Equity Research
Fueled by strong policy push following the release of "Nine Measures" in April 2024, coupled with a history of conservative cash return practices, robust cash flows, and substantial cash reserves, Chinese listed companies delivered unprecedented cash returns to shareholders in 2024. Looking ahead, we expect aggregate dividends/buybacks to reach Rmb3.0tn/0.6tn (+10%/+35% yoy) in 2025, despite varying financial characteristics influencing the choice of return methods.
Indian financials (Nifty Bank) have delivered 14% returns since 7 April (see our upgrade note), on multiple factors. We believe the reasons to remain constructive on the sector still exist, as we expect the sector to deliver strong earnings growth, driven by both improving ROAs as credit costs subside post 1Q/2Q earnings and NIM improves from 3Q onwards, while loan growth should pick up from 2HFY26E, thereby giving confidence to discount FY27 earnings.
IN THE SPOTLIGHT
Eric Cha

- Company HighlightsHuaqin Technology (603296.SS): AI servers and Switch in expansion; Data center to up to 51% of revenues by 2028E; Buy (on CL)7 Jul 2025 | 7:34am| 8pg| Research | Equity-Verena Jeng and othersChina Feihe Ltd. (6186.HK): 1H25 profit alert: Sales/NP miss on cons. inv., less govt grant & impairment; Rmb1bn buyback w/Rmb2bn div.7 Jul 2025 | 7:25am| 7pg| Research | Equity-Leaf Liu and othersQuanta (2382.TW): Mgmt. call; AI Servers in triple-digit growth; R&D capability and capacity vital to support growth; Neutral7 Jul 2025 | 3:58am| 6pg| Research | Equity-Allen Chang and othersQBE Insurance Group (QBE.AX): Re-rate potential; Strong ROE / Rate adequacy & diversification; Buy6 Jul 2025 | 3:27pm| 12pg| Research | Equity-Julian Braganza, FIAAAntero Midstream Corp. (AM): 2Q25 Preview: Quiet Quarter Despite Macro Volatility; Focus on Cap Allocation7 Jul 2025 | 8:08am| 8pg| Research | Equity-John Mackay and othersNorthern Star Resources Ltd. (NST.AX): First Take: FY25 in-line; FY26 sales/capex guidance in-line with GSe, AISC higher7 Jul 2025 | 7:55am| 8pg| Research | Equity-Hugo Nicolaci and others
- Industry HighlightsChina commodities: Supply side work expectations - reform or reprieve5 Jul 2025 | 5:29pm| 7pg| Research | Equity-Trina Chen and othersChina Consumer Staples: China reportedly planning to release nationwide child-raising subsidies; IMF/Dairy coverage implications7 Jul 2025 | 6:50am| 7pg| Research | Equity-Leaf Liu and othersChina Software: Product Tracker: AI agents upgraded, multi-modal AI models to unlock use cases; Software projects bidding review7 Jul 2025 | 9:24am| 9pg| Research | Equity-Allen Chang and othersChina Metals & Mining: Chinese metal demand - decomposing the resilient growth, front-loaded demand weighs on outlook4 Jul 2025 | 12:45pm| 15pg| Research | Equity-Trina Chen and othersChina Air Travel Tracker: Summer holiday forward booking airfares weakening while CAAC targets to avoid disorderly low-price competition5 Jul 2025 | 12:50pm| 10pg| Research | Equity-Herbert Lu and othersAmericas Diversified Financials: 2Q25 Preview: A healthy backdrop for retail trading and investment banking, with crypto volumes a notable laggard7 Jul 2025 | 10:04am| 35pg| Research | Equity-James Yaro and others
- PORTFOLIO STRATEGYJapan Weekly Kickstart: Introducing the new 2025 Low AGM Approval screen6 Jul 2025 | 9:34am| 25pg| Research | Portfolio Strategy-Bruce Kirk, CFA and othersChina Weekly Kickstart: MXCN lost 1% while A-shares gained 2%; US lifted export curbs on chip design software to China; Mixed PMIs in June5 Jul 2025 | 1:20pm| 24pg| Research | Portfolio Strategy-Kinger Lau, CFA and othersUS Weekly Kickstart: Look for early impact of tariffs during 2Q 2025 earnings season28 Jun 2025 | 4:44am| 22pg| Research | Portfolio Strategy-David J. Kostin and others
- OPTIONSWeekend Cross-asset Dislocations (6-Jul-2025)6 Jul 2025 | 9:41pm| 1pg| Research | Options-John MarshallWeekly Options Watch: Buy Options for July Preannouncement Season2 Jul 2025 | 5:02pm| 9pg| Research | Options-John Marshall and othersOptimal Overwrites this week (30-Jun-25)30 Jun 2025 | 9:55pm| 17pg| Research | Options-Rohith Medarametla and others
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