生物制品许可申请。确证性 III 期试验 iMMagine-3 于 2024 年下半年启动,正在招募二线或更后线治疗患者,主要终点完成日期为 2028 年 7 月。对照组采用内科医生选择的以下标准治疗方案:PVd、Dara-Pd、Dara-Kd 或 Kd。该 III 期试验将招募接受过抗 CD38 抗体和免疫调节剂治疗的患者,但与 CARTITUDE-4 试验不同,不要求患者既往接受过蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗且对来那度胺耐药,这可能使 anito-cel 比特瑞莎(Carvykti)适用于更广泛的复发/难治性患者群体。

  • Bristol Myers Squibb’s BMS-986393 (arlocabtogene autoleucel) is a potentially first-in-class GPRC5D CAR-T product. Updated Phase I results presented at ASH 2024 reported an ORR of 87% and a ≥CR rate of 53% in fourth-line or later patients (n=79). The median duration of response was 18.0 months while the median PFS was 18.3 months. ORR was not notably impacted by exposure to previous BCMA-targeted therapy (previous CAR-T therapy was permitted). In the 49% of patients with such exposure (n=38), the ORR was 79% compared to 95% in patients without such exposure (n=41). Furthermore, in patients who were refractory to previous BCMA-targeted therapy (n=16), the ORR was still high at 81%. This suggests that BMS-986393 could be sequenced after BCMA-targeted therapy. With regards to safety, only 12% of patients received IVIG and yet the incidence of grade 3/4 infections, which are an issue with the BCMA targeted therapies, remained low (19% in all patients, 12% in patients treated with the RP2D). There were also no atypical or opportunistic infections. While there were no cases of parkinsonism, Gullain-Barré syndrome or cranial nerve palsy, there were other forms of non-ICANS neurotoxicity at the 150-450 x 106 dose level such as dizziness, ataxia, neurotoxicity, dysarthia and/or nystagmus which had a median time to onset of 30.5 days. These events showed some signs of reversibility and occurred in 12% of patients with 7% of patients having a grade 3 event (none were grade 4/5). ICANS occurred in 10% of patients with 2.5% of patients having a grade 3 event. GPR5CD is expressed on hard keratinized tissues and leads to on-target/off-tumor toxicity such as skin, nail and/or oral events. However, these events appear more benign with BMS-986393 than with Talvey likely due to the one dose nature of BMS-986393. With BMS-986393, these events were all grade 1/2 with no grade 3/4 events. Skin, nail and oral events occurred in 30%, 19% and 32% of patients and were resolved in 88%, 75% and 70% of cases, respectively with a median time to resolution of 26, 98 and 66 days, respectively. With Talvey, skin, nail and oral events occurred in 56-71%, 53-54% and 48-50% of patients, respectively. Furthermore, management of these toxicities involves withholding or discontinuing Talvey depending on the severity. With BMS-986393, weight loss was reported in 6% of patients compared to 60% of patients treated with Talvey. Overall, the CR rate for BMS-986393 was lower than what was reported for Carvykti and anito-cel, but its activity in BCMA-exposed patients suggests that it may well be suited for patients who have progressed after an anti-BCMA agent. QUINTESSENTIAL, a pivotal Phase II trial, is enrolling fourth-line or later patients previously exposed to at least four classes of MM treatments, namely an IMiD, a PI, an anti-CD38 antibody, and an anti-BCMA therapy. The trial has an EPCD of June 2027. A confirmatory Phase III trial, QUINTESSENTIAL-2 was initiated in February 2025 and has an EPCD of December 2027. The trial is comparing BMS-986393 to standard regimens (Dara-Pd or Kd) in lenalidomide refractory, second-line or later patients. 
    百时美施贵宝的 BMS-986393(arlocabtogene autoleucel)是一款潜在同类首创的 GPRC5D CAR-T 产品。ASH 2024 年会上公布的最新 I 期数据显示,在四线或后线治疗患者(n=79)中总缓解率达 87%,完全缓解率≥53%。中位缓解持续时间为 18.0 个月,中位无进展生存期为 18.3 个月。既往接受过 BCMA 靶向治疗(允许曾接受 CAR-T 治疗)对总缓解率未产生显著影响——在 49%具有此类治疗史的患者(n=38)中,总缓解率为 79%,而无治疗史患者(n=41)达 95%。此外,在既往对 BCMA 靶向治疗难治的患者(n=16)中,总缓解率仍高达 81%。这表明 BMS-986393 可作为 BCMA 靶向治疗后的序贯疗法。安全性方面,仅 12%患者接受静脉免疫球蛋白治疗,且 3/4 级感染发生率(这是 BCMA 靶向疗法的常见问题)维持在较低水平(全人群 19%,RP2D 剂量组 12%),未出现非典型或机会性感染。 虽然未出现帕金森综合征、格林-巴利综合征或脑神经麻痹病例,但在 150-450×10⁶剂量水平下观察到了其他形式的非 ICANS 神经毒性反应,包括头晕、共济失调、神经毒性、构音障碍和/或眼球震颤,其中位发病时间为 30.5 天。这些事件显示出一定可逆性体征,发生在 12%的患者中,其中 7%患者出现 3 级事件(无 4/5 级事件)。ICANS 发生率为 10%,其中 2.5%患者出现 3 级事件。GPR5CD 在角质化硬组织中表达,会导致皮肤、指甲和/或口腔等靶向/脱瘤毒性。不过相较于 Talvey,BMS-986393 的这些事件表现更为良性,可能因其单次给药特性。使用 BMS-986393 时,所有事件均为 1/2 级,无 3/4 级事件。皮肤、指甲和口腔事件发生率分别为 30%、19%和 32%,缓解率分别达 88%、75%和 70%,中位缓解时间依次为 26 天、98 天和 66 天。而 Talvey 组的皮肤、指甲和口腔事件发生率分别为 56-71%、53-54%和 48-50%。 此外,根据严重程度的不同,处理这些毒副作用可能需要暂停或终止 Talvey 的使用。使用 BMS-986393 的患者中,有 6%报告了体重减轻,而使用 Talvey 的患者中这一比例为 60%。总体而言,BMS-986393 的完全缓解率低于 Carvykti 和 anito-cel 的报告数据,但其在曾接受过 BCMA 靶向治疗的患者中显示出的活性表明,该药物可能非常适合抗 BCMA 药物治疗后病情进展的患者。关键性 II 期试验 QUINTESSENTIAL 正在招募既往接受过至少四类多发性骨髓瘤治疗(即免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂、抗 CD38 抗体和抗 BCMA 疗法)的四线或后线患者。该试验预计于 2027 年 6 月完成主要终点评估。验证性 III 期试验 QUINTESSENTIAL-2 于 2025 年 2 月启动,预计于 2027 年 12 月完成主要终点评估。该试验在来那度胺难治性二线或后线患者中比较 BMS-986393 与标准治疗方案(Dara-Pd 或 Kd)的疗效。

  • Iberdomide is a next-generation IMiD being developed by Bristol Myers Squibb as a follow-on to Revlimid which is associated with secondary malignacies. Iberdomide binds the E3 ligase cereblon with higher affinity than Revlimid and Pomalyst, with preclinical data showing that it is active in MM cells resistant to other IMiDs due to low cereblon expression. In a Phase I/II trial, a dose expansion cohort evaluating iberdomide + dex at the recommended Phase II dose reported an ORR of 26% in 107 triple-refractory fourth-line or later patients. The trial also evaluated iberdomide triplets containing either Darzalex + dex for third-line or later patients (n=29) or bortezomib + dex for second-line or later patients (n=24), and reported ORRs of 41% and 58%, respectively. A Phase III trial (EXCALIBER-RRMM) is comparing iberdomide + Darzalex + dex versus Darzalex + bortezomib + dex in second-line and third-line MM patients with a data read-out expected in 2025. A second Phase III trial, EXCALIBER-Maintenance, is comparing iberdomide to lenalidomide in the post-transplant maintenance setting. EXCALIBER-RRMM and EXCALIBER-Maintenance have EPCDs of March 2026 and March 2029, respectively.  
    伊伯度胺是百时美施贵宝正在研发的新一代免疫调节药物(IMiD),作为来那度胺的后续产品,后者与继发性恶性肿瘤相关。伊伯度胺与 E3 泛素连接酶 cereblon 的结合亲和力高于来那度胺和泊马度胺,临床前数据显示,该药物对因 cereblon 低表达而对其他 IMiDs 耐药的骨髓瘤细胞具有活性。在一项 I/II 期试验中,采用 II 期推荐剂量(伊伯度胺+地塞米松)的剂量扩展队列在 107 例三重难治性四线或后线患者中报告了 26%的总缓解率(ORR)。该试验还评估了两种伊伯度胺三联方案:针对三线或后线患者的达雷妥尤单抗+地塞米松方案(n=29)和针对二线或后线患者的硼替佐米+地塞米松方案(n=24),报告的 ORR 分别为 41%和 58%。一项 III 期试验(EXCALIBER-RRMM)正在二线和三线骨髓瘤患者中比较伊伯度胺+达雷妥尤单抗+地塞米松方案与达雷妥尤单抗+硼替佐米松+地塞米松方案,预计 2025 年公布数据。另一项 III 期试验 EXCALIBER-Maintenance 正在移植后维持治疗中比较伊伯度胺与来那度胺。EXCALIBER-RRMM 和 EXCALIBER-Maintenance 的主要终点完成日期分别为 2026 年 3 月和 2029 年 3 月。

  • Just as Pomalyst was developed for patients who progress on Revlimid, Bristol Myers Squibb is developing mezigdomide, an IMiD even more potent than iberdomide, for patients who progress on iberdomide. In the relapsed/refractory setting, iberdomide is being developed in combination with Darzalex and dex, while mezigdomide is being developed in combination with a PI and dex. In a Phase I/II trial, dose escalation cohorts evaluating mezigdomide + bortezomib + dex (n=28) or mezigdomide + Kyprolis + dex (n=27) reported ORRs of 75% and 85%, respectively, ≥VGPRs of 39% and 44%, respectively, and median PFS of 12.3 months and 13.5 months, respectively. SUCCESSOR-1 is a head-to-head Phase III trial comparing mezigdomide + bortezomib + dex to Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex. The trial is enrolling second- to fourth-line patients and has an EPCD of November 2025. A second Phase III trial, SUCCESSOR-2, is an add-on trial comparing mezigdomide + Kyprolis + dex to Kyprolis + dex. The trial has an EPCD of February 2026 and is enrolling second-line or later patients previously treated with lenalidomide and an anti-CD38 antibody. 
    正如泊马度胺(Pomalyst)是为来那度胺(Revlimid)治疗后进展的患者所研发,百时美施贵宝正在开发比伊伯度胺(iberdomide)更强效的免疫调节剂 mezigdomide,用于伊伯度胺治疗后进展的患者。在复发/难治性治疗背景下,伊伯度胺正与达雷妥尤单抗(Darzalex)和地塞米松(dex)联合开发,而 mezigdomide 则与蛋白酶体抑制剂(PI)及地塞米松联合研发。在一项 I/II 期临床试验中,剂量递增队列评估显示:mezigdomide+硼替佐米(bortezomib)+地塞米松组(n=28)与 mezigdomide+卡非佐米(Kyprolis)+地塞米松组(n=27)的总缓解率(ORR)分别为 75%和 85%,≥非常好的部分缓解率(VGPR)分别为 39%和 44%,中位无进展生存期(PFS)分别为 12.3 个月和 13.5 个月。SUCCESSOR-1 是一项头对头 III 期试验,直接比较 mezigdomide+硼替佐米+地塞米松与泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松方案。该试验正在招募二线至四线治疗患者,预计主要终点完成日期(EPCD)为 2025 年 11 月。另一项 III 期试验 SUCCESSOR-2 为附加试验,比较 mezigdomide+卡非佐米+地塞米松与卡非佐米+地塞米松方案,其 EPCD 为 2026 年 2 月,入组对象为既往接受过来那度胺和抗 CD38 抗体治疗的二线及以上患者。

Market Dynamics  市场动态

Market dynamics in multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤市场动态
Current dynamics  当前动态 Market opportunity  市场机遇
  • CD38-based quadruplets incorporating a VRd backbone are the standard of care for first-line MM patients
    基于 CD38 的四药联合方案(以 VRd 为骨架)已成为一线多发性骨髓瘤患者的标准治疗
  • Four anti-BCMA therapies are approved in the US for MM: CAR-T therapies Abecma and Carvykti for second-line or later and third-line or later disease, respectively, and the bispecific antibodies Tecvayli and Elrexfio for more heavily pretreated disease
    美国已批准四种靶向 BCMA 的疗法用于多发性骨髓瘤:CAR-T 疗法 Abecma 和 Carvykti 分别适用于二线及以上和三线及以上疾病阶段,双特异性抗体 Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 则用于更重度预处理患者
  • The RRMM treatment setting is becoming increasingly crowded with several approved therapies, including Talvey, a bispecific targeting GPRC5D
    复发/难治性多发性骨髓瘤治疗领域日趋拥挤,已获批疗法包括靶向 GPRC5D 的双特异性抗体 Talvey 等
  • Darzalex’s uptake has been increasing steadily, and the drug has been termed as a new standard of care with impressive results across all lines of therapy
    达雷妥尤单抗的使用率持续稳步上升,该药物凭借在各线治疗中的卓越疗效被誉为新标准治疗
  • Due to the efficacy and durability of currently approved therapies, MM is now considered to be a chronic disease
    由于现有获批疗法的疗效和持久性,多发性骨髓瘤现已被视为一种慢性疾病
  • Revlimid and Darzalex currently dominate the market and are used in various combinations across several lines of therapy
    来那度胺(Revlimid)和达雷妥尤单抗(Darzalex)目前主导市场,被用于多种治疗方案的不同组合中
  • Opportunity for anti-BCMA therapies to move to earlier lines of treatment including first-line
    抗 BCMA 疗法有机会前移至包括一线治疗在内的更早治疗阶段
  • Treatments for high-risk smoldering myeloma
    高危冒烟型骨髓瘤的治疗方案
  • Maintenance therapy for transplant-eligible and transplant-ineligible patients
    适合移植与不适合移植患者的维持治疗方案
  • Increased market potential for SC formulations of intravenous drugs and all-oral combinations
    静脉注射药物皮下制剂与全口服联合疗法的市场潜力提升
  • Maintenance therapy as a replacement for SCT
    作为干细胞移植替代方案的维持治疗
  • Next-generation IMiDs that improve on Revlimid
    新一代免疫调节药物对来那度胺的改良突破
  • Pursue strategic label expansions to the first-line and second-line settings to increase the size of the target patient population
    在一线和二线治疗领域寻求战略性的适应症扩展,以扩大目标患者群体规模
Threat of substitution  替代疗法威胁 Payer pressure/Buyer power
支付方压力/买方议价能力
  • Kyprolis will lose market exclusivity in the US in 2027, in the EU in 2025, and in Japan in 2030
    Kyprolis 将于 2027 年在美国、2025 年在欧盟、2030 年在日本失去市场独占权
  • Pomalyst started facing generic competition in 2024 in the EU and is expected to face generic competition in the US and Japan in 2026
    泊马度胺于 2024 年在欧盟开始面临仿制药竞争,预计 2026 年将在美国和日本遭遇仿制药竞争
  • Farydak will lose market exclusivity in the EU and Japan in 2025; the drug’s NDA in the US was withdrawn in November 2021
    帕比司他将于 2025 年在欧盟和日本失去市场独占权;该药物在美国的新药申请已于 2021 年 11 月撤回
  • Generic versions of subcutaneous Velcade became available in the US and Japan in 2022; in the EU, generic bortezomib launched in 2019
    皮下注射万珂的仿制药已于 2022 年在美国和日本上市;欧盟地区的硼替佐米仿制药则于 2019 年推出
  • Revlimid started to face generic competition in the US and EU in 2022, and in Japan in 2023. US volume limitations on lenalidomide generics will expire in January 2026
    来那度胺于 2022 年在美国和欧盟、2023 年在日本开始面临仿制药竞争。美国对来那度胺仿制药的销量限制将于 2026 年 1 月到期
  • A wider selection of treatment options and combination regimens is allowing payers to implement stringent cost-containment procedures
    更广泛的治疗方案和联合用药选择使支付方能够实施严格的成本控制措施
  • Due to their uniquely high cost, CAR-T therapies will likely represent a significant burden
    由于其异常高昂的成本,CAR-T 疗法很可能带来沉重的经济负担
  • Payers have been unwilling to reimburse expensive therapies and regimens with only incremental improvements in patient outcomes, especially without discounts through patient access schemes
    支付方一直不愿报销那些仅能带来患者疗效边际提升的高价疗法和方案,尤其是未通过患者援助计划提供折扣的情况
  • Payers will be hesitant to use branded therapies to treat smoldering MM as guidelines recommend observation
    由于指南推荐观察等待,支付方将对使用品牌药治疗冒烟型多发性骨髓瘤持谨慎态度
  • The entrance of generic bortezomib, lenalidomide, and pomalidomide is likely to affect reference pricing for new therapies in the EU, particularly for those that display no clear benefit
    仿制药硼替佐米、来那度胺和泊马度胺的上市可能会影响欧盟新疗法的参考定价,尤其是对那些无明显疗效优势的药物

Future Trends  未来趋势

Future trends in multiple myeloma
多发性骨髓瘤的未来趋势
Growth drivers  增长驱动因素 Growth resistors  增长阻力因素
  • Increased uptake of SC Darzalex across all lines of therapy (especially at first line)
    SC Darzalex 在所有治疗线(尤其是一线治疗)中的使用率持续提升
  • Label expansion into lucrative earlier lines of therapy for Sarclisa
    Sarclisa 适应症扩展至利润丰厚的早期治疗线
  • Continued price increases in the US
    美国市场持续涨价
  • Expected approval and uptake of expensive BCMA-targeted therapies, including CAR-Ts and bispecific antibodies for triple-refractory MM; label expansions into earlier lines of therapy
    预计昂贵 BCMA 靶向疗法(包括针对三重难治性多发性骨髓瘤的 CAR-T 细胞疗法和双特异性抗体)将获得批准并逐步普及;适应症范围将扩展至更早治疗线
  • Increasing worldwide prevalence of MM
    全球多发性骨髓瘤患病率持续上升
  • Genericization of pivotal MM drugs Velcade, Revlimid, Pomalyst, and Kyprolis will have a negative effect on the market
    关键骨髓瘤药物万珂、来那度胺、泊马度胺和卡非佐米的专利到期将给市场带来负面影响
  • Logistic issues with CAR-T therapies such as a one-month monitoring requirement close to an academic center have limited uptake
    CAR-T 疗法存在物流限制(如需在学术医疗中心附近进行为期一个月的监测),制约了其普及程度
  • Increasing competition in RRMM among highly efficacious therapies will lead to downward pricing pressure
    高效疗法在 RRMM 领域日益激烈的竞争将导致定价下行压力

New label expansions are expected for high-risk smoldering myeloma 
高风险冒烟型骨髓瘤有望迎来新适应症扩展

Following positive PFS results in the AQUILA trial, we expect monotherapy Darzalex to be the first agent approved for smoldering myeloma. Treatment of smoldering myeloma remains controversial, with some suggesting that Darzalex monotherapy may be under-treating patients at risk of progression while overtreating those who won’t progress to symptomatic disease. In the US, off-label lenalidomide is used by some physicians in this setting, however in the EU the current standard of care is observation, and so physicians there may be reluctant to treat in this setting. ITHACA is a Phase III trial comparing Sarclisa-Rd to Rd in patients with high-risk smoldering myeloma. While results from ITHACA are still several years away, its use of a triplet may address concerns that patients are being undertreated. 
基于 AQUILA 试验中取得的无进展生存期阳性结果,我们预计 Darzalex 单药疗法将成为首个获批用于冒烟型骨髓瘤的药物。该疾病的治疗仍存在争议,有观点认为 Darzalex 单药可能对存在进展风险的患者治疗不足,而对不会进展至症状性疾病的患者存在过度治疗。在美国,部分医生会在此情况下使用来那度胺超适应症治疗,但在欧盟现行标准是观察等待,因此当地医生可能不愿采用积极治疗。ITHACA 三期试验正在比较 Sarclisa-Rd 方案与 Rd 方案对高风险冒烟型骨髓瘤患者的疗效。虽然 ITHACA 试验结果还需数年才能揭晓,但其采用的三联疗法或可缓解当前对患者治疗不足的担忧。

New BCMA-targeted therapies will contribute to market growth 
新型 BCMA 靶向疗法将推动市场增长

Two BCMA-directed CAR-T therapies are currently approved, with Abecma approved for third-line or later patients and Carvykti approved for second-line or later patients. Additionally, a third CAR-T therapy, anito-cel, is expected to launch in 2026. While the drugs are highly efficacious, the complicated logistics of administering CAR-T have slowed uptake of both Abecma and Carvykti. Looking to take advantage of this slow uptake is Tecvayli, the first BCMA x CD3 bispecific antibody approved for MM, and Elrexfio with approvals in the US (fifth line or later) and EU (fourth line or later). Elrexfio is also approved in Japan for second line or later patients. A third such bispecific, Lynozyfic, is now approved in the EU with a US approval expected by July 2025. Outside of Japan, the bispecifics are not expected to be approved for second-line or later patients until 2026 which gives the advantage to the CAR-Ts, especially Carvykti, in the early-line setting for now. Both the CAR-Ts and bispecifics are expected to subsequently move to even earlier lines of therapy and are forecast to be major drivers of growth in the MM market.  
目前已有两款靶向 BCMA 的 CAR-T 疗法获批上市,其中 Abecma 获批用于三线及以上患者,Carvykti 获批用于二线及以上患者。此外,第三款 CAR-T 疗法 anito-cel 预计将于 2026 年上市。虽然这些药物疗效显著,但复杂的 CAR-T 给药流程延缓了 Abecma 和 Carvykti 的市场渗透。乘此市场空窗期,全球首个获批用于多发性骨髓瘤的 BCMA×CD3 双抗 Tecvayli 开始抢占市场,Elrexfio 也相继在美国(五线及以上)和欧盟(四线及以上)获批。日本还批准 Elrexfio 用于二线及以上患者。第三款同类双抗 Lynozyfic 现已在欧盟获批,预计 2025 年 7 月前获得美国批准。除日本外,这类双抗药物预计要到 2026 年才会获批用于二线及以上患者,这使得 CAR-T 疗法(尤其是 Carvykti)在当前早期治疗线数中占据优势。预计 CAR-T 和双抗药物后续都将向更前线治疗推进,成为多发性骨髓瘤市场增长的主要驱动力。

While Abecma was first to market, Carvykti has best-in-class efficacy, a demonstrated OS benefit, and is approved for earlier lines of therapy. With a median follow-up of 60.3 months for CARTITUDE-1, the median OS for Carvykti was 60.6 months with 33% of patients remaining alive and progression-free for ≥5 years suggesting that Carvykti could be curative in the relapsed/refractory setting. These advantages have helped Carvykti overtake Abecma in sales. Early results from anito-cel suggest it has efficacy to rival Carvykti as well as improved safety results. While its first approval will be for fourth-line or later patients, a confirmatory Phase III trial, iMMagine-3, is enrolling second-line or later patients. The Phase III trial will enroll patients exposed to an anti-CD38 antibody and an IMiD, but unlike CARTITUDE-4, will not require that patients have prior exposure to a PI and be refractory to lenalidomide, which may allow anito-cel to be used in more relapsed/refractory patients than Carvykti. 
虽然 Abecma 率先上市,但 Carvykti 拥有同类最佳的疗效表现、明确的总体生存获益,且获批用于更早线治疗。CARTITUDE-1 研究 60.3 个月的中位随访数据显示,Carvykti 组中位总生存期达 60.6 个月,33%的患者存活且无进展生存≥5 年,这表明 Carvykti 可能对复发/难治性患者具有治愈潜力。这些优势推动 Carvykti 在销售额上反超 Abecma。anito-cel 的早期数据显示其疗效可与 Carvykti 匹敌,且安全性更优。虽然其首个适应症将获批用于四线及以上患者,但验证性 III 期试验 iMMagine-3 正在招募二线及以上患者。该 III 期试验将纳入接受过抗 CD38 抗体和免疫调节剂治疗的患者,但不同于 CARTITUDE-4 研究的是,不要求患者既往接受过蛋白酶体抑制剂治疗且对来那度胺耐药,这可能使 anito-cel 比 Carvykti 适用于更广泛的复发/难治性患者群体。

Johnson & Johnson plans on moving Carvykti to the first-line setting. CARTITUDE-5 is evaluating whether a single injection of Carvykti can replace Rd maintenance therapy following induction with VRd in transplant-ineligible patients. Additionally, CARTITUDE-6 is investigating Carvykti as a replacement for transplant. The trial is evaluating Dara-VRd followed by Carvykti versus Dara-VRd followed by ASCT in transplant-eligible patients. 
强生公司计划将 Carvykti 推进至一线治疗方案。CARTITUDE-5 试验正在评估对于不适合移植的患者,在 VRd 诱导治疗后,单次注射 Carvykti 能否取代 Rd 维持治疗。此外,CARTITUDE-6 试验正在研究用 Carvykti 替代移植的方案,该试验对比了适合移植患者接受 Dara-VRd 治疗后接续 Carvykti 与接续自体干细胞移植(ASCT)的疗效差异。

Both Tecvayli and Elrexfio are in Phase III trials in combination with Darzalex that are enrolling second-line or later patients, with EPCDs in 2025. Another bispecific antibody, Lynozyfic, is targeting this setting as a monotherapy, with a Phase III readout expected in 2032. The optimum strategy for sequencing CAR-Ts and bispecifics is still to be worked out – the bispecifics have shown activity post CAR-T therapy, and so for now they are typically sequenced post CAR-T. With the bispecifics being evaluated in the front-line setting (see below), they may eventually be sequenced before CAR-T, especially in transplant-ineligible patients.  
Tecvayli 和 Elrexfio 目前均处于与 Darzalex 联合使用的 III 期临床试验阶段,针对二线及后线治疗患者,预计关键数据将在 2025 年公布。另一款双特异性抗体药物 Lynozyfic 则作为单药疗法瞄准这一治疗领域,其 III 期试验结果预计于 2032 年揭晓。目前 CAR-T 疗法与双特异性抗体的最佳序贯使用策略尚未明确——双特异性抗体在 CAR-T 治疗后已显示出活性,因此现阶段通常将其安排在 CAR-T 之后使用。但随着双特异性抗体在一线治疗中的评估推进(详见下文),未来可能会调整为在 CAR-T 之前使用,尤其对于不适合移植的患者群体。

With the approvals of up to four different BCMA-directed bispecific antibodies, differentiation will be key to success in this competitive market. Tecvayli has the advantage of being first-to-market and currently leads in market share. Elrexfio is differentiated by its subcutaneous administration while Lynozyfic has reported the highest response rate. The bispecifics can also be differentiated by the number and length of hospitalizations required during step-up dosing (Tecvayli requires the most hospitalizations, while Lynozyfic requires the least), as well as by their frequency of administration. Etentamig is positioned to be approved several years after Tecvayli, Elrexfio, and Lynozyfic, and so will be under pressure to differentiate itself. AbbVie has focused on safety for etentamig and is evaluating whether it can be administered without hospitalization.  
随着多达四种不同 BCMA 靶向双特异性抗体相继获批,差异化将成为这一竞争激烈的市场中制胜关键。Tecvayli 凭借首发优势目前占据市场份额领先地位;Elrexfio 通过皮下给药方式实现差异化;而 Lynozyfic 则报告了最高应答率。这些双抗还可通过阶梯给药期间所需住院次数与时长(Tecvayli 住院要求最高,Lynozyfic 最低)以及给药频率进行区分。Etentamig 预计将在 Tecvayli、Elrexfio 和 Lynozyfic 获批数年后才获准上市,因此面临更大的差异化压力。艾伯维正重点评估 etentamig 的安全性优势,探索其能否实现无需住院的给药方案。

The BCMA x CD3 bispecifics are aiming to challenge the standards of care in the newly diagnosed setting. For transplant-ineligible patients, MajesTEC-7 and MagnetisMM-6 are evaluating Tecvayli and Elrexfio, respectively, in combination with Darzalex and lenalidomide. The comparator for both trials is Darzalex + lenalidomide + dex. MagnetisMM-7 is evaluating Elrexfio as maintenance therapy in newly diagnosed patients after ASCT, with lenalidomide as the comparator. Finally, MajesTEC-4 is comparing Tecvayli + lenalidomide versus lenalidomide alone as maintenance therapy following ASCT. Additional details on these Phase III trials can be found in the table below. Unlike the other BCMA-targeting agents, which include bispecific antibodies and CAR-T therapies, Blenrep is an ADC and does not require any hospitalizations, and its efficacy is independent of T-cell activity, which may make it attractive for patients with T-cell exhaustion. As such, Blenrep is well suited for older patients, including those who are transplant-ineligible and those whose immune systems have been degraded by previous treatments. One drawback to Blenrep is that it is associated with keratopathy, an ocular toxicity that can lead to decreases in visual acuity that are managed primarily by dose interruptions. Blenrep was recently approved in the UK and Japan for second-line or later patients and is expected to return to the US and EU markets in 2025. However, due to toxicity concerns, Blenrep will likely be sequenced after CAR-T therapy and bispecifics. Development of a safer, optimized dosing protocol that allows the corneal epithelium to recover between doses (every eight weeks or every twelve weeks) could help increase uptake. 
BCMA x CD3 双特异性抗体旨在挑战新诊断患者的标准治疗方案。针对不适合移植的患者,MajesTEC-7 和 MagnetisMM-6 试验分别评估 Tecvayli(特维来单抗)和 Elrexfio(艾乐妥单抗)与 Darzalex(达雷妥尤单抗)及来那度胺的联合疗法,两组试验均以"Darzalex+来那度胺+地塞米松"作为对照。MagnetisMM-7 试验则评估 Elrexfio 作为自体干细胞移植(ASCT)后新诊断患者的维持治疗方案,以来那度胺作为对照。最后,MajesTEC-4 试验比较 ASCT 后采用"Tecvayli+来那度胺"与单用来那度胺作为维持治疗的疗效。这些 III 期试验的更多细节详见下表。与其他 BCMA 靶向药物(包括双抗和 CAR-T 疗法)不同,Blenrep(贝兰他单抗)作为抗体偶联药物(ADC)无需住院治疗,其疗效不依赖 T 细胞活性,这对存在 T 细胞耗竭的患者颇具吸引力。因此,Blenrep 尤其适合老年患者群体,包括不适合移植的患者和因前期治疗导致免疫系统受损的患者。 Blenrep 的一个缺点是可能引发角膜病变,这种眼部毒性会导致视力下降,主要通过暂停给药来控制。该药物近期已在英国和日本获批用于二线及以上治疗患者,预计将于 2025 年重返美国和欧盟市场。但由于毒性问题,Blenrep 很可能被安排在 CAR-T 疗法和双特异性抗体之后使用。开发更安全的优化给药方案(如每八周或每十二周给药一次),让角膜上皮在给药间隔期得到恢复,将有助于提高该药物的使用率。

Summary of Phase III clinical trials for BCMA-targeted CAR-Ts and bispecific antibodies
靶向 BCMA 的 CAR-T 细胞疗法和双特异性抗体 III 期临床试验汇总

Trial  试验
Setting  治疗背景
Treatment  治疗
Comparator  对照药物
EPCD

MagnetisMM-6**

1L Transplant-ineligible
一线移植不适配患者

Elrexfio + Darzalex + lenalidomide
Elrexfio + Darzalex + 来那度胺

Dara-Rd  达拉-Rd

March 2028  2028 年 3 月

MajesTEC-7

1L Transplant-ineligible
1L 不适合移植

Tecvayli + Darzalex + lenalidomide
Tecvayli + Darzalex + 来那度胺

Dara-Rd  达拉-Rd

April 2031  2031 年 4 月

CARTITUDE-5

1L Transplant-ineligible (maintenance)
一线治疗不适合移植(维持治疗)

VRd followed by Carvykti  VRd 方案后接 Carvykti 治疗

VRd followed by Rd
VRd 后接 Rd

June 2026  2026 年 6 月

CARTITUDE-6

1L Transplant-eligible (maintenance)
1L 适合移植(维持治疗)

Dara-VRd followed by Carvykti
Dara-VRd 后接 Carvykti

Dara-VRd followed by ASCT
Dara-VRd 序贯 ASCT 治疗

June 2033  2033 年 6 月

MajesTEC-4  MajesTEC-4 研究

1L Transplant-eligible (maintenance)
一线移植适应症(维持治疗)

ASCT followed by Tecvayli + lenalidomide
自体干细胞移植后接续 Tecvayli 联合来那度胺治疗

ASCT followed by lenalidomide
自体干细胞移植后接续来那度胺治疗

April 2028  2028 年 4 月

MagnetisMM-7  MagnetisMM-7 研究

1L Transplant-eligible (maintenance)
1L 适合移植(维持治疗)

ASCT followed by Elrexfio
自体干细胞移植后接续 Elrexfio 治疗

ASCT followed by lenalidomide
自体干细胞移植后接续来那度胺治疗

August 2027  2027 年 8 月

CARTITUDE-4*  卡提妥单抗(CARTITUDE-4*)

2L–4L  2-4 线治疗

Carvykti  卡维妥单抗

PVd or Dara-Pd  泊马度胺/地塞米松 或 达雷妥尤单抗-泊马度胺/地塞米松

May 2024  2024 年 5 月

MajesTEC-3

2L–4L  2 升–4 升

Tecvayli + Darzalex  特维莱+达雷妥尤

Dara-Vd or Dara-Pd  达雷妥尤单抗联合硼替佐米和地塞米松(Dara-Vd)或达雷妥尤单抗联合泊马度胺和地塞米松(Dara-Pd)

August 2025  2025 年 8 月

MajesTEC-9  MajesTEC-9 临床试验

2L–4L  2 至 4 线治疗

Tecvayli

PVd or Kd  PVd 或 Kd

February 2026  2026 年 2 月

MagnetisMM-5

2L+

Elrexfio ± Darzalex  艾瑞西奥±达雷妥尤

Dara-Pd  达雷妥尤-Pd 方案

December 2025  2025 年 12 月

MagnetisMM-32

2L–5L  二线至五线治疗

Elrexfio  艾乐妥

Elo-Pd or Kd  Elo-Pd 或 Kd

August 2026  2026 年 8 月

iMMagine-3

2L–4L

anito-cel  阿尼托-赛尔

PVd, Dara-Pd, Dara-Kd, or Kd
PVd、达拉-Pd、达拉-Kd 或 Kd

July 2028  2028 年 7 月

LINKER-MM3

2L–5L  2 升-5 升

Lynozyfic  利诺泽菲克

Elo-Pd  埃洛-Pd

April 2033  2033 年 4 月

KarMMa-3*  卡玛-3*

3L–5L  3 升-5 升

Abecma  阿贝玛

Standard triplet regimens
标准三联疗法

April 2027  2027 年 4 月

CERVINO

3L+  3 升以上

etentamig  依替米格

Kd, Elo-Pd, or SVd
Kd、Elo-Pd 或 SVd

December 2027  2027 年 12 月

*Trials where efficacy data have been presented.
*已呈现疗效数据的临床试验。

**Trials with no US sites.
**未设美国试验点的临床试验。

 

Anti-CD38 based quadruplets are now the standard of care for induction of both transplant-eligible and transplant ineligible first-line patients 
基于抗 CD38 的四药联合方案现已成为适合移植与不适合移植一线患者诱导治疗的标准方案

Following positive results in the PERSEUS trial, a Dara-VRd quadruplet was approved in the US and EU in 2024 as induction and consolidation therapy for transplant-eligible patients. Sarclisa lags behind Darzalex in this setting, but following positive results from the GMMG HD7 trial, a regulatory submission was submitted to EU authorities in January 2025 and a submission to US authorities is expected in H1 2025. Interestingly the GMMG HD7 trial included a rerandomization after induction and consolidation to evaluate maintenance therapy with either Sarclisa + lenalidomide or lenalidomide monotherapy. The results from the maintenance phase have yet to be disclosed but if they are positive, they will lead to increased use of Sarclisa in the transplant-eligible maintenance setting. While the PERSEUS and AURIGA trials evaluated maintenance with Darzalex + lenalidomide, neither trial was designed to support regulatory approval although there is currently some off-label use. 
随着 PERSEUS 试验取得积极结果,2024 年美欧批准将 Dara-VRd 四联方案作为适合移植患者的诱导和巩固疗法。Sarclisa 在该领域落后于 Darzalex,但基于 GMMG HD7 试验的积极数据,2025 年 1 月已向欧盟提交监管申请,预计 2025 年上半年将向美国提交。值得注意的是,GMMG HD7 试验在诱导和巩固治疗后进行了再随机分组,以评估 Sarclisa 联合来那度胺与来那度胺单药的维持治疗效果。虽然维持阶段数据尚未公布,但若结果积极,将推动 Sarclisa 在适合移植患者维持治疗中的使用。尽管 PERSEUS 和 AURIGA 试验评估了 Darzalex 联合来那度胺的维持方案,但这两个试验均非为支持监管批准而设计,目前仅存在部分超适应症使用情况。

In the transplant-ineligible setting, it is the Sarclisa-VRd quadruplet with the first approval. Following positive results in the IMROZ trial, the Sarclisa quadruplet was approved in the US (September 2024), EU (January 2025) and Japan (February 2025). While the US and EU approvals specified approval for newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible patients, the Japanese approval was for a broader population of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. A Darzalex-VRd quadruplet reported positive results in this setting in the CEPHEUS trial and was approved in the EU in April 2025 with a US approval expected by September 2025. Due to Darzalex’s SC formulation and greater physician familiarity, we still expect the Darzalex quadruplet to dominate the transplant-ineligible setting. An SC formulation of Sarclisa reported positive Phase III results in the IRAKLIA trial and regulatory submissions for the SC formulation are expected in H1 2025. Finally, an older regimen of Dara-Rd is still expected to see widespread use in the transplant-ineligible setting where it will be used to treat patients not fit enough for a quadruplet. 
在不适合移植的治疗方案中,Sarclisa-VRd 四联疗法率先获得批准。随着 IMROZ 试验取得积极结果,Sarclisa 四联疗法相继在美国(2024 年 9 月)、欧盟(2025 年 1 月)和日本(2025 年 2 月)获批。虽然美国和欧盟的批准明确针对新诊断不适合移植的患者,但日本的批准范围更广,适用于新诊断的多发性骨髓瘤患者群体。Darzalex-VRd 四联疗法在 CEPHEUS 试验中同样展现出积极疗效,并于 2025 年 4 月在欧盟获批,预计将于 2025 年 9 月获得美国批准。由于 Darzalex 采用皮下制剂且内科医生更为熟悉,我们仍预期 Darzalex 四联疗法将主导不适合移植的治疗领域。Sarclisa 皮下制剂在 IRAKLIA 三期试验中取得积极结果,预计将于 2025 年上半年提交监管申请。最后,传统的 Dara-Rd 方案预计仍将在不适合移植的治疗中广泛应用,用于治疗身体状况不适合四联疗法的患者。

Xpovio will seek approval in an all-oral combination, while Talvey and BMS-986393 will be positioned as options for patients previously treated with an anti-BCMA agent 
Xpovio 将寻求全口服组合疗法的批准,而 Talvey 和 BMS-986393 则定位于既往接受过抗 BCMA 药物治疗的患者群体

Quadruplets consisting of an anti-CD38 antibody, a PI, an immunomodulator, and dex being the standard of care for front-line therapy, will create a need for novel therapies such as Xpovio and BCMA-targeted agents in the second- and third-line settings. Xpovio is approved in the US (since December 2020) and EU (since July 2022) as part of a triple combination with bortezomib and dex for second- to fourth-line MM. Seeking to find a new niche for Xpovio, EMN29 is a Phase III trial evaluating the all-oral triplet of Xpovio + Pomalyst + dex for second-line or later MM. 
由抗 CD38 抗体、蛋白酶体抑制剂、免疫调节剂和地塞米松组成的四联疗法作为一线治疗标准方案,将推动二线及三线治疗对塞利尼索等创新疗法及 BCMA 靶向药物的需求。塞利尼索已在美国(2020 年 12 月起)和欧盟(2022 年 7 月起)获批联合硼替佐米与地塞米松用于多发性骨髓瘤二至四线治疗。为开拓塞利尼索的新治疗领域,EMN29 III 期试验正在评估塞利尼索+泊马度胺+地塞米松全口服三联方案用于二线及以上骨髓瘤治疗的疗效。

Talvey is a bispecific antibody targeting CD3 and a novel target, GPRC5D, that has been granted accelerated approval in the US and EU and is under regulatory review in Japan. At ASCO 2023, updated data from a pivotal Phase I/II trial were presented, showing activity in a cohort of anti-BCMA-naïve patients as well as in a cohort of patients who progressed on anti-BCMA therapies. Data from both cohorts were included in the label, so Talvey will likely be the preferred option for patients who progress on an anti-BCMA agent. A confirmatory Phase III trial, MonumenTAL-3, is evaluating Talvey + Darzalex +/- Pomalyst and is enrolling second-line or later patients. 
Talvey 是一种靶向 CD3 和新型靶点 GPRC5D 的双特异性抗体,已在美国和欧盟获得加速批准,目前正在日本接受监管审查。在 2023 年美国临床肿瘤学会年会上,关键 I/II 期试验的最新数据显示,该药物在未接受过抗 BCMA 治疗的患者队列和抗 BCMA 疗法后进展的患者队列中均表现出活性。这两个队列的数据均被纳入药品说明书,因此 Talvey 很可能成为抗 BCMA 药物治疗后进展患者的首选方案。验证性 III 期试验 MonumenTAL-3 正在评估 Talvey 联合 Darzalex(可联用或不联用 Pomalyst)的疗效,目前正在招募二线及以上治疗患者。

BMS-986393 is a potentially first-in-class anti-GPRC5D CAR-T product. QUINTESSENTIAL, a pivotal Phase II trial, is enrolling fourth-line or later patients previously exposed to at least four classes of MM treatments, namely an IMiD, a PI, an anti-CD38 antibody, and an anti-BCMA therapy, thereby setting up BMS-986393 for the post-BCMA setting. While both Talvey and BMS-986393 are associated with GPRC5D-related oral toxicity, repeated injections of Talvey are thought to exacerbate the toxicity, which may lead to BMS-986393 being favored over Talvey. 
BMS-986393 是一款潜在同类首创的抗 GPRC5D CAR-T 产品。关键性 II 期试验 QUINTESSENTIAL 目前正在招募既往接受过至少四类多发性骨髓瘤治疗(即免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂、抗 CD38 抗体和抗 BCMA 疗法)的四线或更晚期患者,这将使 BMS-986393 定位于 BCMA 疗法后的治疗场景。虽然 Talvey 和 BMS-986393 均存在 GPRC5D 相关口腔毒性,但 Talvey 的重复注射被认为会加剧毒性反应,这可能使 BMS-986393 比 Talvey 更具优势。

While still in Phase I development, JNJ-79635322 is a trispecific BCMA x GPRC5D x CD3 antibody that reported promising efficacy and safety results at ASCO 2025 with the investigator noting that it had CAR-T like efficacy but with off-the shelf differentiation. We look forward to the announcement of next steps for this biological. 
尚处于 I 期研发阶段的 JNJ-79635322 是一种靶向 BCMA×GPRC5D×CD3 的三特异性抗体,其在 2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO)上公布的疗效与安全性数据表现亮眼,研究者指出该药物具有类似 CAR-T 疗法的疗效,同时具备现成制剂的差异化优势。我们期待这一生物制剂后续研发计划的公布。

Next-generation immunomodulators will offer options for patients refractory to lenalidomide and/or Pomalyst 
新一代免疫调节剂将为来那度胺和/或泊马度胺难治性患者提供治疗选择

With many first-line patients receiving long-term maintenance with a lenalidomide-containing regimen, second-line patients are often refractory to lenalidomide. To offer new options for second-line or later patients, Roche is developing two next-generation immunomodulators: iberdomide for use in early-line patients in combination with an anti-CD38 antibody, and mezigdomide for use in later-line patients (post lenalidomide and anti-CD38 antibody). Iberdomide is also being developed for the first-line, post-transplant maintenance setting. Apart from being more potent, these next-generation immunomodulators are also thought to have tumoricidal activity rather than tumoristatic activity. Iberdomide is being evaluated in combination with Darzalex + dex in EXCALIBER-RRMM, while mezigdomide is being evaluated in combination with a PI + dex (bortezomib + dex in SUCCESSOR-1, and Kyprolis + dex in SUCCESSOR-2). Importantly, SUCCESSOR-1 is a head-to-head trial that is using Pomalyst + bortezomib + dex as the comparator. In contrast, SUCCESSOR-2 is an add-on trial with Kyprolis + dex as the comparator. Meanwhile, EXCALIBER-RRMM will enroll lenalidomide-refractory patients and use bortezomib + Darzalex + dex as the comparator. A second Phase III trial (EXCALIBER-Maintenance) will evaluate iberdomide in a head-to-head match-up with lenalidomide in the post-transplant maintenance setting. Iberdomide’s more tolerable profile (compared to lenalidomide) makes it better suited for maintenance therapy. 
由于许多一线患者长期接受含来那度胺的维持治疗方案,二线患者往往对来那度胺产生耐药性。为给二线及后线患者提供新选择,罗氏正在开发两款新一代免疫调节剂:伊伯度胺(iberdomide)用于早期患者与抗 CD38 抗体联用,美齐度胺(mezigdomide)用于后线患者(来那度胺和抗 CD38 抗体治疗后)。伊伯度胺也正被开发用于一线移植后维持治疗。这些新一代免疫调节剂不仅效力更强,还被认为具有直接杀伤肿瘤细胞的作用而非仅抑制肿瘤生长。伊伯度胺正在 EXCALIBER-RRMM 试验中与达雷妥尤单抗+地塞米松联用评估,而美齐度胺则在 SUCCESSOR-1 试验与蛋白酶体抑制剂+地塞米松(硼替佐米+地塞米松)、SUCCESSOR-2 试验与卡非佐米+地塞米松联用评估。值得注意的是,SUCCESSOR-1 是采用泊马度胺+硼替佐米+地塞米松作为对照的头对头试验,而 SUCCESSOR-2 则是以卡非佐米+地塞米松为对照的附加治疗试验。 与此同时,EXCALIBER-RRMM 研究将纳入来那度胺耐药患者,并以硼替佐米+Darzalex+地塞米松作为对照方案。另一项 III 期试验(EXCALIBER-Maintenance)将在移植后维持治疗阶段,评估伊伯度胺与来那度胺的头对头疗效对比。伊伯度胺相较于来那度胺具有更好的耐受性特征,使其更适合用于维持治疗。

Genericization of key brands Velcade, Revlimid, Pomalyst, and Kyprolis will substantially slow market growth 
关键品牌药物 Velcade、Revlimid、Pomalyst 和 Kyprolis 的仿制药化将显著减缓市场增速

Velcade, Revlimid, Pomalyst, and Kyprolis are pivotal MM drugs across multiple therapy lines, and the expiries of their patents will exert substantial downward pressure on the MM market. Velcade experienced a significant reduction in sales following the US launch of generic bortezomib in May 2022. Generic bortezomib launched in Japan in Q1 2022, while launch of the first generic bortezomib in the EU occurred in 2019. 
万珂(Velcade)、瑞复美(Revlimid)、泊马度胺(Pomalyst)和卡非佐米(Kyprolis)是多线治疗多发性骨髓瘤的核心药物,其专利到期将对骨髓瘤市场形成显著下行压力。2022 年 5 月美国硼替佐米仿制药上市后,万珂销售额出现大幅下滑。日本市场于 2022 年第一季度迎来首款硼替佐米仿制药,而欧盟地区早在 2019 年就已批准首款仿制药上市。

Revlimid’s strong position in the MM market will also be significantly affected by generic erosion. In 2015, Celgene (now Bristol Myers Squibb) announced that it had entered into a patent litigation settlement giving the India-based Natco Pharma and its partners the rights to sell generic lenalidomide in the US in limited volumes until 2026. Under the terms of the agreement, Natco’s partner Teva began selling generic lenalidomide in the US in March 2022. Sales are limited to an undisclosed single-digit percentage of the total volume of dispensed lenalidomide in the US. The volume limit is expected to increase yearly, but cannot exceed a third of total dispensed lenalidomide in the US until January 2026, at which time unlimited sales will be allowed. Similar agreements have also been reached with three other generics companies – Dr. Reddy’s, Alvogen, and Cipla. Accord Healthcare launched a lenalidomide generic in the UK in January 2022. In the EU, lenalidomide generics entered the market in Q1 2022, while in Japan they entered the market in 2023. As a result, Q1 2023 global sales of Revlimid dropped by 37% year-over-year. 
瑞复美在多发性骨髓瘤市场的强势地位也将受到仿制药侵蚀的显著影响。2015 年,新基公司(现百时美施贵宝)宣布与印度 Natco 制药及其合作伙伴达成专利诉讼和解协议,允许其在 2026 年前以有限数量在美国销售来那度胺仿制药。根据协议条款,Natco 的合作伙伴梯瓦制药于 2022 年 3 月开始在美国销售来那度胺仿制药,销量限制为美国来那度胺总销售量的个位数百分比(具体比例未披露)。销量限制预计将逐年增加,但在 2026 年 1 月前不得超过美国来那度胺总销售量的三分之一,届时将允许无限制销售。百时美施贵宝还与另外三家仿制药企业——Dr. Reddy's、Alvogen 和西普拉达成了类似协议。2022 年 1 月,Accord Healthcare 在英国推出了来那度胺仿制药。在欧盟地区,来那度胺仿制药于 2022 年第一季度上市,而日本市场则于 2023 年迎来仿制药。受此影响,2023 年第一季度瑞复美的全球销售额同比下降 37%。

Pomalyst started facing generic competition in 2024 in the EU and is expected to face generic competition in the US and Japan in 2026. 
泊马度胺于 2024 年在欧盟开始面临仿制药竞争,预计 2026 年将在美国和日本遭遇仿制药竞争。

Kyprolis’s revenues will be threatened by generic versions of carfilzomib, which are expected to enter the EU and Japanese markets in Q4 2025 and Q4 2030, respectively. In June 2020, a US court upheld several Kyprolis patents, with the latest expiring in December 2027. In June 2021, Breckenridge and its Indian partner Natco Pharma disclosed a settlement agreement allowing launch of a generic carfilzomib on a date “in 2027 or sooner depending on certain occurrences.” 
卡非佐米的仿制药预计将分别于 2025 年第四季度和 2030 年第四季度进入欧盟和日本市场,这将威胁到 Kyprolis 的营收。2020 年 6 月,美国法院支持了 Kyprolis 的多项专利,其中最晚的将于 2027 年 12 月到期。2021 年 6 月,Breckenridge 及其印度合作伙伴 Natco Pharma 披露了一项和解协议,允许"在 2027 年或更早(取决于某些情况)"推出卡非佐米仿制药。

While a daratumumab biosimilar is expected in 2029 in the US (and in 2030 in the EU), it will be delivered intravenously and so is expected to provide only limited competition to the SC formulation of Darzalex, which is much more convenient and has patent protection to 2036. 
虽然达雷妥尤单抗生物类似药预计将于 2029 年在美国上市(欧盟为 2030 年),但该药物需静脉注射给药,因此预计对皮下注射剂型 Darzalex 的竞争有限,后者使用更为便捷且专利保护期至 2036 年。

Events with Analyst Commentary
分析师评论相关事件

Results from the last 5 years
最近 5 年的结果

Key Upcoming Events
即将举行的关键活动

Key Opinion Leader Insights
关键意见领袖洞察

This is a snapshot of quotes from KOLs interviewed by our analysts. To view complete interviews, access KOL Insights.
以下是我们分析师采访的关键意见领袖(KOL)的言论摘要。如需查看完整访谈,请访问 KOL 见解栏目。

“…the AQUILA study also showed a trend towards better overall survival, and that makes a big difference because if it were not an overall survival difference, then I would say that that is less compelling. But again, one will have to see the data. It's obviously going to come out at the ASH meeting. So, one will have to see the presentation to be really informed about how that is likely or not to be adopted. I think that it is something that one will have to get a sense of, talking to one's colleagues, seeing the data. I don't know. It's usually either a majority get treated or a majority do not, there's some flaw in the data set, but if there is a survival advantage, I'd say probably 80% [of high-risk smoldering myeloma patients] will get treated.” – US key opinion leader
"...AQUILA 研究还显示出总生存期改善的趋势,这具有重大意义——如果没有总生存期差异,我会认为说服力不足。但具体仍需观察数据,这些结果显然将在 ASH 会议上公布。因此必须通过现场报告才能真正判断其临床应用前景。我认为这需要通过与同行交流、研读数据来形成判断。通常会出现两种情况:要么多数患者接受治疗,要么多数不治疗——这说明数据集存在某些缺陷。但如果确实存在生存优势,我估计约 80%[高危冒烟型骨髓瘤患者]将会接受治疗。"——美国关键意见领袖

“Most [front line transplant eligible] patients these days get a quadruplet, a four-drug regimen of daratumumab with Velcade, Revlimid and Decadron for four cycles, and then they go on to stem cell transplant, and then post-transplant, most people are still getting Revlimid. Some are getting Revlimid and Velcade with standard risk disease, high risk in most practices, Revlimid with Velcade… I think that [PERSEUS] has been the main reason why Dara-VRD has been adopted in the induction phase of treatment. I think that a little more controversy exists as to whether daratumumab in maintenance is necessary.” – US key opinion leader
"如今大多数[适合一线移植]患者会接受四联疗法,即达雷妥尤单抗联合万珂、来那度胺和地塞米松的四药方案进行四个周期治疗,随后进行干细胞移植。移植后,多数患者仍继续使用来那度胺。对于标准风险疾病患者,部分会联用来那度胺和万珂;而在大多数临床实践中,高风险患者会采用来那度胺联合万珂方案...我认为[PERSEUS 研究]是促使 Dara-VRD 方案被采纳为诱导期治疗方案的主要原因。不过关于维持期是否必须使用达雷妥尤单抗,目前还存在一些争议。" —— 美国权威专家

“I think there [front-line transplant ineligible patients] three-drug regimens still prevail for the most part, and it will continue to prevail, though four-drug regimens have now started getting FDA approval. I think the three-drug regimen that is most commonly used is daratumumab, Revlimid and dexamethasone. And only about 20% of patients who are not going to transplant will probably get a four-drug regimen, even in the future. There is a small segment of very old, very frail patients that actually may just get Revlimid and dexamethasone, a two-drug regimen these days. They are probably 10% of patients .” – US key opinion leader
"我认为对于[不适合一线移植的患者],三药联合方案目前仍占主导地位,这种情况将持续下去,尽管四药方案现已开始获得食品药品监督管理局批准。最常用的三药方案是达雷妥尤单抗、来那度胺和地塞米松。即使在未来,大约只有 20%不进行移植的患者可能会接受四药方案。还有一小部分非常年老体弱的患者,如今可能仅接受来那度胺和地塞米松的双药方案,这类患者约占 10%。" ——美国关键意见领袖

“Patients who relapse after their first time therapy have a variety of different treatments based on how they did with frontline, what they got frontline and certain patient health characteristics and social issues may also play a role in the choice of therapy. But the vast majority today still get a daratumumab-based regimen, because most people are not daratumumab-refractory at the time of relapse, at the moment. I'd say daratumumab, Kyprolis and dexamethasone; daratumumab, pomalidomide and dexamethasone are probably the top two [regimens]. What would be a third regimen? I don't know. There's a lot of other regimens that get a few percentage each. I don't know if there's a really dominant third regimen.” – US key opinion leader
首次治疗后复发的患者,其后续治疗方案选择取决于一线治疗反应、使用过的一线药物以及患者特定健康状况和社会因素。但目前绝大多数患者仍会接受以达雷妥尤单抗为基础的方案,因为现阶段多数患者在复发时并未对达雷妥尤单抗产生耐药性。我认为达雷妥尤单抗+卡非佐米+地塞米松、达雷妥尤单抗+泊马度胺+地塞米松可能是最主流的两种方案。至于第三选择方案?我不确定。还有许多其他方案各自占据几个百分点的使用率,我不认为存在真正占主导地位的第三方案。——美国权威专家

“It [treatment of third-line patients] depends to a large extent on what they got in their second line, but Kyprolis-based regimens probably dominate. Now, one thing we haven't talked about is the increasing role of CAR-T in second line. I would say that up to 20% will probably get a CAR-T in second line in the immediate future. In third line, I think CAR-T is going to start becoming more dominant, and maybe at least 35-40% will get a CAR-T in third line. And the Kyprolis-based regimens would be for about 50-60% and the remainder, a bunch of other stuff.” – US key opinion leader
"[对三线患者的治疗]在很大程度上取决于他们在二线接受了什么疗法,但以 Kyprolis 为基础的方案可能占主导地位。现在我们还没谈到的是 CAR-T 在二线治疗中日益重要的作用。我认为在不久的将来,高达 20%的患者会在二线接受 CAR-T 治疗。在三线治疗中,CAR-T 将开始占据更主导的地位,可能有至少 35-40%的患者会在三线接受 CAR-T 治疗。而以 Kyprolis 为基础的方案将占约 50-60%,其余则是其他各种疗法。"——美国关键意见领袖

“…I think there were impressive results [for Blenrep] compared to the respective control arms. I think that the Blenrep, Velcade, and dexamethasone data is in a mainly Revlimid non-refractory population, which doesn't really exist today. So, that is not real world applicable. But the Blenrep, pomalidomide and dexamethasone data, I think, was still respectable. The Blenrep, Velcade and dexamethasone data look better. I think that the use of Blenrep is, at least in academia, going to be restricted to much later lines as the second BCMA-based therapy exposure, perhaps after a bispecific in an earlier line. In the community, you could see Blenrep having some potential for use in the second to fourth line space, because they don't have access to CAR-Ts locally, and even bispecifics, most of them are still not willing to do the step up dosing and initiate patients. So there, I think it has some potential for use .” – US key opinion leader
"...我认为[Blenrep]与各自对照组相比取得了令人印象深刻的成果。Blenrep、Velcade 和地塞米松组合的数据主要来自对 Revlimid 非耐药人群的研究,而这在当今临床实践中已基本不存在。因此,这些数据并不具备现实适用性。但 Blenrep、泊马度胺和地塞米松组合的数据我认为仍然值得关注。Blenrep、Velcade 和地塞米松的数据看起来更为出色。在我看来,至少在学术机构中,Blenrep 的使用将被严格限制在更后线治疗阶段——作为第二种基于 BCMA 的疗法,可能是在早期使用双特异性抗体之后。而在基层医疗机构,由于当地无法获得 CAR-T 疗法,且大多数医生仍不愿采用阶梯式给药方案为患者启动双特异性抗体治疗,Blenrep 在二线至四线治疗领域可能具有一定应用潜力。"——美国关键意见领袖

“Well, the short term ICANS [with CAR-T therapy] is completely reversible. The long term [neurotoxicity] is mainly now in earlier lines of treatment, cranial nerve palsies, which I think 80% do resolve, but there are some rare instances of peripheral neuropathy or motor symptoms weakness that can be more long lasting.” – US key opinion leader
"嗯,CAR-T 疗法引发的短期 ICANS(免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征)是完全可逆的。而长期神经毒性主要出现在早期治疗阶段,比如颅神经麻痹——我认为 80%的病例都能缓解,但也存在少数外周神经病变或运动症状乏力的罕见案例,这些症状可能持续更长时间。" ——美国关键意见领袖

“They [iberdomide and mezigdomide] seem to work even when patients have progressed through the first generation IMiDs, lenalidomide and pomalidomide, they seem to be effective even in BCMA failures. So, they're clearly more active drugs. I think the trials will probably get them approved, but the field is getting crowded, and I doubt that those will be very popular regimens in second, third line, their future lies in doing trials where they're combined with bispecifics or sequenced after a CAR-T I think.”– US key opinion leader
"(伊伯度胺和梅齐度胺)即便在患者对第一代免疫调节剂(来那度胺和泊马度胺)产生耐药后仍然有效,甚至在 BCMA 靶向治疗失败的情况下也显示疗效。显然这是两种更具活性的药物。虽然临床试验可能会推动其获批,但当前治疗领域已日趋拥挤,我怀疑它们作为二线、三线方案的普及度。其未来发展在于与双特异性抗体联用试验,或在 CAR-T 治疗后序贯使用。" ——美国关键意见领袖

“Yes, certainly, I've used it [ABBV-383] extensively in trials. I think that it certainly has major advantages over existing bispecifics in terms of schedule of administration and convenience of the step up dosing. It is, however, probably fairly similar in terms of its efficacy, and being possibly third or fourth to market does kind of give it a headwind. I think though, the every four-week schedule right from the beginning will still kind of be in its favor. .” – US key opinion leader
"是的,确实如此,我在临床试验中广泛使用过[ABBV-383]。我认为它在给药方案和阶梯剂量便利性方面,相比现有双特异性抗体确实具有显著优势。不过在疗效方面可能较为接近,而且作为第三或第四个上市产品确实会面临一些阻力。但我认为从一开始就采用的四周一次给药方案,仍然会是它的优势所在。" ——美国关键意见领袖

“I would say that it [anito-cel] certainly has some signal that it is devoid of delayed neurological toxicity, which is positive. Efficacy, I think, is fairly similar to cilta-cel. I think that it is a slightly less heavily pretreated population where they've seen the results. But I think it's fairly similar, honestly. Its time to CRS being early is maybe a potential disadvantage for outpatient administration, and the going trend is that people are trying to move to outpatients, and that is something that with early onset CRS and ICANS, it may not be that feasible.” – US key opinion leader
"我认为[anito-cel]确实显示出一些迹象表明它没有延迟性神经毒性,这是积极的。疗效方面,我认为与 cilta-cel 相当接近。虽然观察到疗效的人群是接受过相对较少前期治疗的患者。但说实话,我认为两者非常相似。其 CRS 发生时间较早可能对门诊给药是个潜在劣势,因为当前趋势是尽量转向门诊治疗,而对于早期出现 CRS 和 ICANS 的情况,这可能不太可行。" ——美国关键意见领袖

“I think it [BMS-986393] is certainly something that one hopes will come to market, because it seems to be devoid of the dysgeusia and skin and nail toxicity, not devoid, but much lower rates of dysgeusia and skin and nail toxicity compared to the GPRC5D bispecific. We don't know the durability of response, it's early, but I think it will be better than the bispecific GPRC5D as well .” – US key opinion leader
"我认为[BMS-986393]这款药物确实有望上市,因为它似乎没有味觉障碍及皮肤指甲毒性问题——更准确地说,与 GPRC5D 双抗相比,其味觉障碍和皮肤指甲毒性发生率要低得多。虽然目前数据尚不成熟,我们还无法判断其疗效持久性,但我认为它最终表现会优于 GPRC5D 双抗。"——美国权威专家

Unmet Needs  未满足的需求

  • Five-year survival: Despite recent advances, MM remains an aggressive disease with a five-year overall survival rate of approximately 60%. The measuring of sustained minimal residual disease negativity is now accepted as a surrogate endpoint for front-line MM. This endpoint may help to determine which regimens are most likely to produce deep, long-lasting remissions. There is also interest in determining whether MRD can be used in the clinic to determine when treatment can be paused.
    五年生存率:尽管近期取得进展,多发性骨髓瘤仍是一种侵袭性疾病,五年总生存率约为 60%。持续微小残留病灶阴性的测量现已被接受为一线多发性骨髓瘤治疗的替代终点。该终点可能有助于确定哪些治疗方案最有可能产生深度、持久的缓解。学界也关注能否在临床中使用微小残留病灶检测来判断何时可以暂停治疗。

  • Quadruplet class refractory patients: Patients who have been treated with an IMiD, a proteasome inhibitor, an anti-CD38 antibody and BCMA-directed therapy.
    四联疗法难治性患者:指已接受免疫调节剂、蛋白酶体抑制剂、抗 CD38 抗体和 BCMA 靶向治疗的患者。

  • Patients with high-risk cytogenetics: Current treatments do not overcome the poor prognosis associated with high-risk cytogenetics. Standard-risk patients have an OS of approximately 5-15 years and are characterized by hyperdiploidy or t(11;14).High-risk patients have an OS of approximately 36-60 months and are characterized by isolated high risk cytogenetics such as Gain(1q), Del(1P32), Amp(1q), t(4;14), t(4;16), or t(4;20). Finally, ultrahigh risk patients have an OS of approximately 24-36 months and are characterized by biallelelic TP53 inactivation or two high risk cytogenetic abnormalities.
    高危细胞遗传学患者:现有治疗手段无法改善与高危细胞遗传学相关的不良预后。标危患者总生存期约 5-15 年,其特征表现为超二倍体或 t(11;14)易位。高危患者总生存期约 36-60 个月,其典型特征包括孤立性高危细胞遗传学异常,如 1q 增益、1p32 缺失、1q 扩增、t(4;14)、t(4;16)或 t(4;20)易位。超高危患者总生存期约 24-36 个月,其特征为 TP53 双等位基因失活或同时存在两种高危细胞遗传学异常。

  • Functionally high-risk patients: Patients who do not display baseline high-risk features but typically show a suboptimal response (<VGPR, MRD positivity) or experience early relapse (>12-18 months) after optimal front line therapy. Patients that experience an early relapse have an OS ranging from 18 to 32 months.
    功能性高危患者:这类患者虽无基线高危特征,但在接受最佳一线治疗后通常表现为次优反应(未达 VGPR 或 MRD 阳性)或早期复发(12-18 个月内)。早期复发患者的总生存期范围为 18 至 32 个月。

  • Patients with extramedullary disease (EMD): EMD occurs when myeloma cells form tumors outside the bone marrow in the soft tissues or organs of the body. EMD can be present at the time of diagnosis, where it is seen in 7–15% of patients, or can appear during relapse, where it is seen in 6–20% of such patients. EMD patients are treated as having ultrahigh-risk myeloma, and the median overall survival of patients who experience an extramedullary relapse is less than six months.
    髓外疾病(EMD)患者:当骨髓瘤细胞在骨髓外的软组织或器官中形成肿瘤时,即发生 EMD。EMD 可能在诊断时出现(见于 7-15%的患者),也可能在复发时显现(见于 6-20%的复发患者)。EMD 患者被视为超高危型骨髓瘤患者,发生髓外复发的患者中位总生存期不足六个月。

  • Patients who are older and frailer: MM is predominately a disease of older adults and the median age at diagnosis is 69 years. Approximately one-third of patients are aged >75 years at diagnosis, and ∼10% are aged >85 year. Older patients are a heterogeneous population with an increased incidence of frailty. Frail patients are as those who are who are weaker and more vulnerable than their age-matched counterparts. Treatment outcomes for the old and frail are often compromised by comorbidities and an enhanced susceptibility to adverse events from therapy. Older and frail patients are still underrepresented in clinical studies, which makes treatment recommendations more difficult in this population. Reasons for exclusion have included predefined upper age limits or frailty, comorbidities, renal impairment, and concomitant use of multiple medications. Furthermore, even when considering the frail subpopulation of clinical studies, the real-life population is usually older and more vulnerable than the frail population in a clinical study. Additional work is need to determine the optimal treatment for the old and frail population.
    高龄体弱患者:多发性骨髓瘤主要是一种老年疾病,诊断时的中位年龄为 69 岁。约三分之一的患者在确诊时年龄超过 75 岁,约 10%超过 85 岁。老年患者群体具有高度异质性,衰弱发生率更高。衰弱患者指相较于同龄人更为虚弱且易受伤害的群体。高龄衰弱患者的治疗效果常因合并症及对治疗不良反应的敏感性增加而受到影响。目前临床研究中高龄衰弱患者比例仍然不足,导致该群体的治疗建议制定更为困难。既往排除标准包括预设年龄上限、衰弱状态、合并症、肾功能损害及多重用药等因素。值得注意的是,即便参考临床研究中的衰弱亚组数据,真实世界患者群体通常比临床研究中的衰弱人群更为年长和脆弱。针对高龄衰弱人群的最佳治疗方案仍需进一步研究探索。

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